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LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: February data spurs end of UK recession hopes

Fri, 12th Apr 2024 11:51

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London got a boost on Monday at midday, as investors were optimistic that the UK is heading out of its short lived recession.

The FTSE 100 index was up 96.05 points, 1.2%, at 8,019.85. The FTSE 250 was up 125.41 points, 0.6%, at 19,912.28, and the AIM All-Share was up 2.87 points, 0.4%, at 761.70.

The Cboe UK 100 was up 1.3% at 802.07, the Cboe UK 250 was up 0.6% at 17,316.45, and the Cboe Small Companies was up 0.3% at 14,817.00.

In European equities on Friday, the CAC 40 in Paris and the DAX 40 in Frankfurt were both up 0.8%.

Markets were optimistic on Friday, with sentiment boosted by hopes that the UK is already out of recession.

According to the Office for National Statistics, UK gross domestic product rose by 0.1% in February from January, in line with FXStreet cited consensus. UK GDP had expanded 0.3% on-month in January, according to upwardly revised data.

Data in March showed that the UK slipped into a technical recession in the fourth quarter of 2023.

UK gross domestic product slumped 0.3% in the three months to December from a quarter earlier, unchanged from initial ONS numbers provided in February.

The UK economy had declined 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in the third-quarter of 2023. It means the UK has entered a technical recession at the end of last year, which is generally defined as two successive quarterly falls in gross domestic product.

"These figures reaffirm expectations that the economy returned to positive growth in Q1 after a mild recession late last year, and the outturn is likely to exceed the Bank of England's forecast for a 0.1%q/q increase," said Lloyds analyst.

Yet, it seems like the Bank of England is still not close to cutting interest rates.

It was only on Thursday that BoE rate setter Megan Greene said interest rate cuts "should still be a way off" in the UK, predicting that the "last mile" in getting inflation down "may prove the hardest".

Greene, one of the more hawkish members of the BoE's monetary policy committee, argued in the Financial Times that investors had underestimated the risk that inflation would remain high for longer in the UK than in other advanced economies.

The pound was quoted at USD1.2496 at midday on Friday in London, down compared to USD1.2513 at the equities close on Thursday. The euro stood at USD1.0661, lower against USD1.0705. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at JPY153.29, virtually unchanged compared to JPY153.30.

At the top of the FTSE 100 at midday Friday were miners Fresnillo, AntoFagasta, Anglo American and Glencore. They were up 5.2%, 4.3%, 4.1% and 3.7%, respectively.

"Miners also helped to give the FTSE 100 a lift as copper prices continued to climb thanks to the twin engines of supply fears and brighter demand prospects," explained AJ Bell's Russ Mould.

Housebuilders got a boost thanks to some broker upgrades. Taylor Wimpey, Persimmon and Barratt Developments were up 2.7%, 2.5% and 2.2%, respectively.

JPMorgan raised all of them to 'overweight' from 'neutral'. RBC also raised Taylor Wimpey to 'outperform'.

Oil majors BP and Shell also traded higher on Friday, driven by higher oil prices. They were up 3.2% and 2.5%, respectively.

Shares in BP jumped on Friday after reports that the state-owned, United Arab Emirates oil company was considering, but had ruled out, a bid for the London-based oil major. Reuters reported on Thursday evening that the Abu Dhabi National Oil (Adnoc) had decided that ultimately BP was not the right fit and would not match its strategy.

With tensions pushing ahead in the Middle East and price of oil headed over the USD90 a barrel mark. Brent oil was quoted at USD90.58 a barrel at midday in London on Friday, up from USD89.94 late Thursday.

Amongst London's small-caps, Petrofac plummeted 25%.

The energy infrastructure company said it is engaged in discussions in regard to restructuring its debt, with "all options" remaining under consideration.

Petrofac said its discussions revolve around restructuring debt in a way that would result in a significant proportion of the debt being exchanged for a stake in the company.

Further, it is in talks with investors and shareholders for a potential investment in the company, including a potential sale of non-core assets.

On AI, R&Q Insurance lost 46%, after it said it expects to make a "significant pretax loss" this year.

The Bermuda-based non-life speciality insurance company said an agreement has been reached for Obra Capital to acquire the entirety of R&Q and its affiliates 49% interest in the joint venture between the two companies, Sag Main Holdings.

Under the terms of the agreement, R&Q will handover its stake for a cash consideration of USD27 million alongside USD3 million in preference shares held by Obra in Randall & Quilter PS Holdings.

Stocks in New York were called to open mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was called to open slightly higher. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index are called down 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.4%.

Gold was quoted at USD2,399.10 an ounce, higher against USD2,338.05.

By Sophie Rose, Alliance News senior reporter

Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com

Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

More News
7 May 2024 12:00

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Stocks buoyed by local data, strong US equities

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London were up at midday on Tuesday, boosted by positive local economic data and tracking European equities that were buoyed by strong US stocks performance on Monday.

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7 May 2024 09:09

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Stocks track global equities rise while BP falls

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London opened up on Tuesday, tracking European markets in reaction to New York stocks extending their rally on weaker US jobs data, while markets reopened in London after a bank holiday on Monday.

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7 May 2024 08:51

TOP NEWS: BP keeps up pace of share buybacks despite profit decline

(Alliance News) - BP PLC on Tuesday launched a fresh share buyback, despite a drop in first-quarter profit due to lower oil and gas prices and weaker fuels margins.

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7 May 2024 07:02

BP in $1.75bn buyback as Q1 profits fall on weaker prices, margins

(Sharecast News) - BP reported a worse-than-expected fall in first-quarter profit on the back of lower oil and gas prices, an outage at a US refinery and "significantly weaker" fuels margins as it also started a $1.75bn share buyback.

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6 May 2024 15:01

Shell to exit South Africa's downstream businesses

CAPE TOWN, May 6 (Reuters) - Oil major Shell will divest its majority shareholding from a local South African downstream unit after a comprehensive review of its businesses across all regions, it said on Monday.

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3 May 2024 13:47

British regulator awards more North Sea oil and gas licences

NSTA awards 31 new licences aimed at boosting output

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2 May 2024 12:02

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: FTSE 100 shines but "mixed feelings" after Fed

(Alliance News) - London's FTSE 100 was solidly higher on Thursday, outperforming European peers, as earnings from the likes of Shell and Standard Chartered impressed.

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1 May 2024 18:30

Sector movers: Oil, Autos drag on FTSE 350

(Sharecast News) - Weakness in the oil patch and among select cyclicals dragged on the FTSE 350 in the middle of the week.

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30 Apr 2024 14:38

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Wednesday 1 May 
Anexo Group PLCFull Year Results
Cambridge Cognition Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Computacenter PLCTrading Statement
Georgia Capital PLCQ1 Results
GSK PLCQ1 Results
Haleon PLCTrading Statement
HSS Hire Group PLCFull Year Results
Intelligent Ultrasound Group PLCFull Year Results
Maintel Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Next PLCTrading Statement
Smith & Nephew PLCTrading Statement
Thursday 2 May 
Endeavour Mining PLCQ1 Results
First Tin PLCTrading Statement
Hiscox LtdTrading Statement
International Personal Finance PLCTrading Statement
Kerry Group PLCTrading Statement
Lancashire Holdings LtdTrading Statement
Melrose Industries PLCTrading Statement
NAHL Group PLCFull Year Results
Reach PLCTrading Statement
Shell PLCQ1 Results
Smiths News PLCHalf Year Results
Smurfit Kappa Group PLCTrading Statement
Spectris PLCTrading Statement
Standard Chartered PLCQ1 Results
TI Fluid Systems PLCQ1 Results
Friday 3 May 
InterContinental Hotels Group PLCTrading Statement
Mondi PLCTrading Statement
Trainline PLCFull Year Results
Monday 6 May 
no events scheduled 
Tuesday 7 May 
Arecor Therapeutics PLCFull Year Results
BP PLCQ1 Results
Ebiquity PLCFull Year Results
IWG PLCTrading Statement
Kosmos Energy LtdQ1 Results
MaxCyte IncQ1 Results
Trident Royalties PLCTrading Statement
Vaalco Energy IncQ1 Results
  
Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com
  
A full 21-day events calendar is provided each day with a subscription to Alliance News UK Professional.
  
Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Read more
29 Apr 2024 14:21

Norway's wealth fund falls short on climate ambitions, NGO says

OSLO, April 29 (Reuters) - Norway's $1.6 trillion sovereign wealth fund, the world's largest, is falling short on its climate ambitions by failing to back multiple shareholder proposals pushing oil companies to cut their greenhouse gas emissions, a non-governmental organization said in a report said on Monday.

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24 Apr 2024 19:30

Trans Mountain oil shippers raise concerns about risk of delay to full service

April 23 (Reuters) - Some shippers on Canada's Trans Mountain expansion project are raising concerns that the long-delayed oil pipeline will not be fully in service by its projected start date of May 1, according to a letter to the Canada Energy Regulator on Tuesday.

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24 Apr 2024 13:24

Pressure on gas and LNG prices to help switch from coal, says J.P. Morgan

LONDON, April 24 (Reuters) - Global natural gas prices will come under pressure through the end of the decade as supply and shipping infrastructure grow rapidly, particularly in Qatar and the U.S., J.P. Morgan said in a report.

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24 Apr 2024 09:58

Aker BP Q1 beats forecast as costs fall, Tyrving to start sooner

OSLO, April 24 (Reuters) - Norwegian independent oil company Aker BP on Wednesday posted higher-than-expected net profit for the first quarter as costs fell, and said its Tyrving field development could start production sooner than previously planned.

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24 Apr 2024 05:38

Aker BP Q1 beats forecast on record output, lower cost

OSLO, April 24 (Reuters) - Norwegian independent oil company Aker BP on Wednesday posted a higher-than-expected net profit for the first quarter as production hit a record while costs fell.

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18 Apr 2024 14:45

BP's gas and renewables boss steps down, as CEO shrinks leadership

LONDON, April 18 (Reuters) - BP said on Thursday its head of natural gas and low carbon energy Anja-Isabel Dotzenrath will step down after just over two years, while CEO Murray Auchincloss announced plans to simplify its management structure.

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