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Brilliant end to a terrific week for MSi with volumes way above the weekly average despite being a day short. On a shortened weeks trading the shares blew past 1000 on a big increase in bargains dealt.
I wonder where all this renewed interest is coming from? Can it purely be the Defence Sector which has been widely reported by all and sundry?
Volumes were little impacted due to Easter Monday though today an off book trade of 15,850 carried over from yesterday flattered early vols. Trades shot up late on in the session to close at their best of the day with many "1000" individual trades crossing the tape.
Who knows had MSi been a 250 stock the share price might well have been over 1500 by now.
Wk 19
-----
Sp 990-1020
L/yr 443
7/88 113
----
Trades 129
T/vols 87,800
Buys 50,850
Sells 36,950
Buy % 59
Av trd 670
------
Ytd
---
Msi +15%
100 +9%
250 +5%
A/S +7%
Aim +3%
---
Gold +14%
Oil +8%
Palm +6%
----
Evening all.
The Dow extended its winning streak to 7 sessions which it has done on 190 previous occasions since inception in 1896 when 12 companies represented the index.
Yesterday data showed a much bigger than expected increase in jobless claims. This could lead to the Fed lowering rates earlier than most forecasts. Traders remain guarded ahead of a report on US consumer sentiment in May which will include readings on inflation.
On Wall the major averages ended the day just off highs, the Dow some 500 points off its all-time high close of 39,388. On the big board 5 stocks closed in the red the risers led by Home Depot, Cat and GS.
Second line companies were in the news, Equinox, Yeti Holdings and Cheesecake Factory all gained but Airbnb ($147) sank 7% on current revs lower than hoped though the company topped Q1 profit forecasts. Arm Holdings Q4 nos disappointed shares slipped to $102.
Nyse data
Issues 2880
Advances 1986
Declines 805
U/c 89
NH 193
NL 18
T/vol(bn) 3•8
-------------
DJ +331 (39,388)
SP +26 (5214)
NS +28 (18,113)
R2 +15 (1330)
WTI $80
10ytb 4•465%
-----------
MSCI(W) +15 (3411)
Gold Bugs +6 (273)
---------------
Latest :- Vix 13. Brent $84.
Gold $2352. Copper $4•628.
Palm $985. Silver $28•595.
$1•252. €1•161.
FF +40. DF +61.
Morning all.
MSi could post a record high this week or certainly shortly if volumes increase. On Dec 12th, 2023 the shares hit an intraday high of 979 closing the week at 890 after profit takers banked gains.
Bulls are looking at 1000+ before the F/Y results and a big jump in earnings.
Despite a choppy trading session the Dow closed higher for the 6th straight day as dealers price in an expected rate cut sometime in Sept. On the Top 30 big board Amgen, Boeing & JPMC led the risers while Merck and Intel propped up the (9) losers.
CME Groups FedWatch Tool currently indicating an 83% chance of a rate cut in Q3. The BOE are expected to hold rates this time round at 5•25% a 16 year high.
"Name" stocks came under considerable selling pressure. Shopify ($63) tumbled 18% after reporting better profits & revs for their latest Q. The company said revenue growth would slow and would make less profit off each $ of revenue.
Match Group ($30) sank 6% while beating profit forecasts and Intel ($30) fell 2% after saying the US Commerce Dept revoked licensing a Chinese customer. Lyft ($18) the ride hailing cab company revved up 7% on stronger early morning commute and wk/end trips helping to beat forecasts for top and bottom lines.
Arista Networks ($290) climbed 7% for the bigest gain on the 500. Most companies have been reporting stronger profits this Q than analysts had expected.
Nyse data
--------
Issues 2885
Advances 1260
Declines 1547
U/c 78
NH 141
NL 32
T/vol(bn) 3•8
-------------
DJ +172 (39,056)
SP u/c (5188)
NS -6 (18,085)
R2 -3 (1315)
WTI $79
10ytb 4•509%
----------
MSCI(W) -6 (3396)
Gold Bugs +1 (267)
---------------
Latest :- Vix 13. Brent $84.
Gold $2314. Copper $4•560.
Palm $985. Silver $27•705.
$1•249. €1•163.
FF +26. DF -8.
Morning all.
Fears the Fed may be actively considering raising rates kept investors on the sidelines yesterday. After hawkish comments from some Fed Officials, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari suggested rates need to remain at current levels for an "extended period." He added he could not rule out the Fed raising rates calling the bar for hiking rates "quite high" but not infinite.
Fed Bank of Richmond Pres said he feels the risks are weighted towards more inflation and NY counterpart John Williams said timing of cuts will depend on the totality of incoming data.
Meanwhile equity mrkts were becalmed the major averages were flat as investors decided to take profits despite upbeat earnings from the financial sector. A surprise drop in Disney box office and its TV business saw the shares slump 10% to $105, its bigest drop since 10/22. Disney was the big loser on the big board, 10 of which fell on the day.
Tesla ($176) dropped 4% on data showing the automaker sold 62,167 China made EVs down 18% from last year. Apple ($182) held its first event of the year promoting major updates to its iPads and Pencil & Magic Keyboard via a "livestreamed" launch in London and NY.
The USD reversed an early drop and was last higher against a basket of currencies. Longer dated Treasury yields slipped as traders focused on absorbing $125bn in new supply this week. Oils closed lower on easing supply concerns and Gold gave up earlier gains in subdued trading.
Nyse data
Issues 2891
Advances 1584
Declines 1232
U/c 75
NH 212
NL 16
T/vol(bn) 4•0
-------------
DJ +32 (38,884)
SP +7 (5188)
NS -2 (18,091)
R2 +2 (1318)
WTI $78
10ytb 4•477%
----------
Latest :- Vix 13. Brent $82.
Gold $2319. Copper $4•572.
Palm $1050. Silver $27•580.
$1•248. €1•162.
FF +14. DF +1.
Morning all.
Wall closed higher for the 3rd
straight session as traders price in rate cuts worth 46 points by Sept or Nov. Rates remain at a 23yr high of 5•3%.
On a strong day for equities techs led the headlines, Arm Holdings ($109) gained ahead of results this week with analysts optimistic about future prospects. Also Micron Tech, AMD and Super Micro Computer were on buyers lists.
Paramount Global ($13) edged up after ending talks with Skydance on hopes new suitors Sony & Apollo (fund management) will acquire the company. Sony shares fell on the news after reportedly offering $26bn to acquire the company. Warren Buffet disclosed his exit from Paramount citing personal responsibility for the loss.
Spirit Airlines ($3•37) fell 10% to a record low after reporting weak Q2 nos on more plane groundings and excess capacity forcing the company to discount heavily to fill seats.
On the big board top 30 Disney, IBM & Cat led the 20 risers. Boeing, Apple & Amgen propped up the laggards. The Dow ended up 176 for a 3% ytd gain.
Nyse data
Issues 2896
Advances 2181
Declines 638
U/c 77
NH 169
NL 19
T/vol(bn) 3•9
-------------
Latest :- Vix 14. Brent $84.
Gold $2321. Copper $4•614.
Palm $1050. Silver $27•630.
$1•259. €1•166.
FF +32. DF +16.
Morning all.
UK mrkts are closed for May Day holiday after the ftse ended up 41 8213 and 6% up ytd, leading the Dow averages for the first time since noone can remember when.
Japan and S.Korean mrkts are closed for Children's Day holidays, elsewhere its a mixed picture China, Taiwan, Singapore & Malaysia trade higher while NZ, Hong Kong and Indonesia trend lower.
Wall closed the week with strong gains across the board leaving the S&P up 7•5% this year. A weaker than expected jobs report pleased investors. Just 175k new jobs were created in April against 315k jobs in March leading to hopes of a September rate cut.
On back of US mrkts, Australia is notably better adding to gains in the previous 2 sessions. The ASX200 is up 53 to 7682 while the broader All Ordinaries (7946) is ahead 46 on back of major stocks Rio Tinto, BHP & Newmont on investor buy lists. The All Ordinaries contain 500 of the largest listed stocks and accounts for 97% of the mrkt. In the currency mrkt the Aussie dollar trades at $0•662.
Latest :- Vix 13. Brent $83.
Gold $2311. Copper $4•591.
Palm $1045. Silver $27•125.
$1•254. €1•166. WTi $78.
10ytb 4•518%.
FF +23. DF +34.
Morning all.
Nyse data
Issues 2879
Advances 2134
Declines 690
U/c 55
NH 123
NL 18
T/vol(bn) 3•9
-------------
DJ +450 (38,676)
SP +64 (5128)
NS +349 (17,891)
R2 +10 (1301)
WTI $78
10ytb 4•518%
----------
MSCI(W) +40 (3361)
Gold Bugs -1 (261)
---------------
Close :- Vix 13. Brent $83.
Gold $2301. Copper $4•568.
Palm $950. Silver $26•785.
Yen 153. Yuan 7•24.
$1•254. €1•165.
Morning all.
A big drop in volume terms this week versus last. As seems to be the case with
Msi there's no rhyme or reason for the volatility in trading deals and volumes from one week to the next.
Guess it's symptomatic of Aim shares largely dependent on newsflows for pis interest, not that MSi provides much for us in that regard. Whatever and one shouldn't read too much into these nos, buys outpaced sells by a factor of 1•32:1 over c.78 deals.
On a pre holiday weekend which usually sees share prices ease back on a "who'd be wanting to hold these?" type scenarios, seems very few did today as only 8 trades crossed the tape on a very dull day.
Here's the nos:-
Sp 890-920
L/yr 480-510
H 935
L 443
7/88 113
---
Trds 78
T/Vols 59,300
Buys 33,700
Sells 25,600
----
Av trd 760
Av trd£ 780
-----
Ytd
MSi +4%
100 +6%
250 +2%
All +5%
Aim +1%
---
Evening all.
Fed Chair Powell said the next move in rates would likely be down scotching trader talk of a raise.
On Wall St stocks fluctuated in early dealings before moving higher over the day. The major averages showed strong moves to the upside going into the close with all 3 posting solid gains. The S&P holding its 6% rise ytd.
Main talking point was Apple's
After hours gain to $183 despite iPhone sales dropping 10%. Investors were cheered by a $110bn buyback a 22% increase on last year's $90bn authorisation and the bigest share repurchases by a company in US history.
Berkshire Hathaway owns nearly 6% of Apple (906m shares) and is the 2nd largest investor after the Vanguard Fund Group. Buffet is not averse to selling Apple stock he sold 10m last year. The stock is down 7% ytd.
Gold is holding $2300 level as the US Labour mrkt continues to stabilise as jobless claims came in at 208,000 unchanged. Oils ($84) edged up after selling off to a 7 week low following inventories surging by 7•3m barrels to the highest levels since 6/23.
Issues 2866
Advances 2189
Declines 603
U/c 74
NH 80
NL 26
T/vol(bn) 4•4
------------
DJ +322 (38,226)
SP +46 (5064)
NS +230 (17,542)
R2 +19 (1291)
WTI $79
10ytb 4•584%
----------
MSCI(W) +28 (3322)
Gold Bugs +1 (262)
---------------
Latest :- Vix 15. Brent $84.
Gold $2307. Copper $4•499.
Palm $950. Silver $26•875.
$1•255. €1•169.
FF +18. DF +244.
Morning all.
Nyse data
Issues 2867
Advances 1700
Declines 1102
U/c 74
NH 56
NL 36
T/vol(bn) 4•5
------------
DJ +87 (37,903)
SP -17 (5018)
NS -122 (17,319)
R2 +4 (1272)
WTI $79
10ytb 4•621%
-----------
MSCI(W) -11 (3294)
Gold Bugs +2 (260)
---------------
Latest :- Vix 15. Brent $84.
Gold $2314. Copper $4•566.
Palm $1012. Silver $26•825.
$1•253. €1•169.
FF +43. DF +176.
Morning all.
Of the 265 companies that have reported earnings 79% have beaten analysts expectations for Q1 nos compared to the long'term average of 67%. Yet investors remain bearish.
US equities have had a rough April as inflation nos have pulled back bets on rate cuts in H1 and all 3 major indexes are poised to record their first monthly loss in 6 months as US consumer confidence deteriorated in April falling to its lowest level in 18 months. Coupled with the 'sell in May' and 'go away' crowd the S&P had its worst month this year.
Ten of the 11 S&P sectors fell led down by big tech and an assortment of other big cap counters. Tesla ($181) led the sell off falling 7% as the company is set to sack hundreds of staff coming after the recent 14,000 lay offs and Musk firing 2 senior executives. Musk was quoted as saying 'only the excellent, trustworthy and necessary should be kept on'.
Mrkts were stunned by data showing slower than forecast growth and persistent inflation. Disappointing nos from Meta ($427) triggered the sell off along with IBM, Southwest and Caterpillar all falling. On the big board top 30 only 2 stocks gained (3M & P&G). Cat, Boeing and Msoft propped up the laggards ahead of Amazon earnings nos.
Nyse data
Issues 2897
Advances 495
Declines 2333
U/c 69
NH 64
NL 36
Tot vol(bn) 4•0
-------------
DJ -570 (37,816)
SP -80 (5036)
NS -342 (17,441)
R2 -25 (1268)
WTI $81
10ytb 4•677%
-----------
MSCI(W) -41 (3305)
Gold Bugs -13 (258)
----------------
Latest :- Vix 16. Brent $86.
Gold $2285. Copper $4•527.
Palm $1027. Silver $26•600.
$1•247. €1•170.
FF -2. DF +21.
Morning all.
Nyse data
Issues 2885
Advances 1997
Declines 811
U/c 77
NH 79
NL 9
T/vol(bn) 3•4
-------------
DJ +146 (38,386)
SP +16 (5116)
NS +64 (17,783)
R2 +8 (1293)
WTI $82
10ytb 4•610%
-----------
Latest :- Vix 15. Brent $ 87.
Gold $2321. Copper $4•675.
Palm $1027. Silver $26•900.
$1•254. €1•172.
FF +1. DF -65.
Asia is trading higher this morning following positive cues from Wall overnight as traders look to the latest Fed's monetary policy announcement due on Wed.
The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged as recent economic data has tamped down expectations of a near term rate cut.
Stocks managed small gains during the session after upward moves last week. On the big board top 30 Boeing, Apple and Amgen led the risers with Msoft, United Health and Intel propping up the losers.
Morning all.
Markets across Asia are trading higher following the broadly positive cues from global mrkts and a strong close on Wall St where the 500 consolidated its position above 5100 points. US inflation data and a drop in 10y/tb pleased investors.
The Nikkei 225 is closed on account of it being Showa day honouring emperor Hirohito's birthday 1926-1989. Elsewhere in Asia Hong Kong up for the 5th straight sessionp as properties see buyers return. Taiwan second to Tokyo in global best performer stakes is well ahead in morning trade (+c.2%) along with Shanghai benefiting from strong demand among technologies.
Sydney is significantly ahead going into the close on the back of resource stocks, financials and gold miners. The ASX200 was up 70 heading to the close and just in positive territory for the year.
Investors were busy sealing their gold holdings last week as future's test $2350 though analysts point out the latest economic data puts Central Banks in a difficult position as inflation remains elevated and Govt debt and slowing growth are providing support for gold if headaches for equity investors.
Latest :- Vix 15. Brent 87.
Gold $2331. Copper 4•602.
Palm $1027. Silver $27•300.
$1•255. €1•169. 10ytb 4•669%
FF +42. DF +132.
Morning all.
More MSi data:-
5 day +12%
30 +14%
90 +2%
Ytd +5%
52 +80%
---------
DJ +154 (38,240)
SP +52 (5100)
NS +288 (17,718)
R2 +10 (1284)
WTI $84
10ytb 4•669%
-----------
MSCI(W) +28 (3335)
Gold Bugs +2 (269)
----------------
Close :- Vix 15. Brent $88.
Gold $2337. Copper $4•587.
Palm $1027. Silver $27•225.
Yen 158. Yuan 7•25.
$1•249. €1•168.
------------
Nyse data
Issues 2887
Advances 1859
Declines 941
U/c 87
NH 81
NL 22
T/vol(bn) 3•6
------------
Morning all
Volumes and deals surged yesterday and on the week with over 127,000 shares exchanged . Investors drew comfort from the Govts commitment to increase defence spending to at least 2•5% of gdp. Whether MSi will be a beneficiary of the millions being splashed out is not known. Suffice to say we should be on the list.
Wk 17
----
Sp 900-910
L/yr 500
H 935
L 443
7/88 113
----
Trds 114
Vols 127,000
Buys 75,000
Sells 52,000
Buy % 60
----
Av trd 1105
Av £ 1140
----
Ytd
---
MSi +5%
100 +5%
250 +1%
All +4%
Aim -1%
---
Morning all.
Issues 2889
Advances 839
Declines 1975
U/c 75
NH 44
NL 48
T/vol(bn) 4•0
------------
DJ -375 (38,086)
SP -23 (5048)
NS -96 (17,430)
R2 -11 (1274)
WTI $83
10ytb 4•697%
-----------
Latest :- Vix 15. Brent $88.
Gold $2335. Copper $4•576.
Palm $952. Silver $27•435.
$1•250. €1•166.
FF +60. DF +85.
The Dow slumped over 700 at one time before wiser heads prevailed. The mrkt ended over 1% down at 38,086 by the close. Dow futures are called 50 better and the 500 to close the week in positive territory.
Signs of persistent inflation are dampening hopes of a rate cut in the first half as US Q1 GDP came in at 1•6% much lower than forecast as inflation gathered pace to 3•4%. Growth stocks came under pressure following Meta's 2 day fall of $61(13%). Alphabet and Msoft will report after the mrkt closes on Thursday.
IBM ($168) came off 9% after it announced it would buy HashCorp in a deal worth $6bn to expand its cloud based software business. The company also missed consensus estimates for Q1 revenues. Southwest Airlines ($27) slid 8% after it slashed estimates for new deliveries from Boeing.
Boeing is having production problems, a credit rating downgrade from Moodys, multiple legal actions resulting from the Alaska Air accident and in the midst of buying its key supplier SpiritAeroSystems.
On a brighter note Newmont ($43) the world's largest gold miner gained 10% beating Wall's estimates for Q1 profits. The company also disclosed plans to divest non core assets and trim its workforce to reduce debt after the acquisition of Newcrest in November.
Morning all.
Mrkt talk yesterday was all about is the US Nsdq exchange about to acquire London's Aim mrkt. Likely at this stage its just wishful thinking by bored traders but here's a thought.
In 2000 UK listed equities made up 11% of the MSI World Index which tracks 1500 companies. That is down to 4pc now. Citi research shows MSCI UK Index which tracks 80 of the bigest UK listed firms trades at a near 40% discount to the 625 strong US Index.
Valuations of British companies are egregiously low according to Nick Train a leading fund manager who has a 4% stake in the LSE saying one way to wake up investors was if a giant UK blue chip launched a takeover of Aim.
Taking Aim away from the LSE opens up a myriad of possibilities as NSDQ European operations have been growing fast. Adding AIM despite its problems would put rocket boosters under its network which includes seven exchanges inc those of Sweden, Denmark, Iceland and Finland.
The timing could be fortuitous as in 2007 there were 1700 companies listed on Aim now down to 738 with just 1 company joining this year so far.
DJ -43 (38,461)
SP +1 (5072)
NS +55 (17,527)
R2 -3 (1285)
WTI $83
10ytb 4•650%
-----------
MSCI(W) +1 (3323)
Gold Bugs u/c (256)
----------------
Nyse data
Issues 2890
Advances 1186
Declines 1596
U/c 108
NH 58
NL 30
T/vol(bn) 3•7
-------------
Latest :- Vix 16. Brent $87.
Gold $2310. Copper $4•451.
Palm $1042. Silver $27•020.
$1•246. €1•164.
FF -1. DF -54.
Talking point of the day was the after hours slump in Meta stock price which fell 15% to $419. Earnings came out above expectations (Q1+27%) but Zuckerberg said the company would spend billions more on Ai which shocked investors. Capex is forecast to rise between $37bn-$40bn from $28bn last year.
Meta woes weighed on the wider mrkt as big cap techs fell in sympathy. Bucking the trend Tesla added $17 to $162
on reports sales would be up this year and production of more affordable EVs would start in early 2025. They are expected to be priced around $25,000. On the big board gainers outpaced losers by 18 to 12 with Boeing propping up the losers after its fist Q loss in 7 quarters. Plane deliveries fell 47% in the quarter.
Boeing never out of the news reported a Q1 loss of $1•13 per share on revs of $16•6bn which were better than forecast. Boeing declined to give any 2024/5 guidance even after United and Delta said they are talking to Airbus. Boeing has a massive order backlog of 5591 planes worth c.$500bn.
Morning all.
Maybe Sunak saying under conservatives defence will increase to 2.5% of GDP by 2030, could be all just annoncements pre election though, nice to see break out of rut anyway.
We have seen the occasional spike up in trades in the past which subsequently amounted to nothing. Have no reason to think todays 45 trades are any different.
At least the shares have broken out of the 820-840 range but need to kick on from here before anyone gets too excited.
Evening all.
Sp jumped up - any ideas folks
US mrkts closed higher yesterday following positive earnings from blue chip companies with some of the 'Mag7' reporting this week. Tesla announced the launch of new EV models and Q revenues that missed estimates. In after hours trading the stock was up $19 to $164 on the propect of more affordable models.
Investors were also pleased with Q1 earnings from GM ($45) which topped forecasts and raised guidance thanks in the main to truck sales out performance. Spotify (290 eu) the Swedish streaming giant posted gross profits that topped 1bn euros for the first time.
GE Aerospace was helped up 8% on bullish F/Y profit forecasts however Jet Blue ($6•25) the low cost carrier tumbled nearly 20% as the company warned on forward revenues following lukewarm Q nos.
Data showed that US business activity cooled in April to a 4 month low due to weaker demand suggesting positive relief ahead of rising consumer prices.
DJ +264 (38,504)
SP +59 (5071)
NS +260 (17,471)
R2 +24 (1288)
WTI $83
10ytb 4•621%
-----------
MSCI(W) +40 (3323)
Gold Bugs +4 (256)
----------------
Nyse data
Issues 2891
Advances 2339
Declines 485
U/c 67
NH 64
NL 15
T/vol(bn) 3•7
-------------
Latest :- Vix 16. Brent $87.
Gold $2327. Copper $4•468.
Palm $1015. Silver $27•465.
$1•245. €1•163.
FF +54. DF +58.
Morning all.
Easing tensions in the ME helped underpin sentiment as bargain hunters returned in force seeking oversold counters. Buying the 'dips' is a popular strategy among pis just as the 500 has hit a rough patch down nearly 6% this month.
Investors sought out tech growth stocks Amazon, Alphabet and Apple all reporting this week, while Nvidia ($793) rebounded 4% from a 10% sell off in the previous session. Tesla ($142) dropped 3% as the car maker cut prices in China & Germany following price reductions in the US. The stock has fallen 18% this last month and the Q results are expected to be the worst in 7 years. Ford Motor ($13) shone gaining 6% having been overlooked recently.
On the big board GS, JPMC & Amazon led the risers with Disney, UH & Verizon propping up the laggards. Twenty five of the top (30) gained on the day.
Cardinal Health ($104) fell 5% as the drug distributor said its contract with OptumRe, one of United Health Groups divisional companies will not be renewed after June.
On the economic front March personal consumption data (PCE) nos will be released this week.....,the preferred measure of inflation used by the Fed. Expected
small uptick to 2•6%.
---------------
Nyse data
Issues 2880
Advances 2066
Declines 730
U/c 84
NH 29
NL 44
T/vol(bn) 3•8
-------------
DJ +254 (38240)
SP +43 (5011)
NS +173 (17,211)
R2 +10 (1264)
WTI $83
10ytb 4•612%
-----------
MSCI(W) +26 (3289)
Gold Bugs -11 (252)
----------------
Latest :- Vix 17. Brent $87.
Gold $2308. Copper $4•431.
Palm $1030. Silver $26•990.
$1•235. €1•259.
FF +43. DF +2.
Morning all.