BUY Recommendation from Simon Thompson8 May 2024 08:35
Buy recommendation from Simon Thompson:
“ A discounted smart way to play precious metals
This commodity royalty group is trading on a near-50 per cent discount to un-risked net asset value
May 7, 2024
by Simon Thompson
Royalty and offtake revenue up 21 per cent to $9.5mn
Pre-tax profit of $3.8mn reverses prior year loss of $4.6mn
Buoyed by profits on disposals, gains on asset revaluations and a higher royalty and offtake income, commodity royalty group Trident Royalties (TRR:36p) moved back into profit last year.
The sale of pre-production gold royalties to mining giant Franco-Nevada Corporation (CA:FNV) realised $15.8mn of cash proceeds, representing a 143 per cent return on capital, and highlights the value Trident is creating for shareholders.
Moreover, management continues to develop its gold offtake portfolio, holding offtake contracts over 10 mines, which accounted for almost three-quarters of group revenue in 2023. Since the year-end, Trident has announced positive news on two projects in the top-tier gold mining jurisdiction of Ontario, Canada.”
There is a lot more and this is the concluding part:
“ Well-funded
In February 2024, Trident entered a new $40mn revolving credit facility with an option to increase it to $60mn. The interest rate is SOFR (the replacement for Libor) plus a margin of 2.5-4.5 per cent (depending on leverage ratios), resulting in annual interest savings of $1.3mn once fully drawn.
Trident has net debt of $22mn, a sum equating to 20 per cent of shareholders’ funds, so it has ample headroom to fund new investments. Furthermore, the increasing royalty income is generating bumper operating cash flow, so much so that Tamesis estimates net debt will fall to $10.5mn by the year-end.
True, the 80 per cent decline in the LCE price in the past 18 months has dented investor sentiment. This is the key reason why the share price has pulled back to my entry point (Alpha Research: 'A lowly rated commodity and green energy inflation hedge’, 1 November 2021) even though 12 of the group’s 21 assets are now producing cash flow including a valuable gold offtake portfolio valued by Tamesis at $78.9mn (21.2p). Rated on a 50 per cent discount to unrisked NAV estimates, Trident shares are worth buying.”
The full article is available on the IC website.