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Prediction Guesses for 18/02/22
Good afternoon all, it looks like I'm the winner of this weeks predictions, but I'm not feeling like a winner, never mind chin up and let's hope next week will be better, don't think Putin has any friends here
robleo 142
mikey 143
daniel 144
Date Close Fridays
08/01/2021 128.44--07/01/2022--114.6
15/01/2021 127.22--14/01/2022--118.28
22/01/2021 127.34--21/01/2022--117.54
29/01/2021 124.84--28/01/2022--127.62
05/02/2021 134.08--04/02/2022--134.22
12/02/2021 133.92--11/02/2022--138.88
19/02/2021 131.16--18/02/2022--137.58
Shame about today. Up 20p in a month is still not bad? I will go £1.41 for next Friday close.
Are you copying me again daniel :)
142 for me, have another go Dan, cheers
Mikey, I think I must take longer to write my posts than you. So I started mine before I read yours, so I will stick to it. Besides as long you don't moan too much, I like to agree with you?! Have a good weekend all. Sounds like Reliant Robins prediction is less than a quid!! As for robleo, well, top ramper, top man?
Don't worry about Reliant Robin, he goes around all the boards calling everything ****, think Vodafone has done well this week compared to other shares, let's hope Putin doesn't invade, or I will be thinking of all the innocent people who will lose their lives because of that dictator, unbelievable
I’ll join the coin tossing fun. Next week a down week taking a breather from a good upward run. 133.45p.
Good afternoon mole, I have made a note of that, well it can either go up or down, I think the tossing of a coin is about right, when are we going to get a good stretch when everything goes up again, wish I knew the right ones to pick at the right times, think I will bung some more money into smt seems a bargain price at £10 now reduced from plus £15 and hope their experts can make things good again, how are your investments doing right now ?
Hello robleo. What makes you think s.m.t. is a good investment? I just wondered how you pick your investments? I hope you d.y.o.r. 1st!!? Good luck.
I thought I would have a browse at Reliant Robin's (A.K.A. Porsche), posts. He is not very happy is he. He says he sold all his vod shares at 1.39, (so down about 1%) & bought google at 2800, (now 2608, down about 7%) So why is he still posting on here? 1st prize for whinger of the year by a long way. Just stick to U.S. shares Robin, if you think nobody invests in the U.K. (your quote).
I thought I would have a browse at Reliant Robin's (A.K.A. Porsche), posts. He is not very happy is he. He says he sold all his vod shares at 1.39, (so down about 1%) & bought google at 2800, (now 2608, down about 7%) So why is he still posting on here? 1st prize for whinger of the year by a long way. Just stick to U.S. shares Robin, if you think nobody invests in the U.K. (your quote).
Hi Dan, The only thing I'm sure of, is I can't be trusted to make the right investments, because of my lack of experience in investing and have made some poor choices in the past, that's why I hold on to my funds for some security, which are not the top money makers but they are doing ok, Re: smt I invested there at £12 it then went up to excess of £15 as you know all tech stocks started dropping with inflation worries, so sold up at £13.50 it has since dropped further down to £10 and I think it may have further to drop yet, but if you look at the charts over the last 5 years, they have a very good reputation for making some good calls, so will be drip feeding some money back in there, but most of all I'm concentrating on building more dividend stocks, for that as you know I have vod plus I also have lgen my all time favourite which has been kind to me also mng which pays very good dividends and Lloyds banking, which I'm hoping interest rises will do it some big favours, my future plans are to sell off a few more funds and drip feed into a few more dividend stocks such as aviva or dlg to mention a few, will my plans work out as well as I hope, probably not, so if anyone wants to share any good ideas please do so, hope your all having a good weekend
Thanks robleo, & good luck. Many advocate drip feeding, but isn't it very expensive? Sorry but I don't get it?. Buying regular small amounts of shares, costs a lot more than buying a load in one go? I hope it works for you though, but I suspect the main winners are the brokers? Nice to have the mole on here with his contrary point of view, makes it more interesting? He can't help it if he is wrong? (drip selling) ??
Hi Dan, maybe I used the wrong word for that, as you know share prices go up and down throughout the year after ex div etc, if for instance I intend to put 15 k into a new share, instead of doing it in one go, I may do it in two or maybe 3 stages, just hate it when you make a new investment and the share price does a nose dive the next day, don't mean regular drip feeding that would mount up a lot of charges, just like you do with your top ups really
Dan, Rob - In my experience buying stocks in one go is the way to go if you intend to hold those for some time i.e. 5 years +.
Drip feeding is far better with funds where you don't generally pay trading fees / stamp duty, in most cases you pay nothing but you do pay to hold them whereby you don't with shares.
If its any use I've done very well by drip feeding into funds & keeping my monthly / quarterly costs to a minimum. I advocate Vanguard who I've been with for a considerable time & who have done better for me than any other broker. Charges are very low with VG, around 0.22% for some of my holdings.
Buying in drips does of course offer the investor some protection from a surge down in the markets, I guess its all down to ones own outlook but you must have a plan with investing, research to the nth degree, don't get emotionally attached to anyone share or blinkered in your outlook & most important of all diversify.
"Thanks robleo, & good luck. Many advocate drip feeding, but isn't it very expensive? Sorry but I don't get it?. Buying regular small amounts of shares, costs a lot more than buying a load in one go?"
I'm in your camp on that Dan, in that I've tended to buy large amounts in one go, but with hindsight I would have done better if I'd bought in £10,000 chunks from early on. BT and Vodafone dropped far lower than I expected, when I made my initial investments, and although I've considerably lowered my average costs per share, through top ups, I wouldn't have initially invested so heavily had I forseen the drops. If you're only buying really small amounts of shares, then drip feeding costs can add up, since a £10 dealing charge on a £100 investment is 10%, but only 1% on £1000 investment, and stamp duty is fixed a 0.5% so adds up to the same irrespective of the number of investments making the total. For example, if you bought £1000 of shares in one go, the dealing charge would be £10 + £5 stamp duty, whereas if you bought them as 10 lots of £100 each, it would add up £100 dealing charge's, but the total stamp duty would still be £5. Apart from dividend reinvestment, I personally wouldn't top up for less than £10,000 a go.
Fleccy sometimes you end up drip feeding by accident.
You make your initial purchase then few weeks later it’s went down ,and is too cheap not to buy some more so in goes another £1000
Then a month later it’s went lower again and it’s just too good to miss, cos you still believe in it.and so on.
You have guessed it initial investment must have been a Telco
"Fleccy sometimes you end up drip feeding by accident.
You make your initial purchase then few weeks later it’s went down"
It depends on your reasons for investing in a particular stock. If you invest purely on the basis that the price will rise, without believing in the company you're investing in, then you might be inclined to sell at the first sign of trouble. I have high hopes for the Telecom sector, and never bought into the negative narratives directed at the sector, so I viewed the price falls as an opportunity and topped up. If BT hits around 270p, VOD 200p, and Lloyds 65p, I'll be up around £150,000; And since I believe those figures are historically feasible, I expect I'll do ok.
That was not a go at you it was just how we have been caught with our Telecom stocks.
Still hoping we have last laugh on both BT and Vod as I still believe they have lots of up to go
meoryou. I think you may be new to this forum, we all say what we think on here?? (Oh, just me then?) But If you want to have a go at fleccy, you need to try a lot harder? fleccy. For me I think £k5 minimum, but much better to deal in higher amounts. As for the extra costs being less than the money you lose if the sp falls, Why buy if you think the sp will fall, so 50/50 perhaps. If the sp rises then you win. Have you ever heard of cash in, on bookmakers bets? They love it? Mug punters! Anyway meoryou, lets hope meandyou can be winners? Still time for your Friday close prediction, we all want to beat the evil mole-man! hiss!
Hi all, well its good we can all agree to disagree on buying a share in one go, Dan you really don't like paying those broker charges do you lol, well for me guys i have bought in one go before and then seen the price drop for one reason or another and we've had plenty of reasons for that lately, just hate it when that happens so for me it will be a few stages
still time to get those predictions in though, so far more up than down
Prediction Guesses for 25/02/22
robleo 142
mikey 141
daniel 141
Mole-man 133.45
Wiseoldmug 1.25
Thank Dan will try to remember that
Must try harder
Must try harder
Hi Robleo
I’ve had a very positive experience ‘dollar cost averaging’ (DCA) into one stock I built a position in. Each month the same amount is used to openly purchase shares and after around 4 years my average share price is some 80% below the current share price (so I’m pretty well up) To be fair the SP has been very volatile during that time so I massively benefited when the price was low, loading up on stock.
There are some good articles online about DCA and the YouTube channel, Pensioncraft, has a good video comparing DCA to bulk buying on long held index funds (back testing showed bulk buying won but the host still uses DCA for the margin of safety afforded).
This method at least reduces the risk of your large initial investment being at a high point or a prolonged drawdown over a number of years. Yes, the monthly fees can add up but so can opportunity loss if you buy in one go and the stock drops and takes a couple years to recover.
That cash is not pulling its weight in such an instance.
Really research your platform to keep fees to a minimum, some offer regular stock purchase for £1.25 a month assuming you have an open position, and you could dollar cost at slightly longer intervals (for example every two months) so you are paying the fee less often.
Last year I opened two other positions. Opened with half my amount into each and DCA the rest into each on alternate months (Jan into Stock A, Feb into Stock B etc).
Stock A, my average SP increased as it appears I bought at a low, but it hasn’t increased by much and I’m 20% up, probably losing a little over 5% on the upside.
Stock B, my SP averaged down and whilst only 10% up it would not have been this high been had I bought in one go. Splitting my money for the initial purchase also allowed me to buy into two positions at once.
Everyone will have their own strategy based on their portfolio size, income level and what helps them sleep at night, and I enjoy this about investing, always something new to learn.
Fishcakes47, Thanks for sharing that , I'm with hl so making a lot of transactions would be expensive, I have a few shares on my watchlist and not in any hurry to buy in, so waiting for what I think is a good entry price, I only buy shares that I intend keeping for several years, and not being an experienced investor buying in 2 or 3 stages gives me a better chance of getting a good average price , others are more confident than myself and prefer do it in one go, so it's what ever their happy with really, sometimes you need a bit of good luck on your side as well, another poster said they fully research a share first then go for it in one, always good to do research of course, but who could predict things like the Pandemic and poss. war etc
but best of luck to everyone which ever way works best for you