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Broker tips: Persimmon, Restaurant Group, Cobham

Mon, 15th Aug 2016 10:25

(ShareCast News) - UK housebuilding shares have fallen 25% since Britain voted to leave the European Union and the sector has priced in a 5% drop in house prices, J.P. Morgan Cazenove said on Monday"However, while we think it's prudent to assume that transaction numbers will fall during 2017 (although trends have been solid so far), we see no warning signs that house prices are likely to decline UK-wide," J.P. Morgan said."We are more bearish on London and see scope for double-digit price declines, although even under this scenario we expect relatively modest earnings impact."The broker said it continues to view dividends as highly sustainable and sees an average of 15% upside to price targets.J.P. Morgan upgraded Persimmon to 'overweight' from 'underweight', to "reflect both our view that dividends could still beat, and a preference for balance sheet strength and ex-London".In contrast it downgraded Countryside Properties to 'neutral' from 'overweight' as a "relative call after a period of strong performance". Canaccord Genuity has raised its rating on Restaurant Group to 'buy' from 'hold' and lifted its target price to 550p from 276p.The broker said the upgrade on the owner of Garfunkels follows the replacement of chief executive Danny Breithaupt with Andy McCue, former chief of Paddy Power. The ousting of the CEO comes after a string of profit wanrings and a share price collapse."New CEO Andy McCue was CEO of Paddy Power where he embedded a new growth strategy which delivered record revenues and profits, as well as playing a main role in the merger with Betfair," Canaccord said.Canaccord said the executive team has also been strengthened by the appointment of Barry Nightingale as chief financial officer and Spencer Ayers as new managing director for its Frankie & Benny's business.Looking ahead to the company's strategic review on 26 August, Canaccord said: "We highlight a checklist of actions that investors should expect to read in the review: exit poorly performing sites, continue to develop the brand portfolio, reposition Frankie & Benny's, reduce and re-direct capex, improve digital marketing capability, reduce the overheads, review returns to shareholders including share buybacks."Canaccord said the problems Restaurant Group faces are "not unique" but believes that the business is "fixable"."Maturing brands inevitably require constant innovation and occasional reinvention and there are many positive case studies in the market that suggest it can be done." Barclays downgraded Cobham to 'equalweight' from 'overweight' saying it expects several unquantifiable bumps along the way in the next six months and sees cleaner yet equally compelling value to be had elsewhere in its coverage.The bank said that while the logic behind rebalancing away from defence was sound at the time, commercial markets have softened significantly since then, while pure-play defence peers have re-rated to all-time highs.It said the rights issue further dented sentiment and in turn valuation multiples, meaning the stock still looks cheap, but the the impending management change cannot be ignored in the near term."We remain compelled by Cobham's valuation, this is still the highest margin defence company on the planet trading at just 12.6x FY16E P/E, with a 4.8% dividend yield and a free cash flow of yield of around 7%, yet it trades at a P/E discount of around 30% to comparable US defence peers. Clearly the risk/reward looks to be skewed to the upside on a 12 month view," the bank said.Barclays said that while management remains cautiously optimistic in the company just about attaining the second half plan, this is unlikely to be sufficient to see that valuation gap close materially more than it has already as around 30% of revenues are exposed to non-aerospace and defence 'commercial' end markets, offering a lesser degree of safety than the pure-play defence peers."With the balance sheet now addressed the underlying story at Cobham should be a cleaner one. Should management be able to deliver their revised guide, confidence will slowly be restored in this 16% margin, highly cash generative technology business with high barriers to entry."Barclays maintained its 183p price target on Cobham.
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4 Aug 2016 06:14

Cobham H1 profit drops, on track to meet FY forecasts

LONDON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - British aerospace and defence company Cobham reported a plunge in first-half profit, as expected, after difficulties in its communications unit, and said it was on track to meet full-year expectations as earnings improve over the period. Cobham on Thursday posted t

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18 Jul 2016 07:00

RPT-AIRSHOW-UK aerospace puts brave face on Brexit

(Repeats JULY 15 story. No change to text.) * UK aerospace industry is No.2 in world behind U.S. * Brexit poses risks to investment, access to skills * But long production cycles, weaker pound help By Sarah Young FARNBOROUGH, England, July 15 (Reuters) - With UK fact

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15 Jul 2016 15:32

AIRSHOW-UK aerospace puts brave face on Brexit

* UK aerospace industry is No.2 in world behind U.S. * Brexit poses risks to investment, access to skills * But long production cycles, weaker pound help By Sarah Young FARNBOROUGH, England, July 15 (Reuters) - With UK factories working at full tilt to meet bumper demand f

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11 Jul 2016 18:55

CORRECTED-AIRSHOW-Boeing sees positive results in testing of KC-46A tanker boom

(In July 10 story, corrects paragraph 2 to show Boeing makes boom, not Cobham) FARNBOROUGH, England, July 10 (Reuters) - Boeing Co is well into testing of a modification to the refueling boom on its troubled KC-46A tanker program and is seeing "positive results," the head of the company's

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10 Jul 2016 12:58

AIRSHOW-Boeing defense CEO says always looking at M&A opportunities

FARNBOROUGH, England, July 10 (Reuters) - Boeing Co's defense division is continuing to look at bolt-on acquisitions across its various business areas, and particularly in the services business, Leanne Caret, chief executive of Boeing Defense, Space & Security, said on Sunday. Caret did no

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4 Jul 2016 07:32

Cobham secures QantasLink contract extension

(ShareCast News) - FTSE 250 aerospace and defence group Cobham has signed a contract to extend its current QantasLink contract for the provision of airline services to the end of 2026. The company has secured a 10-year, AUD1.2bn contract to continue provision of airline services to QantasLink, suppo

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4 Jul 2016 06:10

TOP NEWS: Cobham Wins AUD1.2 Billion Deal Extension With QantasLink

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29 Jun 2016 15:59

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: FTSE 100 Recoups All Post-Referendum Losses

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29 Jun 2016 11:16

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Political Stalling Creates Stability For Markets

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29 Jun 2016 07:47

Cobham appoints Qinetiq's David Mellors as CFO

(ShareCast News) - Aerospace and defence group Cobham announced the appointment of David Mellors as chief financial officer. Mellors, who is currently CFO at FTSE 250 science and engineering company Qinetiq, will take up the role no later than 1 January 2017. Simon Nicholls, whose resignation was a

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29 Jun 2016 06:49

TOP NEWS: Cobham Poaches New Finance Chief From QinetiQ

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27 Jun 2016 15:25

BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY UPDATE: Deutsche Lifts ITV To Hold From Sell

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23 Jun 2016 09:58

WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Tesco Cheers With Like-For-Like Sales Growth

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23 Jun 2016 07:50

Cobham wins $200m Airbus contract

(ShareCast News) - Cobham Aerospace Communications said it had won a contract worth up to $200m from Airbus to supply a new safety system with the potential for extra revenue. The system aims at providing voice and data air-ground communication and connects air traffic control applications to high-p

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23 Jun 2016 07:35

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Stocks Up Led By Tesco; Pound Holds Onto Gains

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