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Broker tips: TUI, Aggreko, Boohoo

Thu, 17th Nov 2016 15:13

(ShareCast News) - Morgan Stanley downgraded TUI to 'equalweight' as it expects the travel group's heavy investment programme will dilute cash flow and earnings per share.The rating on the Anglo-German tour operator was cut from a previous 'overweight' rating and its price target cut to 1,100p from 1,200p.While the company has had a strong year and is on track once again to exceed its 10% EBIT growth target, and in 2017 it should benefit from further merger synergies, new cruise ships, savings in Germany and France returning to a profit, there were still doubts. Morgan Stanley thinks TUI will spend the €1.5bn proceeds from the HotelBeds disposal "on a heavy capex programme rather than M&A or cash returns, meaning the EPS dilution may be permanent, and FCF will remain poor".Other downsides are the likelihood the UK will suffer from the weak pound, there is more competition coming from Jet2in the UK and Ryanair in Germany and that rebranding Thomson to TUI in the UK could bring some risk.Although TUI looks cheap on a 1.0 times p/e-to-growth ratio and offers an attractive 5.5% 2017 dividend yield, peers such as Thomas Cook and the airline stocks have derated "and while TUI's Hotels and Cruise operations are more highly rated, its FCF is weak".Jefferies upgraded Aggreko from 'underperform' to 'hold' but maintained its price target of 750p.The broker cut its earnings per share estimate for 2017 to 60.15p from 66.71p and for 2018 from 72.47p to 66.27p. The 2017 forecast was 3-5% lower than the consensus.The third quarter interim management statement (IMS) provided visibility over concerns surrounding the company's Argentina contract being re-tendered at lower rates and the 'difficult' collection of the venezuelan debt, Jefferies said.The broker's base case for Argentina called for a reduction from around £75m in earnings before interest tax and amortisation (EBITDA) to £20m and for a £20m write off for Venezuela, resulting in a £212m profit before tax for the full year in 2017.Jefferies also cautioned that "we still worry about an oversupplied market with flaccid demand, although helpfully we estimate that the key turnkey competitor, APR Energy, has utilisation of 60% potentially improving to 75%."Returns look to have been structurally impaired, but the 11-12% post tax return on invested capital (ROIC) is still reasonable and yields an enterprise value/invested capital (EV/IC) ratio of 1.5, analysts Will Kirkness and Kean Marden said in a report sent to clients.Liberum downgraded Boohoo.com to 'hold' from 'buy' on valuation grounds after the stock rose more than 216% year-to-date.In a note on clothing retailers, Liberum said it remains bullish on Boohoo's prospects, but on a price-to-earnings ratio of 72x February 2017 after a surge in the share price, the stock should pause for breath.The brokerage said Boohoo offers a significant early stage growth opportunity. "Capex of more than £100m over the next five years will lay a platform to grow sales to over £1bn versus £195m in FY16 and this will all be funded from internally generated cash. It sells only its own brand, which supports high margins."Liberum has a 120p price target on the stock.
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5 Feb 2021 09:21

UPDATE 2-Best week in 3 months for UK mid-caps as Aggreko jumps on buyout offer

(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets, click LIVE/ or type LIVE/ in a news window)* Aggreko tops mid-caps* Insurer Beazley up after reassuring on 2021 profitability* Retailer French Connection surges on takeover talks* FTSE...

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25 Jan 2021 09:37

BROKER RATINGS: Sage And Standard Chartered Both Receive Upgrades

BROKER RATINGS: Sage And Standard Chartered Both Receive Upgrades

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21 Jan 2021 09:38

LONDON BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Jefferies Says Hold BP And Buy Shell

LONDON BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Jefferies Says Hold BP And Buy Shell

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20 Jan 2021 10:48

Aggreko Anticipates 2020 Profit To Surpass Management Expectations

Aggreko Anticipates 2020 Profit To Surpass Management Expectations

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6 Jan 2021 09:40

UK BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Berenberg Raises Vodafone To Buy

UK BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Berenberg Raises Vodafone To Buy

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6 Jan 2021 08:54

Aggreko Amends Tokyo Olympics Supply Contract To Reflect Event Delay

Aggreko Amends Tokyo Olympics Supply Contract To Reflect Event Delay

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6 Jan 2021 08:17

Aggreko revises Tokyo Olympics contract to $315m

(Sharecast News) - Temporary power firm Aggreko said it had agreed an increased contract with the Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games organising committee to reflect the delay of the event to this year.

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19 Nov 2020 09:55

UK BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Liberum Upgrades easyJet, Davy Downgrades

UK BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: Liberum Upgrades easyJet, Davy Downgrades

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18 Nov 2020 09:37

UK BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: UBS And Goldman Both Cut Compass To Neutral

UK BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: UBS And Goldman Both Cut Compass To Neutral

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17 Nov 2020 13:45

IN BRIEF: Aggreko Says Annual Profit To Be At Upper End Of Guidance

IN BRIEF: Aggreko Says Annual Profit To Be At Upper End Of Guidance

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17 Nov 2020 10:44

UK WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Intermediate Capital Up Amid Profit Jump

UK WINNERS & LOSERS SUMMARY: Intermediate Capital Up Amid Profit Jump

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17 Nov 2020 08:06

Aggreko FY profit seen at top end of guidance, sets 2021 guidance

(Sharecast News) - Aggreko said on Tuesday that full-year profit is expected to be at the upper end of its previous guidance following some recovery in most of its markets, as it set its profit guidance for 2021.

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10 Nov 2020 15:42

UK Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Next 7 Days

UK Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Next 7 Days

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2 Nov 2020 16:54

UK EXECUTIVE CHANGE SUMMARY: Kakuzi Acts To Prevent Human Rights Abuse

UK EXECUTIVE CHANGE SUMMARY: Kakuzi Acts To Prevent Human Rights Abuse

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29 Oct 2020 09:55

AstraZeneca Hires Google Executive Diana Layfield As Non-Exec Director

AstraZeneca Hires Google Executive Diana Layfield As Non-Exec Director

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