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Lol. Weather forecasters don’t get me started. They can’t even get there symbols and narrative to match. Try one of these https://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/Funny-Weather-Forecasting-Stone-Natural-Slate-Plaque-Ideal-Gift-Sign-20cm-x15cm-/263023377055
You can also change the narrative and forecast PMO share price.
TR61...Agree with you they haven't a clue Roaring Headlines say Oil down.....Alao say Oil going up...They have lost credibility.. Debt going in right direction. Here for the long haul. BUY
Most of these so called forecasts by experts and analysts are done far too frequently for any trend to be picked up, therefore creating volatility and a false projection. Good hedge fund fodder though, especially in this corrupt world of clarity and transparency.
No-one believes any of these forecasts,
Brokers cannot get any SP forecasts right
Government cannot get figures for Brexit right
HS2 forecast way out
Weather forecasts cannot get that right (even on same day)
EIA and API forecasts are never right, even when they give their own forecasts the week before
And we got to take on board forecasts from all these jerks, who never seem to get anything right.
The realty, could be higher or lower....as Alfa says and I use now, the whole forecasting and market just a casino...sometimes they right and sometimes they wrong.
They always get paid on a forecast, NEVER DO THESE COMPANIES GET PAID WHEN THEIR FORECASTS ARE WITHIN A SMALL TOLERANCE ...RESULT = GET PAID = WIN WIN WHATEVER THE OUTCOME....
In other words all a load of Bol*ocks ......
My forecast for 2020, the figures will not be what they suggest, can I get paid anything for my very accurate analysis, provided by 50 very high tech computers...working 24 hours a day, doing the figures......FFS
LOL :)
Jay, do you have that setup like an automatic signature, or are you typing it out each time?
Actual demand has been greater than forecast the last few years, EIA forecasts are cautious by nature.
Geo, irrelevant if supply is increasing greater than demand.
Target 55p
Demand isn’t falling. Demand growth rate is falling, which is a very different thing.
Demand is falling for now, have a read of this, I expect marine traffic will adapt and migrate in q4 ready for new legislation coming in to force, there's your additional crude demand made up to support oil prices.....
https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/oil-and-gas/our-insights/imo-2020-and-the-outlook-for-marine-fuels
July 19 (Reuters) – The International Energy Agency (IEA) doesn't expect oil prices to rise significantly because demand is slowing and there is a glut in global crude markets, its executive director said on Friday.
"Prices are determined by the markets...If we see the market today we see that the demand is slowing down considerably," said IEA's Fatih Birol, in public comments made during a two-day energy conference in New Delhi.
The IEA is revising its 2019 global oil demand growth forecast down to 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) and may cut it again if the global economy and especially China shows further weakness, Birol told Reuters in an interview on Thursday. ...
Last year, the IEA predicted that 2019 oil demand would grow by 1.5 million bpd. But in June this year it cut the growth forecast to 1.2 million bpd.
"Substantial amount of oil is coming from the United States, about 1.8 million barrels per day, plus oil from Iraq, Brazil and Libya," Birol said.
My thought is ....... now they have taken oil down to WTI 54.97, they should leave it there for next 12 months to 2 years, as this is approx break even for shale, thus just shutting many of them down as much as possible and meaning they make zero. Stick it back up the same people creating this mess.
That would soon create many problems with the US shale industry, especially for finance. (i realise not practical but would be nice LOL)
These yankee****** are making a fortune taking oil up and down, just in last 10 mins, dropped again from back up 62.23 to 61.45 in less than 10 mins.......
That's the problem, they can take oil down in 5 mins and back up the same.........................making millions at it.
Now at 61.36 so guess they want it down again in 60's ....... these algobots have killed true investing for the future........