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Broker tips: Persimmon, Restaurant Group, Cobham

Mon, 15th Aug 2016 10:25

(ShareCast News) - UK housebuilding shares have fallen 25% since Britain voted to leave the European Union and the sector has priced in a 5% drop in house prices, J.P. Morgan Cazenove said on Monday"However, while we think it's prudent to assume that transaction numbers will fall during 2017 (although trends have been solid so far), we see no warning signs that house prices are likely to decline UK-wide," J.P. Morgan said."We are more bearish on London and see scope for double-digit price declines, although even under this scenario we expect relatively modest earnings impact."The broker said it continues to view dividends as highly sustainable and sees an average of 15% upside to price targets.J.P. Morgan upgraded Persimmon to 'overweight' from 'underweight', to "reflect both our view that dividends could still beat, and a preference for balance sheet strength and ex-London".In contrast it downgraded Countryside Properties to 'neutral' from 'overweight' as a "relative call after a period of strong performance". Canaccord Genuity has raised its rating on Restaurant Group to 'buy' from 'hold' and lifted its target price to 550p from 276p.The broker said the upgrade on the owner of Garfunkels follows the replacement of chief executive Danny Breithaupt with Andy McCue, former chief of Paddy Power. The ousting of the CEO comes after a string of profit wanrings and a share price collapse."New CEO Andy McCue was CEO of Paddy Power where he embedded a new growth strategy which delivered record revenues and profits, as well as playing a main role in the merger with Betfair," Canaccord said.Canaccord said the executive team has also been strengthened by the appointment of Barry Nightingale as chief financial officer and Spencer Ayers as new managing director for its Frankie & Benny's business.Looking ahead to the company's strategic review on 26 August, Canaccord said: "We highlight a checklist of actions that investors should expect to read in the review: exit poorly performing sites, continue to develop the brand portfolio, reposition Frankie & Benny's, reduce and re-direct capex, improve digital marketing capability, reduce the overheads, review returns to shareholders including share buybacks."Canaccord said the problems Restaurant Group faces are "not unique" but believes that the business is "fixable"."Maturing brands inevitably require constant innovation and occasional reinvention and there are many positive case studies in the market that suggest it can be done." Barclays downgraded Cobham to 'equalweight' from 'overweight' saying it expects several unquantifiable bumps along the way in the next six months and sees cleaner yet equally compelling value to be had elsewhere in its coverage.The bank said that while the logic behind rebalancing away from defence was sound at the time, commercial markets have softened significantly since then, while pure-play defence peers have re-rated to all-time highs.It said the rights issue further dented sentiment and in turn valuation multiples, meaning the stock still looks cheap, but the the impending management change cannot be ignored in the near term."We remain compelled by Cobham's valuation, this is still the highest margin defence company on the planet trading at just 12.6x FY16E P/E, with a 4.8% dividend yield and a free cash flow of yield of around 7%, yet it trades at a P/E discount of around 30% to comparable US defence peers. Clearly the risk/reward looks to be skewed to the upside on a 12 month view," the bank said.Barclays said that while management remains cautiously optimistic in the company just about attaining the second half plan, this is unlikely to be sufficient to see that valuation gap close materially more than it has already as around 30% of revenues are exposed to non-aerospace and defence 'commercial' end markets, offering a lesser degree of safety than the pure-play defence peers."With the balance sheet now addressed the underlying story at Cobham should be a cleaner one. Should management be able to deliver their revised guide, confidence will slowly be restored in this 16% margin, highly cash generative technology business with high barriers to entry."Barclays maintained its 183p price target on Cobham.
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23 Jun 2016 06:26

TOP NEWS: Cobham Wins USD200 Million Airbus Communications Deal

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21 Jun 2016 11:50

DIRECTOR DEALINGS: Cobham Directors Take Up Shares In Rights Issue

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20 Jun 2016 15:09

Broker tips: Asos, Cobham, Inmarsat

(ShareCast News) - RBC Capital Markets reiterated its 'outperform' stance and 4,500p price target on online fashion retailer ASOS, saying the recent share price weakness was a buying opportunity. The broker noted the shares have dropped more than 10% over the last month, most likely on concerns over

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20 Jun 2016 09:11

Cobham rallies on BofA Merrill Lynch upgrade to 'buy'

(ShareCast News) - Aerospace and defence group Cobham got a boost on Monday as Bank of America Merrill Lynch upgraded the stock to ' buy' from 'neutral' noting the balance sheet was reset and the valuation is attractive for a defence asset. BofA ML pointed out that Cobham has completed a rights issu

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17 Jun 2016 16:07

DIRECTOR DEALINGS SUMMARY: Cobham CEO Buys 7,500 Shares

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17 Jun 2016 12:49

DIRECTOR DEALINGS: Cobham CEO Murphy Buys 7,500 Shares

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17 Jun 2016 09:56

UPDATE: Cobham Places Remainder Of GBP507 Million Rights Issue (ALLISS)

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17 Jun 2016 07:44

Cobham £506m rights issue 97% subscribed

(ShareCast News) - Aerospace and defence firm Cobham said its one-for-two rights issue had been 97.21% subscribed. The 89p-a-share issue announced earlier this month will raise £506.7m to reduce debt. Chief executive officer Bob Murphy said at the time that the issue would put Cobham on a "sound fi

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17 Jun 2016 06:22

Cobham Gets 97% Take Up On GBP507 Million Rights Issue (ALLISS)

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6 Jun 2016 12:55

Monday broker round-up

(ShareCast News) - Wolseley: JP Morgan reiterates neutral with a target price of 4100p. Cairn Energy: RBC reiterates sector perform with a 250p target. Shire: Jefferies reiterates buy with a target price of 6050p and Exane BNP Paribas stays at outperform. Cobham: JP Morgan keeps at neutral with a

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6 Jun 2016 08:32

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: JPMorgan Downgrades Wolseley To Neutral

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2 Jun 2016 16:39

Thursday broker round-up

(ShareCast News) - Moneysupermarket.com: Jefferies downgrades to hold with a target price of 312p. Wolseley: Canaccord downgrades to hold with a 4200p target, UBS reiterates buy with a target price of 4300p and Credit Suisse stays at outperform with a 4200p target. Daily Mail: Goldman Sachs reitera

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2 Jun 2016 14:27

Cobham secures contract with Airbus

(ShareCast News) - FTSE 250 aerospace and defence group Cobham has been awarded a contract by Airbus worth several hundred million US dollars over the period. The contract is to supply its new digital RAIMS, Radio and Audio Integrated Management System, for the A320neo aircraft family. Cobham's sa

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2 Jun 2016 13:26

TOP NEWS: Cobham Secures Radio Systems Contract With Airbus

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2 Jun 2016 08:41

European shares little changed before ECB; Voestalpine shines

(ADVISORY- Reuters plans to replace intra-day European and UK stock market reports with a Live Markets blog on Eikon - see cpurl://apps.cp./cms/?pageId=livemarkets for site in development. See the bottom of the report for more details) Adds details, updates prices) * Pan-European STOXX 600

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