11 Sep 2018 16:17
London, UK, 11 September 2018
Edison issues outlook on Game Digital (GMD)
Even as Game Digital (GMD) faces short-term trading pressure, its developing BELONG gaming arena concept is arguably part of the answer of what to do with the UK's high streets and shopping centres. The first BELONG sites under the February 2018 agreement with Sports Direct are now opening. With GMD's share price still less than net cash of 32p, neither the existing business, which currently contributes £10m of EBITDA, nor BELONG which we value at 23p, are attributed any value by the market. Our total valuation is 75p.
GMD trades at a discount to its net cash of 32p per share. We value the shares on three metrics: peer comparison, DCF and sum of the parts (SOTP). Our peer valuation of 93p is an average between US operator GameStop, whose valuation points to a GMD value of 59p, and UK special interest operators, indicating 126p. Our DCF valuation using a high 15% WACC is 61p. Our SOTP metric adds the BELONG roll-out valued as a project, net cash and the existing business conservatively treated as a perpetuity at 30%, totalling 71p. Our blended valuation between these three metrics is 75p (previously 74p). However, we note that our SOTP indicates that BELONG and cash alone are worth 55p per share.
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