The next focusIR Investor Webinar takes places on 14th May with guest speakers from Blue Whale Growth Fund, Taseko Mines, Kavango Resources and CQS Natural Resources fund. Please register here.

Less Ads, More Data, More Tools Register for FREE

Pin to quick picksBP Share News (BP.)

Share Price Information for BP (BP.)

London Stock Exchange
Share Price is delayed by 15 minutes
Get Live Data
Share Price: 503.70
Bid: 503.80
Ask: 503.90
Change: -6.70 (-1.31%)
Spread: 0.10 (0.02%)
Open: 506.40
High: 515.30
Low: 499.60
Prev. Close: 510.40
BP. Live PriceLast checked at -

Watchlists are a member only feature

Login to your account

Alerts are a premium feature

Login to your account

RPT-It's lonely at the top for Britain's FTSE 100 index

Fri, 14th Oct 2016 06:00

(Repeats Thursday report)

* Dividend funds, index trackers dominate inflows

* Foreign buyers put off by sterling slide

* Handful of large-caps soaking up flows

* GRAPHIC: FTSE 100 vs FTSE 250: http://bit.ly/2e3GHSu

* GRAPHIC: The pound's slide: http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Vikram Subhedar

LONDON, Oct 13 (Reuters) - As sterling plumbs the depths,foreign investors are withdrawing from British stocks andleaving domestic funds to push the benchmark bluechip index torecord highs - for now.

But some investors are growing nervous about how long thesterling-based funds, insulated from the pound's slide and drawnby healthy dividend yields, will continue to fill the gap.

The FTSE 100's sharp recovery from lows after Britons voted to leave the European Union in June stands instark contrast to a darkening outlook for the pound and thedomestic economy.

In sterling terms, London-listed stocks have raced to theirhighest ever levels even though investment funds have continuedto bleed money, share valuations are near multi-year highs andthe outlook for earnings remains muted.

Data from Thomson Reuters Lipper shows that from June toSeptember, UK-focused equity funds suffered outflows of morethan 3 billion pounds ($3.73 billion).

Much of this appears to have been pulled by investors basedin dollars or euros. While the FTSE is up nine percent from theEU referendum day of June 23, the pound has lost 18 and 15percent respectively against their home currencies - wiping outtheir notional gains.

At its latest policy meeting, the Bank of England notedestimates from S&P Global Market Intelligence suggesting thatnet purchases of FTSE 100 shares by non-residents in July andAugust were about half of the average monthly inflows last year.

Still, the FTSE 100 rose 13 percent from June to Septemberand is up by more than fifth since its lows in July followingthe shock referendum result.

The composition of the UK index along with the kind ofinvestors active in the market helps to shed some light on whatis underpinning stocks.

Dominated by large, dividend-paying, global companies - manyof which receive a big earnings boost when they bring offshorerevenues home thanks to the weak pound - the FTSE 100 hit thesweet spot in a world where yields on investments are scarce.

With yields on British government bonds near rock-bottom,this is particularly the case for domestic investors for whomcurrency is less of a factor.

"The UK remains an attractive place for investors seekingdividends; there are 15 companies with an indicative dividendyield of over five percent, which is significant when comparedto the one percent yield on 10-year gilts," said MatthewBeesley, a portfolio manager and Head of Global Equities atHenderson Global Investors.

Less than 10 percent of the roughly 600 UK-focused equityfunds tracked by Lipper have enjoyed net inflows since June.Inflows are heavily skewed towards so-called income funds, whichaim to pay their unit holders dividends, and tracker funds,which passively buy stocks in a given index.

Nick Train's $3 billion UK equity fund, which had a fifth ofthe fund in shares of drinks group Diageo and consumergoods giant Unilever at the end of September, attractedthe most inflows with more than $440 million.

LOP-SIDED

Both Diageo and Unilever exemplify the kinds of major stocksthat investors have increasingly gravitated to since the Brexitvote, drawn by their dividends, relatively low reliance on theBritish economy and the boost from offshore revenues.

British fund supermarket Hargreaves Landsdown,which caters largely to domestic retail investors, on Thursdayposted record profits and assets under management for its latestquarter, but said investors' confidence had fallen and thiscould weigh on future business.

Equity income funds were in demand in a low interest rateenvironment, chief executive Ian Gorham told Reuters.

The large dividend payers are also among the biggest listedfirms in the UK and with the FTSE 100 weighted bymarket-capitalisation, the larger a firm the more influence itswields on the index's moves.

Just 10 large stocks make up nearly half the market-cap ofthe FTSE 100. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) based on the index,which overwhelmingly favour bigger stocks, are the only othergroup to have seen inflows since June.

Oil majors BP and Royal Dutch Shell and emerging markets-focused banks HSBC and drugs groupAstraZeneca, are all big outperformers and have been keyin lifting the broader index.

Eric Moore, a portfolio manager of the Miton UK Income fundwho holds AstraZeneca shares, says the company is one among ahandful that pays out dividends in appreciating U.S. dollars,making them even more attractive to British investors.

"It may be a one-off mechanical adjustment but right here,right now the impact is real. It's money in the bank," saidMoore, who adds, however, that the sustainability of dividendsare a concern as payouts have grown faster than a recovery incorporate profits.

FOREIGN VIEW

The view from across the Atlantic is less sanguine.

Offshore investors are less enthusiastic about investing inUK assets due to the growing likelihood of a "hard" Brexit - inwhich Britain leaves the EU's single market in order to imposecontrols on immigration, disrupting access to its main tradingpartner.

More than half of UK stocks are held by overseas investors,according to the latest data from Britain's Office for NationalStatistics. Foreign holdings were less than 10 percent in the1970s and 1980s, and stood at around 35 percent at the turn ofthe century.

Cumberland Advisors, a Florida-based investment firm thatuses mostly ETFs, points out that the main UK ETF used by U.S.investors, the iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF, has lostmoney this year. A currency-hedged version is up, though thefund's assets under management are considerably smaller.

Bill Witherell, chief global economist at CumberlandAdvisors, said a weaker pound is positive for UK multinationalfirms only as long as single-market access continues.

"The prospect of a weaker domestic economy and heightenedpolicy uncertainty lead us to maintain our maximum underweightof the UK in our International, Global, and Tactical Trend ETFPortfolios," said Witherell.

The FTSE 100's climb above the 7,000 point level has takenvaluations to 16 times forward earnings, close to the highest ina decade.

It has brought back some uncomfortable memories. The threeinstances when the index was around these levels were justbefore the dotcom bust in 1999-2000, the collapse of theNorthern Rock bank in 2007 and during last year's Greek debtcrisis.

"After 20 years in the business, I can't help but feel alittle jittery about the FTSE around here," said Moore.

($1 = 0.8042 pounds)

(Additional reporting by Danilo Masoni in MILAN and SimonJessop in LONDON, Editing by Mike Dolan and David Stamp)

More News
15 Mar 2024 12:11

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: FTSE 100 underperforms despite mining, oil boost

(Alliance News) - London's FTSE 100 overcame a muted morning to head into Friday afternoon on the up, though its progress was shy of the loftier gains seen by mainland European peers, as investors showed some signs of trepidation ahead of a pair of interest rate decisions next week.

Read more
14 Mar 2024 11:54

BP details green credentials in similar push towards net zero as Shell

(Alliance News) - BP PLC on Thursday outlined similar targets to cut emissions as peer Shell PLC, as both oil and gas majors strive to become net zero for carbon emissions by 2050.

Read more
14 Mar 2024 10:19

BP picks up Ashford site to boost electric charging scope for trucks

(Alliance News) - BP PLC on Thursday stepped up plans to increase its electric charging capacity for heavy goods vehicles by buying one of the largest truck stops in Europe.

Read more
8 Mar 2024 13:42

BP appoints Aviva boss Amanda Blanc as senior independent director

(Sharecast News) - Oil giant BP said on Friday that it has appointed Aviva chief executive Amanda Blanc as senior independent director with effect from after the annual meeting on 25 April.

Read more
8 Mar 2024 12:20

IN BRIEF: BP promotes Aviva chief executive officer to senior director

BP PLC - London-based oil major - Non-Executive Director Amanda Blanc will be appointed as a senior independent director, effective from April 25 at the conclusion of BP's annual general meeting. Blanc joined BP's board in September 2022. She has been group chief executive officer of Aviva PLC since July 2020. Company also says Senior Independent Director Paula Reynolds will retire at the AGM's conclusion, having served on the board for nine years. Non-Executive Director John Sawers will also be retiring.

Read more
8 Mar 2024 10:33

BP pays Auchincloss £8m in 2023, claws back £1.8m from Looney

(Sharecast News) - BP chief executive officer Martin Auchincloss was paid £8m for his services in a particularly prosperous year, it was revealed on Friday, as it managed to claw back a further £1.8m from its former head Bernard Looney.

Read more
4 Mar 2024 15:29

London close: Stocks languish ahead of Wednesday's Budget

(Sharecast News) - London's stock markets finished in the red on Monday, reflecting investor apprehension ahead of the impending Spring Budget.

Read more
4 Mar 2024 10:43

Jefferies upgrades BP to 'buy'

(Sharecast News) - Jefferies upgraded BP on Monday to 'buy' from 'hold' and lifted the price target to 570p from 520p.

Read more
4 Mar 2024 08:59

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Jefferies says buy BP; UBS says buy Compass

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Monday morning:

Read more
4 Mar 2024 08:55

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Review cuts Hipgnosis Songs Fund valuation

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London opened mostly lower on Monday, as investor attention remained primarily on the release of the UK Spring budget on Wednesday.

Read more
4 Mar 2024 07:41

LONDON BRIEFING: Stocks called down; attention on UK's spring budget

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London are called to open lower, ahead of a busy week of economic news.

Read more
22 Feb 2024 09:49

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Berenberg raises Moneysupermarket.com to 'buy'

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Thursday morning and Wednesday:

Read more
15 Feb 2024 16:52

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Stocks in green despite UK hit by recession

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London closed higher on Thursday, after data showed that the UK economy slipped into recession in the final quarter of 2023, buoying hopes for interest rate cuts from the Bank of England.

Read more
15 Feb 2024 14:55

London close: Stocks manage gains despite UK recession news

(Sharecast News) - London markets had a mixed but ultimately positive day of trading on Thursday, despite news that the UK fell into a technical recession at the end of 2023.

Read more
15 Feb 2024 12:02

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: FTSE 100 flat as strong start fades

(Alliance News) - The FTSE 100 tread water on Thursday afternoon, as share price declines for some of London's heavyweights offset a strong start for the index, which got a boost from Bank of England rate cut hopes.

Read more

Login to your account

Don't have an account? Click here to register.

Quickpicks are a member only feature

Login to your account

Don't have an account? Click here to register.