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Broker tips: TUI, Aggreko, Boohoo

Thu, 17th Nov 2016 15:13

(ShareCast News) - Morgan Stanley downgraded TUI to 'equalweight' as it expects the travel group's heavy investment programme will dilute cash flow and earnings per share.The rating on the Anglo-German tour operator was cut from a previous 'overweight' rating and its price target cut to 1,100p from 1,200p.While the company has had a strong year and is on track once again to exceed its 10% EBIT growth target, and in 2017 it should benefit from further merger synergies, new cruise ships, savings in Germany and France returning to a profit, there were still doubts. Morgan Stanley thinks TUI will spend the €1.5bn proceeds from the HotelBeds disposal "on a heavy capex programme rather than M&A or cash returns, meaning the EPS dilution may be permanent, and FCF will remain poor".Other downsides are the likelihood the UK will suffer from the weak pound, there is more competition coming from Jet2in the UK and Ryanair in Germany and that rebranding Thomson to TUI in the UK could bring some risk.Although TUI looks cheap on a 1.0 times p/e-to-growth ratio and offers an attractive 5.5% 2017 dividend yield, peers such as Thomas Cook and the airline stocks have derated "and while TUI's Hotels and Cruise operations are more highly rated, its FCF is weak".Jefferies upgraded Aggreko from 'underperform' to 'hold' but maintained its price target of 750p.The broker cut its earnings per share estimate for 2017 to 60.15p from 66.71p and for 2018 from 72.47p to 66.27p. The 2017 forecast was 3-5% lower than the consensus.The third quarter interim management statement (IMS) provided visibility over concerns surrounding the company's Argentina contract being re-tendered at lower rates and the 'difficult' collection of the venezuelan debt, Jefferies said.The broker's base case for Argentina called for a reduction from around £75m in earnings before interest tax and amortisation (EBITDA) to £20m and for a £20m write off for Venezuela, resulting in a £212m profit before tax for the full year in 2017.Jefferies also cautioned that "we still worry about an oversupplied market with flaccid demand, although helpfully we estimate that the key turnkey competitor, APR Energy, has utilisation of 60% potentially improving to 75%."Returns look to have been structurally impaired, but the 11-12% post tax return on invested capital (ROIC) is still reasonable and yields an enterprise value/invested capital (EV/IC) ratio of 1.5, analysts Will Kirkness and Kean Marden said in a report sent to clients.Liberum downgraded Boohoo.com to 'hold' from 'buy' on valuation grounds after the stock rose more than 216% year-to-date.In a note on clothing retailers, Liberum said it remains bullish on Boohoo's prospects, but on a price-to-earnings ratio of 72x February 2017 after a surge in the share price, the stock should pause for breath.The brokerage said Boohoo offers a significant early stage growth opportunity. "Capex of more than £100m over the next five years will lay a platform to grow sales to over £1bn versus £195m in FY16 and this will all be funded from internally generated cash. It sells only its own brand, which supports high margins."Liberum has a 120p price target on the stock.
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8 Mar 2021 11:39

Berenberg raises target price on Aggreko

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Berenberg more than doubled their target price on Aggreko from 410.0p to 880.0p on Monday after a buy-out offer from a consortium made up of TDR Capital and I Squared was recommended by the group's board.

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8 Mar 2021 09:41

BROKER RATINGS: Unilever, Aggreko upgraded and Virgin Money UK cut

BROKER RATINGS: Unilever, Aggreko upgraded and Virgin Money UK cut

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5 Mar 2021 13:07

Friday broker round-up

(Sharecast News) - Aggreko: Peel Hunt upgrades to hold with a target price of 880p.

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5 Mar 2021 08:53

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Stocks drop as rate hike fears grow; LSEG falls

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Stocks drop as rate hike fears grow; LSEG falls

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5 Mar 2021 08:31

TOP NEWS: Aggreko accepts GBP2.3 billion private equity takeover offer

TOP NEWS: Aggreko accepts GBP2.3 billion private equity takeover offer

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5 Mar 2021 07:03

Aggreko agrees £2.3bn sale to private equity groups

(Sharecast News) - Aggreko has agreed to be bought by two private equity firms in a cash deal valuing the FTSE 250 company at £2.3bn.

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1 Mar 2021 08:54

Aggreko swings to loss but encouraged by positive momentum in new year

Aggreko swings to loss but encouraged by positive momentum in new year

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1 Mar 2021 08:12

LONDON BRIEFING: Booming PPE Supply Helps Bunzl Keep Dividend Growing

LONDON BRIEFING: Booming PPE Supply Helps Bunzl Keep Dividend Growing

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1 Mar 2021 07:07

Aggreko unveils final dividend as markets recover

(Sharecast News) - Aggreko announced a final dividend as the power generator supplier said its markets were recovering after reporting an annual loss.

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22 Feb 2021 16:09

UK Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Next 7 Days

UK Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Next 7 Days

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11 Feb 2021 09:36

BROKER RATINGS: Investec Cuts NatWest To Sell; UBS Raises Aggreko

BROKER RATINGS: Investec Cuts NatWest To Sell; UBS Raises Aggreko

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9 Feb 2021 09:31

BROKER RATINGS: HSBC And ASOS Raised, DS Smith And Spire Cut

BROKER RATINGS: HSBC And ASOS Raised, DS Smith And Spire Cut

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5 Feb 2021 17:04

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Sterling Strength Continues To Hold Back FTSE 100

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Sterling Strength Continues To Hold Back FTSE 100

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5 Feb 2021 15:11

Aggreko Shares Soar On Takeover Talks With TDR Capital And I Squared

Aggreko Shares Soar On Takeover Talks With TDR Capital And I Squared

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5 Feb 2021 14:47

Aggreko in takeover talks with TDR Capital, I Squared Capital

(Sharecast News) - Aggreko shares surged on Friday after the temporary power provider said it was in talks with TDR Capital and I Squared Capital about a possible cash offer at 880p a share.

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