Roundtable Discussion; The Future of Mineral Sands. Watch the video here.
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can't diagree with that.
I see no attendance concerns when cinemas open provided it's done when the Covid-19 situation is under control as it is in the UK and Europe for now.
The main concern is if and when Cinemas can be opened safely in the US and studios finally release new content to lure in the punters.
All hinges on the US response to current spike of their still first wave.
Sorry - also Cuomo said yesterday (I think) that NY is doing great ' At its high, 800 were dying, yesterday it was 8'.
Yes Cinemas are indoors but I would hardly call them an "enclosed space" with social distancing measures and limits to the number of people allowed in I would be more than happy to see a film when Cinemas eventually open. It's a leisure activity that is set in a controlled environment.
A compromise could be made to make masks mandatory in the foyer which is the suggestion made by the employee petition and also those concerned it isn't enough have the free choice to wear masks if they want when watching the film, no one is going to stop someone wearing a mask if they feel they want the extra protection.
That's a notable plus. Largely, I suggest, to a more even spread across the various demographics and the now european culture of mask usage. All for one and one for all. The Free Masketers.
Once UK and US follow the pattern, we're could be go go go.
Also - instead of looking towards USA where its predominantly the first wave we should focus on Europe as a blueprint to indicate what should happen in a few weeks time over there. Italy: an ICU consultant from the epicentre of Bergamo was interviewed last week - he said patients are now presenting in a totally different way - much weaker symptoms across all age groups. France: mostly open (bars, restaurants) since 2nd June, cinemas open for 9 days now and doing very good business - masks worn until seated then removed. I bought more this morning - holding long term.
Couldn't see 'Unhinged' on that list - is that still scheduled for 31st July...…..I reckon cinemas will be fully booked: target demographics have absolutely no fear of the virus, they are sick to death of being locked down/up, they also have plenty of cash due to working from home/furlough etc. My two sons being classic examples.
Masks.
A solution we hate, but a solution (limitations accepted)
It's the enclosed space where the virus tends to thrive. I'm not convinced yet that it will be safe enough to sit in there for two hours -- it only takes a few coughs. It's on a knife edge at the moment.
The long term assumption has to be not going with VOD. So, they need the cinema alive and well, with a constant stream of films.
Film production has obviously been halted and once that is back on track (ok, animated films and post production largely unaffected) they know the cinemas can do what they need them to do for them. Obv. some just waiting in the wings for the whistle.
VOD could still be a purely short term option (not likely imo) IF film production can start but cinemas can't. The films would then start to stack up and tighten scheduling. In my view, they need/want stable rollouts so likely to WAIT until this seems probable. Stop/start makes advertising less effective/more expensive.
Attendances are likely to be VERY good once indoor viewing for 2+ hours is considered a low enough CV19 risk.
Folk want to go out.
Draft - that’s about the only certainty here. When they do open (whenever that may be) appetite will be strong for tickets.
We’ve seen it in every other sector, be that public space, retail, or travel, so I don’t see why cinema would be different.
2020 release calendar as it stands:
Tenet: August 12
The Secret Garden: August 14
Mulan: August 21
Bill & Ted Face the Music: August 28
A Quiet Place: Part II: September 4
Blithe Spirit: September 4
Dream Horse: September 4
Our Ladies: September 11
The King's Man: September 16
Candyman: September 25
Wonder Woman 1984: October 2
The French Dispatch: October 16
Black Widow: October 28
No Time To Die: November 12
Soul: November 20
Free Guy: December 11
West Side Story: December 18
Dune: December 28
Top Gun: Maverick: December 23
The August dates seem most precarious at the moment. They've all been shifted multiple times already. Jury is out if we will have any Summer releases this year.
it wont be low attendance - no chance.
I think the answer is anything is possible and you are definitely right to thinking about those questions.
If all goes to plan this SP is a steal right now, but if it does not then it could go lower.
I wish I knew :-D
...But will studios want to release their big movies IF the attendances turn out to be low? Will WB want to release Tenet in late July? They might wait till next year if the second wave continues to rise.