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Annual Financial Report

22 Mar 2023 07:00

RNS Number : 7754T
Axiom European Financial Debt Fd Ld
22 March 2023
 

22 March 2023

Axiom European Financial Debt Fund Limited

("Axiom" or the "Company")

 

Annual Financial Report

For the year ended 31 December 2022

 

A robust performance in a challenging market - Reassuring outlook and positive start to 2023

 

Axiom European Financial Debt Fund Limited, a closed-ended Guernsey fund, listed on the Premium Segment of the London Stock Exchange, which offers investors exposure to a diversified portfolio covering the European banking and financials sector subordinated debt market, today announces its Annual Financial Report for the year ended 31 December 2022.

Highlights [1]

 

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

Published net assets

£84,901,000

£96,585,000

Published NAV per Ordinary Share [1]

92.43p

105.15p

Share price

84.00p

95.50p

Discount to Published NAV

(9.12)%

(9.18)%

(Loss/)/profit for the year

£(6,172,000)

£14,746,000

Dividend per share declared in respect of the year

6.00p

6.00p

Total (loss)/return per Ordinary Share (based on the Published NAV)

(6.39)%

16.88%

Total (loss)/return per Ordinary Share (based on share price)

(5.76)%

15.34%

Ordinary Shares in issue at year end

91,852,904

91,852,904

 

[1]

These are Alternative Performance Measures. Please see note 22 for a reconciliation of the NAV per Ordinary Share of 92.76p (2021: 105.48p) to the Published NAV per Ordinary Share of 92.43p (2021: 105.15p).

 

Financial Highlights

· Total returns for the 12 months were -6.39% (FY21: 16.88%), reflecting the challenging market conditions during 2022 with rising inflation and interest rates

· Positive NAV return per share in the second half of 0.77%, partly clawing back first half deficit

· Four quarterly dividend payments, each of 1.50p per share, declared during the year bringing the total dividend declared for the period to 6.00p

 

Outlook

· Our asset class and sector remains attractive in light of rising interest rates which are in general good for the European banking and financials sector

· Encouraging start for 2023 with positive returns in January and February reflecting solid sector results season to date

 

Update on AEFD's Future

· The Board continues to believe that the sector and Company present investors with attractive returns

· However, as stated at the half-year, the Board has concluded that there is insufficient investor demand for the current closed-ended listed structure

· The Company's advisers are currently working on proposals that will be published shortly and put to shareholders at a general meeting in May 2023 in regards to the future of the of the Company

 

William Scott, Chairman, commented:

"The Company's portfolio generated a positive NAV return per share, including dividends and net of all expenses, over the second half of the year, partly clawing back the first half deficit. Given the volatile market conditions that saw a period of sharply rising short-term rates and long-term yields, we believe this is a creditable result.

 

"The outlook for our strategy is now more positive. Rising interest rates are in general good for banks, enabling wider spreads between lending and deposit rates and we have seen robust performances from banks as they have reported their results. Returns on equity have been strong, interest margins widened, and non-performing loans have remained at low levels.

 

"We look forward with renewed optimism for the market in regulatory capital instruments issued by financial institutions in which we operate and where, through the open-ended rollover option, continuing shareholders can benefit from the application of our Investment Manager's specialist skills to a rich opportunity set which is not easily accessible to more generalist managers."

 

Antonio Roman, Investment Manager, said:

"Last year will be remembered as being a particularly difficult period for the bond market. The conjunction of global monetary tightening and the war in Ukraine resulted in an exceptionally fast increase in interest rates combined with a significant widening of credit spreads.

 

"Despite this, European banks' fundamentals remained strong throughout the year and as the conditions improved, their performance improved, spreads tightened and the fund was able to claw back some of the first half deficit during the latter part of the year.

 

"Although the fallout from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the situation at Credit Suisse have caused a significant sell-off across global bank stocks, we are reassured by rapid actions of regulators and governments to limit the impact and by the robust solvency of the majority of European banks."

 

"In 2023, bank credit investors will also have to navigate the cross-currents induced by monetary tightening but we continue to view the Company as being well positioned to capture the many opportunities arising from a higher interest rates environment."

 

Enquiries to:

 

Axiom Alternative Investments SARL

David Benamou

Gildas Surry

Antonio Roman

Jerome Legras

 

 

 

www.axiom-ai.com

Tel: +44 20 3807 0670

Elysium Fund Management Limited

PO Box 650

1st Floor, Royal Chambers

St Julian's Avenue

St Peter Port

Guernsey

GY1 3JX

 

axiom@elysiumfundman.com

Tel: +44 1481 810 100

MHP Communications

Reg Hoare

Charles Hirst

 

 

 

 

 

axiom@mhpc.com

Tel: +44 20 3128 8193

 

A copy of the Company's Annual Report and Financial Statements for the year ended 31 December 2022 will shortly be available to view and download from the Company's website, http://axiom-ai.com/web/en/axiom-european-financial-debt-fund-limited-2/. Neither the contents of the Company's website nor the contents of any website accessible from hyperlinks on the Company's website (or any other website) is incorporated into or forms part of this announcement.

 

About Axiom European Financial Debt Fund Limited

General information

The Company is an authorised closed-ended Guernsey investment company with registered number 61003. Its Ordinary Shares were admitted to the premium listing segment of the FCA's Official List and to trading on the Premium Segment on 15 October 2018. Prior to this, the Ordinary Shares traded on the SFS.

Proposals for the liquidation of the Company

The Board will shortly put forward proposals for the liquidation of the Company, including the ability for Shareholders to receive shares, in respect of their holdings of the Company's Ordinary Shares, in a new open-ended fund managed by the same management team and with a similar investment mandate to the Company. The Board believes that these proposals will provide continuity for those Shareholders in terms of exposure to a strategy similar to the one currently pursued by the Company and under the same management team. The New Fund, AUFC, which will be a new Compartment of Axiom Lux SICAV, an established Luxembourg SICAV that is registered as a UCITS with the Luxembourg financial regulator, the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier, will be open-ended with daily liquidity. The proposals will also include a mechanism for those Shareholders who do not wish to continue their investment to achieve a cash exit.

 

Further details of the Proposals for the implementation of the Scheme will be described in the Circular, which, when finalised, will be made available on the Company's section of the Investment Manager's website

(https://axiom-ai.com/web/en/axiom-european-financial-debt-fund-limited-2/).

Investment objective

The investment objective of the Company is to provide Shareholders with an attractive return, while limiting downside risk, through investment in the following financial institution investment instruments:

 

· Regulatory capital instruments, being financial instruments issued by a European financial institution which constitute regulatory capital for the purposes of Basel I, Basel II or Basel III or Solvency I or Solvency II;

· Other financial institution investment instruments, being financial instruments issued by a European financial institution, including without limitation senior debt, which do not constitute regulatory capital instruments; and

· Derivative instruments, being CDOs, securitisations or derivatives, whether funded or unfunded, linked or referenced to regulatory capital instruments or other financial institution investment instruments.

Investment policy

The Company seeks to invest in a diversified portfolio of financial institution investment instruments. The Company focuses primarily on investing in the secondary market, although instruments have been subscribed in the primary market where the Investment Manager, Axiom AI, identifies attractive opportunities.

 

In February 2022, the Directors approved a minor change to the investment policy in respect of hedging and derivatives. The words in brackets were added to the following sentence: "The Company may implement other hedging and derivative strategies designed to protect investment performance against material movements in (but not limited to) exchange rates and to protect against credit risk".

 

The Company invests its assets with the aim of spreading investment risk.

 

For a more detailed description of the investment policy, please see the Company's Prospectus, which is available on the Company's section of the Investment Manager's website

(http://www.axiom-ai.com/web/data/prospectus/ENG/AEFD-prospectus-UK.pdf).

 

The following text is extracted from the Annual Report and Financial Statements of the Company for the year ended 31 December 2022:

 

Strategic Report

 

Chairman's Statement

 

The Company's portfolio generated a positive NAV return per share (based on the Published NAV) including dividends and net of all expenses of 0.77% over the second half of the year, partly clawing back the first half deficit to give a net negative result of 6.39% for 2022 as a whole (2021: +16.88%). 

 

When I wrote to you with our 2022 Half Year results in August, I noted that the Company's returns in the first half of the year had been line with what one would expect at that point in the interest cycle, that is when interest rates begin to rise. The normalisation of interest rates after the decade-plus long period of extremely low interest rates post the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 has continued apace to the point where we and the wider markets can now anticipate the imminent ending of that process even if we cannot be definitive as to exactly when or at what level. Further, different countries and blocs with their own currencies will reach their individual equilibrium points at different times. The nature of markets is to anticipate the future and the various markets in bonds are no exception and therefore, in general, have now adjusted to the new normal levels of yield and the pattern of positive returns largely from coupon payments is beginning to reassert itself. For a strategy such as ours, the added value from active portfolio management is also coming to the fore again as markets stabilised in the final quarter of 2022.

 

Further details on the development of key market events and activity in the portfolio are given in the Investment Manager's Report.

 

Up to the end of 2021, our three-year NAV return was +39.09% or +11.63% p.a. The negative result for 2022 has consequently brought the four-year figures to +30.9% and +6.96% p.a. While this is behind our long-term target of +10% p.a., net of operating expenses, it is a creditable result in the context of including a period of sharply rising short-term rates and long-term yields.

 

In aggregate, the Company reported a net loss for the year ended 31 December 2022 of £6.17 million (2021: profit of £14.75 million), representing a loss per Ordinary Share of 6.72p (2021: earnings of 16.05p) and the Company's NAV at 31 December 2022 was £85.20 million (92.76p per Ordinary Share) (2021: £96.88 million, 105.48p per Ordinary Share). Over the full year, the share price discount to NAV remained broadly steady at 9.12% at the end of 2022 (2021: 9.18%).

 

Dividends

As in prior years, the Company declared four dividends each of 1.50p per Ordinary Share in relation to the year: one was declared after the balance sheet date and was paid on 24 February 2023 to Shareholders on the register at 3 February 2023. During the period, actual payments of 6.00p were made, being the May, August and November dividends of 1.50p each and the 1.50p dividend in respect of the period ended 31 December 2021, which was paid on 25 February 2022.

 

Proposals for the future of the Company When I wrote to you with our Half Year results in August 2022, I reported that the conclusion of our consultation with Shareholders was that while many larger Shareholders wished to remain invested in an evolved strategy reflecting the changing opportunity set since the launch of the Company, they would prefer to do so through an open-ended structure rather than a closed-ended investment company. The Board's conclusion remains that there is insufficient remaining investor demand for such a strategy expressed in the form of a closed-ended listed vehicle such as the Company.

 

Our advisers are currently working on proposals anticipated to be published shortly and put to Shareholders at a general meeting. In broad terms, these are designed to give those who wish to continue in the evolved strategy the opportunity to do so via an open-ended vehicle and those who do not, a cash exit. The existing Company will consequently be liquidated.

 

Outlook

The outlook for our strategy is positive. Rising interest rates are in general good for banks, enabling wider spreads between lending and deposit rates and we have seen robust performances from banks as they have reported their results. Returns on equity have been strong, interest margins widened, and non-performing loans have remained at low levels.

 

The background to our principal industry sector as a whole therefore remains positive.

 

Of course, what is true for the industry in general is not necessarily true for all participants and sharply rising interest rates have exposed weaknesses at some institutions while others have exhibited their own idiosyncrasies, provoking a nervous depositor base to withdraw funds in classic bank runs and we have seen several high-profile examples in recent weeks, including one in our own universe of European banks, Credit Suisse. Although Credit Suisse was one of our panel of prime brokers, we had no counterparty exposure outstanding at the year-end nor any subsequently and in any event no customer has suffered losses as a result of its near-collapse. The same cannot be said for the AT1 bonds of Credit Suisse which have been wiped out by regulatory fiat as part of the transaction which has reportedly placed a $3.25 billion value on the Credit Suisse equity. This appears to a very strange decision in that it reverses the established order of insolvency whereby ordinary shareholders bear the first tranche of losses. This may yet have unintended consequences and set a dangerous precedent. As at the time of writing, the market is still digesting this news. Non-Swiss regulators, being the Single Resolution Board, the European Banking Authority, ECB Banking Supervision and the Bank of England have moved swiftly to give clarity to the markets that they will continue to follow the established hierarchy of capital instruments and the absorption of losses in a resolution or insolvency intervention. 

 

We had a small exposure of approximately 1% of NAV at the year end to Credit Suisse AT1 bonds. While we have suffered a loss of that capital, it is to be expected from time to time that such things will happen even in carefully-managed portfolios.

 

Inflation is still elevated but appears to have reached a steady level and may soon fall back quite sharply as the pre-Ukrainian war price index levels drop out of the trailing 12-month comparison. The immediate danger to that trajectory is the extent to which this past consumer price inflation becomes baked into future inflation through significant current wage settlements, understandable as those are given the margin by which inflation has outstripped wages over the past year and the consequent erosion of living standards for workers. This may lead to interest rates remaining higher for longer than would otherwise be the case.

 

We look forward with renewed optimism for opportunities in the market in regulatory capital instruments issued by financial institutions in which we operate and where, through the open-ended rollover option, continuing shareholders can benefit from the application of our Investment Manager's specialist skills to a rich opportunity set which is not easily accessible to more generalist managers.

William Scott

Chairman

21 March 2023

 

 

Investment Manager's Report

1- Market developments

January

European banks started the year on a strong footing, with rates repricing higher, economic data coming in better than expected and earnings beating consensus. The SX7R returned 7.37% in January 2022 vs. -3.81% for the SXXR. The yield on 5-year German bunds climbed from -45bps to -20bps while the SubFin moved up 20bps to 125bps. US 10-year Treasuries sold-off with yields reaching 1.80%.

 

Inflation was becoming increasingly uncomfortable for governments and central banks globally. Commodity markets have not softened, lead times and backlogs were increasing, and service inflation was starting to catch up with goods. On 26 January 2022, Jerome Powell prepared the market for a more hawkish turn. Undeterred by the recent volatility in global markets, he refused to rule out the possibility of raising rates by 50bps at once or hiking at consecutive meetings. In Europe, January inflation readings came much higher than expected, more than offsetting base effects. As interest rates of -50bps in the Euro area were evidently not consistent with 5% inflation and unemployment at record lows, we expected the ECB to revise its inflation projections upwards and recognise at its March meeting that the conditions of the froward guidance were met.

 

In Italy, the re-election of President Mattarella was taken positively by risk assets. Mario Draghi would be able to continue his work on the allocation of pandemic funds and structural reforms. Though non-establishment parties were leading in the polls, political volatility was expected to be pushed back to 2023. In the meantime, the flexibility of PEPP reinvestments was expected to provide a put for periphery spreads. In international news, the fluid situation at the Ukrainian borders and raising concerns about Taiwan were sources of spikes in volatility.

 

On the M&A front, Société Générale announced the acquisition of LeasePlan for EUR5 billion. The deal would create a dominant player in the auto leasing business in Europe. Though the price tag was slightly higher than expected, the capital impact was relatively limited for Société Générale and cost synergies could surprise positively.

 

The start of the earnings season was encouraging. Deutsche Bank reported results 10% ahead of consensus and announced a buyback, which was not widely expected and was interpreted as a sign of the ECB's satisfaction with Deutsche's turn-around plan execution. UBS beat expectations by 13% and unveiled a strategy plan focused on capital return commitments and operating jaws. Sabadell and Bankinter also surprised positively.

February

The war in Ukraine drove risk assets lower in February 2022. The SubFin widened by 35bps to 152bps over the month. As of 4 March 2022, the SX7R suffered a 28% drawdown from its February 2022 peak. The loss was especially acute for banks deemed to be more sensitive to Russia: RBI lost 55% of its market value, while Société Générale, Erste Bank and UniCredit posted losses close to 40%. This was quite a significant move: in a typical recession (the Tech bubble, the 2011-12 Eurozone crisis or the Covid-19 crisis for instance), bank equities' drawdowns tended to be around 40 to 45%.

 

Several elements were likely to have contributed to the price action:

i. Direct losses from Russian exposures;

ii. Possible losses stemming from legal uncertainty, settlement risk and unusual price action on Russian markets;

iii. The macroeconomic impact of the war in Ukraine and sanctions against Russia, from growth to inflation and rates; and

iv. Higher risk premia linked to a possible extension of the conflict outside of Russia and Ukraine.

 

We believe that the fourth factor explained most of the movement while the first and second factors were less significant.

a. Some early press reports have pointed to frightening possible Russian losses for European banks (as high as EUR100 billion). They ignored the fact that the exposure was largely sitting within local subsidiaries that were bankruptcy remote in the context of banking groups. The maximum total loss for the group would be the equity invested along with potential intra-group debt (which was typically very small). As an example, though Société Générale had a EUR18 billion exposure to Russia, the bulk of it (EUR15 billion) was located in its Russian subsidiary Rosbank. If Rosbank became insolvent or was seized by Russian authorities, Société Générale group would only lose 50bps of CET1 capital. They would still be well above regulatory requirements and their ability to distribute dividends would remain intact. For the sector in general, we would price a total CET1 impact of less than 30bps and a loss of future profits of not much more than 1%.

 

b. The speed and extent of the sanctions imposed on the Russian financial system was unprecedented. Some banks were cut off from Swift, correspondent relationships were banned, some assets were frozen, transactions with the Central Bank were only authorised if related to energy payments, etc. This created unprecedented price action on Russian markets and significant operational and legal risks for banks. It was impossible to predict the size of the losses that would arise from trapped collateral, settlement or gap risk. As of March 2022, we could only assume that banks would have been limiting leverage on Russian assets and using leading international custodians. The Swift ban was only operational from 26 March 2022, leaving banks time to adapt. Our base case was that we would not see any major impact from this side.

 

c. The main macroeconomic impact of the war in Ukraine was expected to materialise through commodities and supply chains. There were legitimate fears that higher commodity prices would slow growth. In 2020 and 2021, the EU had annual energy trade deficits of respectively EUR160 billion and EUR275 billion. In 2010-2014, when energy prices were around current levels (Brent at USD120), the deficit was EUR400 billion. A return to these levels would represent a GDP drag of 0.8%. It was worth noting that the majority of gas imports were based on long-term contracts, and that the current gas curve was very backward-dated (2025 gas futures were up less than 20% since the start of 2022). Exports to Russia would also be affected: in 2021, the EU exported circa EUR80 billion of goods and circa EUR20 billion of services to Russia. If those were halved, it would represent an additional 0.3% drag on GDP. Food prices were also going up, but the EU was a net exporter. In total, the annualised GDP impact for the EU was likely to be around 1% with an uncertainty range of 0.7%-1.5%.

 

However, there were several mitigants: the conflict was likely to drag on for months, but not years; consensus of real GDP growth for the EU was above 4% for 2022 before the start of the war - growth was still highly likely to be above 2% despite very high energy prices; higher energy prices would be partly subsidised by governments, reducing the impact on purchasing powers for consumers; Germany had fully abandoned its hawkish fiscal stance, reinforcing the fiscal impulse and increasing flexibility for periphery governments; and the EU was more united, paving the way for a closer banking union and more fiscal integration.

 

The impact on rates was more subtle. In the immediate future, there would be some delay to the normalisation agenda as central banks waited for clarity on the economic impact of the crisis. But in the medium-term, the sheer pressure of inflationary forces combined with lavish fiscal policies would make rate hikes unavoidable.

 

d. The first three factors do not explain why bank equities suffered close to two-thirds of their typical recession drawdown. We believed investors feared that the conflict would extend beyond Ukraine and Russia. China could have decided to attack Taiwan. Russia could have decided to go beyond Ukraine; in a worst case scenario, a war between NATO and Russia could be inadvertently triggered. There were also scenarios of possible widespread consequences from damages to key nuclear infrastructure. The unexpected move of Putin pushed "rational" investors to review their working assumption of a mostly stable geopolitical environment. To be clear, we did not think that the conflict would escalate outside of Ukraine. Signs from China were relatively encouraging. However, we believed that the unthinkable would continue to be priced until a resolution of the Ukrainian war was in sight or the geopolitical stage had stabilised.

We were conscious that the higher risk premia would not dissipate quickly and that the market would need signs of stabilisation. We expected the conflict to drag on for weeks or months and would not be surprised to see Putin move against Transnistria. However we had a strong core bullish bias in the medium-term and could have progressively added risk in March 2022 on strong headline moves.

 

March

Risk assets took respite in a fall of implied volatility towards the end of the month as the Ukrainian conflict appeared to stay geographically contained. Russian gas and oil exports were more resilient than expected, which limited the increase in energy prices. High inflation readings fuelled fears that hawkish central banks could trigger a recession in their attempt to slow demand at a time when real incomes were already suffering from elevated imported prices. The SubFin ended the month slightly better by 10bps. The VIX settled 10 points lower at 20. The European bank indices SX7T and SX7R returned respectively -3.01% and -2.11% vs. +1.00% for the SXXR.

 

The latest EBA risk dashboard highlighted the soundness of the European banking sector. NPLs reached a new low of 2.0% while CET1 remained elevated at an average of 15.4%. ROE stabilised at levels higher than in the pre-pandemic period. Regulators were reassuring about the first-round impact of the Ukrainian conflict, noting that a default of all Russian exposures would not be a capital event for the sector and confirming that dividends and buybacks could be continued. However, they also stressed that second-round effects, such as reduced growth, increased compliance costs and higher risk premia could negatively impact profitability.

 

Inferring from past recessions, we estimated that a 1-point reduction in the real GDP growth outlook could lower earnings expectations for the banking sector by about as much as 8%, with 5% coming from higher provisions for loan losses, and the rest divided between lower fees and lower loan growth. However, this would be more than compensated by higher interest rates, with the sectors' results sensitivity to a 100bps parallel move being around 25%. In addition, new guaranteed loan programs and increased fiscal spending overall were likely to reduce provisioning needs and provide a boost to loan growth. As such, we found the 13% underperformance of the SX7R versus the broader European market since mid-February 2022 difficult to reconcile with Bund yields climbing from 30bps to 55bps over the period. The consensus of 2022 earnings expectations of sell-side analysts were revised down by only 3% since mid-February, with ROE expectations for the SX7E remaining above 8%, while the sector was trading at only 55% of book value.

 

We understood the concerns regarding inflation and the future path of real growth. There were downside risks ahead: high energy prices would hurt real income; rich real estate valuations could be tested by rising mortgage rates, resulting in lower perceived wealth and balance sheet quality; and central banks could have been required to tighten aggressively into a recession if inflation did not settle down. However, we believed the balance of risks was to the upside: consumers had barely started to tap into their excess savings; high government spending was still irrigating the European economy and protecting vulnerable businesses; though manufacturing was operating above potential, less energy-intensive services were still operating below potential, offering significant real growth prospects as economies reopened; the labour market was still reasonably elastic, with more people continuing to join the workforce without unsustainable increases in wages; and inflation expectations were not unanchored.

April

 

April 2022 was another down month for risk assets. Stocks were led lower by the technology sector and cyclicals. The SXXP returned -0.57% while the SX7P and SX7E respectively ended the month at -2.08% and -3.40%. The SubFin widened to 195bps. Amid higher long-term inflation expectations, Germany and US 10-year yields respectively climbed above 0.9% and 2.9%.

 

In defiance of the prevailing pessimistic mood, European banks had an excellent start to the reporting season. On aggregate, revenues were 7% higher than expected - the strongest positive surprise in years - while earnings were 25% better. On a year-on-year basis, revenues grew by more than 8%. Net interest income was supported by dynamic lending book growth and stable or increasing margins. Costs were in line overall, which came as a relief in the current environment. There was no evidence of deterioration in asset quality: NPLs continued to decrease, and defaults remained significantly below average. Banks nonetheless took precautionary provisions in light of geopolitical and monetary policy risks. Capital ratios took a transitory hit from mark-to-market losses in bonds not accounted at cost.

 

As analysts revised their expectations for the year upwards, the sector kept trading at depressed levels. The SX7E was valued at 6.7x next year earnings (and 5.9x 2023 earnings), which contrasted with a median level of 9.0x and a maximum of 12x over the last decade. Only twice was the P/E lower: in the middle of the 2011/2012 Eurozone crisis and at the onset of the pandemic. Why the disconnect between fundamentals and valuations?

 

Two sets of developments were unsettling markets: on the one hand, higher commodity and supply chain costs were eroding purchasing power and consumer confidence (the Putin and Xi Jinping risk): on the other hand, the risk of a wage-rent-inflation loop could have driven central bankers to slam the brakes on growth by raising rates to contractionary levels (the Bullard and Knot risk).

 

Though uncertainty was high (the prime example was the possibility of Russia cutting gas supply), our central scenario remained more optimistic versus the consensus: we saw a progressive improvement in commodity and supply conditions as extraction and production capacities were rebuilt; we saw growth in services sustaining employment and spending trends; and we saw central banks not willing to risk a contractionary spiral to fight inflation.

 

 

May

 

Risk appetite was slightly better over the month as investors pondered record inflation against a continued expansion in global demand and hints of easing supply chain pressures. The SubFin index closed the month 5 bps tighter at c.185 bps. Energy and bank stocks outperformed while retailers and media companies underperformed. The SX7R returned +6.54% versus -0.61% for the SXXR.

 

Eurozone macroeconomic developments pointed to a strengthening in the core inflation momentum:

· Core CPI increased by 0.5% MoM to an all-time high of 3.8% YoY.

· Fiscal packages aimed at protecting discretionary income against energy and food prices are being broadly adopted, fueling demand-pull core inflation.

· Negotiated wages climbed to a 10-year high of 2.8%.

· Growth in bank loans increased to 5.3% YoY (vs. a pre-pandemic 5Y average of c. 2.5%).

 

Recession risk remained hotly debated amid unusually high demand and supply shocks. Despite the current commodity squeeze, we see two consecutive quarters of negative growth in the Eurozone as unlikely in 2022:

· Higher import prices are financed by fiscal deficits. The Euro area is heading for deficits of 4.6% and 3.1% in 2022 and 2023. The bloc is having a hard time departing from pandemic stimulus: in fact, between 2016 and 2019, the average deficit was below 1%. In contrast, a combined USD125 brent and EUR90/Mwh gas shock represents an estimated 2.2% GDP shock versus pre-pandemic levels (where they were trading closer to USD65 and EUR25/Mwh).

· The reopening effect has not fully played out. May Eurozone activity surveys reported the highest increase in employment over the past decade as well as strong investment trends. The supply side is ramping up productive capacity, feeding a positive loop. Countries with tight labour markets, such as the UK, are much less likely to enjoy the benefits of a rising workforce and therefore the most likely to suffer from stagflation.

 

 

· The resolve of the ECB in its fight against inflation is questionable. The shift in rate hikes expectations, though spectacular, has lagged increases in forward inflation markets - and is very far off from changes in realised core inflation. Presently, inflation is liquidating aggregate debt at record pace and Bund 20y / 10y real rates are still below -1%. As such, we believe talks of a recession induced by higher rates in the Eurozone to be premature.

 

That said, headline GDP should matter less than usual for banks. Traditionally, recessions are bad for banks because they are associated with: a. deleveraging; and b. rising defaults due to a negative investment / final demand loop. This is not the current set-up. Loan growth is actually accelerating to a record pace and hiring is strong. In an economy where labour markets are supported by the need to rebuild domestic energy, food and supply chain security, though living standards are likely to fall, defaults may not rise as much as suggested by headline growth.

 

The outlook for banks' earnings is encouraging:

· Consensus EPS expectations for 2022 and 2023 for the SX7P are now back at their highest year-to- date, erasing the Ukraine-Russia war losses.

· NII expectations should continue to climb as analysts update their models with the latest rate market levels - at this time, analysts are still lagging the Eurozone rates market by c. 50-75bps.

· Analysts' assumptions for future loan losses are on the conservative side. They are forecast to be above the 2017-2019 average in spite of the Covid-19 precautionary provisions and default trends signalling the opposite so far.

· Nominal cost trends are likely to be slightly worse than expected, though C/I ratios should be better than expected.

 

On the regulatory front, the Basel Committee is allegedly considering treating the Eurozone as one bloc for the calculation of the GSIB buffers. Though practical implications are limited for now, it is a new step towards more fungibility of capital and liquidity within the area. In other news, the Italian government is working on the renewal of the state guarantees on NPL transactions. The new scheme would provide for a state guarantee of 85-95%, while the senior note minimum rating should be BBB+ (one notch higher).

 

 

June

 

Risk Markets sold-off in June as investors grew increasingly concerned over the risk of central banks tightening in a recession. CDS indices in Europe and the US are starting to price stressed economic conditions, with implied high-yield default rates in the high single digits, well above current trends. The Xover and SubFin indices respectively closed the month around 600 bps (+ c.155 bps) and 250 bps (+c.65 bps). M/m core inflation stabilized at high levels in Europe and the US. The SX7R returned -9.11% vs. -7.09% for the SXXR.

 

Fundamentals remain solid. Bank lending accelerated to 5.8% in May, up from 5.3% in April and 4.8% in March, as credit demand followed strong nominal GDP. High-yield and leveraged loans annualised default rates were around 75 bps in June, well below their historical average of about 3%. The latest EBA data was also comforting for the banking sector: non-performing and forborne loan ratios reduced further on average to 1.9%.

 

Supervisors started to adopt a more prudent tone. The SSM asked banks to add a Russian gas embargo stress test in their capital planning, and there is a risk that the ECB may require buybacks to be more spread out over time, rather than smaller. We note that Intesa received ECB approval to carry its share buyback programme at the end of the month.

 

 

July

 

Risk assets rallied in July as company earnings and economic activity surprised to the upside, especially in Europe. The Subfin index tightened by 45 bps to close the month at 204 bps. STOXX Europe companies reported revenues and earnings respectively 4% and 5% higher than expected. Within the European banking sector, revenues were 5% higher and earnings 30% higher. The SX7R ended the month at 1.66% vs. 7.74% for the SXXR.

 

 

Bank earnings were boosted by solid growth in lending volumes and expanding margins as higher interest rates started to flow through the P&L. Asset quality was benign as defaults remained low. Costs were broadly in-line, though were guided to creep higher. Commissions were more mixed: transaction and lending commissions were boosted by the pick-up in activity while investment commissions suffered from lower flows and customer engagement. Trading was strong in macro products and equities. Capital markets remained very weak. In aggregate, European banks posted very strong earnings, with a number of banks printing their highest quarterly net income ever.

 

On the macro front, the ECB enacted the end of the negative interest rates era while introducing a new policy tool designed to contain excessive widening in sovereign spreads. The tool was approved unanimously, has infinite capacity (no limit on the amount of securities purchased) and is only constrained by indicative conditions, giving the ECB unprecedented market and therefore, political power.

 

A new time-limited banking tax is being discussed in Spain. If voted, it should take away close to 10% of Spanish banks' 2022 and 2023 earnings, assuming extra costs are not passed on to customers. It is not clear yet what the position of regulators will be on this tax, as banks are typically required by the EBA to reflect the cost of taxes in their lending margins. Similar measures are discussed in the Czech Republic.

 

 

August

 

August was a hectic month for markets as inflation and energy remained at the forefront of investors' concerns. Hawkish central banks sent bonds lower with Bund yields touching 1.54%, 10Y gilts at 2.80% and 10Y USTs at 3.19%. The Subfin and Xover ended the month wider at 240 bps and 588 bps, respectively. Banks outperformed the market, with the SX7R returning -1.1% vs. -5.1% for the SXXR.

 

Newsflow was dominated by energy supply risks as Russia announced a full stop to NS1. This brings total Russian gas cuts to 80% of pre-invasion flows. Should Russia stop all exports, simulations show that further demand cuts would be necessary in case of a cold winter. The size of household and business support programs announced to date in the EU equals c. 2.5% of GDP (3.5% in Greece, 3% in Italy and 2% in Germany).

 

Bank analysts continued to restrike their earnings expectations higher as sensitivity to interest rates and strong lending outweighed salary inflation and a more prudent credit losses outlook. Price / book ratios at 0.5x are consistent with an average deflationary recession being priced in. While the typical recession knocks out 40% of bank earnings, our pessimistic scenario only sees a 15% impact with inflation and rates supporting revenues. As such, we believe earnings resilience should provide support at these levels. Q3 results could be a catalyst for a rally should energy concerns not worsen.

 

On the primary front, August was one of the busiest months in recent memory, with significant new issues volume across the cap structure. Banks are adopting a more economic approach to redemptions. Volksbank Wien announced that it will not exercise the call on its T2 note. This is the second T2 extension this year after Deutsche Pfandbriefbank.

 

 

September

 

September saw FX and interest rate volatility add to already elevated risk premia across European assets. Gilts were especially erratic, with 10Y rates moving by over 100 bps in a single day. The Subfin and the Xover closed the month at 286 bps and 650 bps respectively. The SXXR returned -6.43% versus -4.65% for the SX7R.

 

The market backdrop remains difficult to navigate as instability in key benchmarks makes a fertile ground for fear mongering, speculative attacks and negative feedback loops. During the UK mini-budget episode, a legitimate initial move in sterling and rates was precipitated by pension funds having to fire-sell their long duration holdings due to the inadequate liquidity of their asset-liability management strategies. Elsewhere, unsubstantiated rumors about Credit Suisse being insolvent triggered a short-lived panic that sent their AT1s 15 points lower and revived fears of a "Lehman moment" in Europe.

 

 

 

Despite all the noise, fundamentals remain bullish for European banks. We expect Q3 and Q4 results to reflect the continued expansion of volumes and margins as well as low and stable default rates. Tighter monetary policy is boosting net interest margins, and ample capital and funding buffers are supporting lending volumes, while strong job markets and accommodative fiscal policies are keeping defaults very low. Market volatility has remained a source of profits for most trading floors.

 

 

October

 

Risk assets rallied in October as central banks were seen to favour smaller interest rate hikes going forward. The Subfin tightened as of 31/1/0/2022 by over 50 bps to close the month at 213 bps. The SX7R returned +8.39% vs. +6.35% for the SXXR.

 

Economic data painted a picture of soft growth and entrenched inflation. Annualized Q/Q GDP growth for the third quarter came at +2.6% in the US and +0.9% in the EU. Despite poor consumer and business sentiment, job creations remained robust on both sides of the Atlantic. EU October inflation numbers surprised to the upside, due to energy, food and industrial goods. Prices of services showed a notable deceleration.

 

European bank earnings have been strong with little signs of asset quality deterioration. Future guidance was optimistic, with the exception of UK banks which have pre-emptively built up larger reserves. On aggregate, revenues came up 5% higher than analyst expectations, driven by strong net interest income and trading, while earnings came 20% better. Compared to last year, revenues and earnings were resp. 13% and 20% higher. Banks that showed inferior cost control underperformed.

 

In other news, the ECB took actions on TLTRO, removing the arbitrage for banks as expected. Remuneration of excess reserves was not mentioned, which is encouraging. Asian markets have seen a plunge in the valuation of AT1s and perpetual insurance securities after the Australian regulator warned against non-economic calls and a South Korean insurer skipped a call.

 

 

November

 

Risk assets rallied in November as inflation showed signs of easing and the Fed appeared more concerned about the risk of overtightening. The Subfin ended the month 36 bps tighter at 184bps. The SX7R returned 9.14% versus 6.89% for the SXXR.

 

The macroeconomic outlook remained hotly debated as leading indicators kept sending confusing signals on the strength of nominal demand. On the one hand, rate sensitive sectors are starting to show signs of weakness, with manufacturing surveys, the housing market and layoffs in the technology sector pointing to a recession. On the other hand, continuing wage pressures and labour market strength, along with high cash buffers, allow consumer spending to keep growing in real terms despite rock bottom saving rates. Banks' lending capacity, boosted by public sector guarantees, continues to fuel high credit creation, though at a declining pace. The need to reinvest in supply chains, clean energy and sovereignty is also driving higher capital spending, a feature that is usually not associated with recessions.

 

In bank specific news, Credit Suisse published another profit warning outlining strong outflows in the Asian wealth management division in October. However, the CEO later explained that outflows started to reverse in November. HM Treasury released the response to its Solvency II consultation, recommending a 65% decrease in the risk margin for life insurers and a 30% reduction for non-life insurance companies, along with a broadening of the eligible asset universe for the Matching Adjustment mechanism. AIB disclosed improved medium-term targets for 2024 - RoTE >13%, CET1 >13.5% and a c. 50% cost income ratio.

 

In credit, BCP was the latest issuer to decide not to call its T2 notes; however, the bank offered an exchange of the old bond into a new T2 (similar transactions were proposed by Banca Ifis and Shawbrook recently). Nationwide indicated its intention to carry CCDS buybacks.

 

 

December

 

Banks outperformed the market in December as economic data surprised to the upside while central banks guided to more rate hikes than anticipated. The SX7R returned +0.08% vs -3.38% for the SXXR. The Subfin closed 10 basis points tighter at 174 bps. Rates sold off vigorously, with Bunds and 10Y Treasuries ending the month at 2.55% and 3.87%, respectively.

 

The ECB raised rates 50 bps as expected and set initial parameters for QT with reinvestments to fall by €15bn per month from March 2023. Mrs. Lagarde shocked the market by explicitly committing to further 50 bps rate hikes. As a result, the implied peak rate climbed from 3% to 3.5%. In his press conference, Chairman Powell focused on the labour market, emphasizing the high number of vacancies and strong wage pressures. The final surprise came from the BoJ, which raised its Yield Curve Control cap on 10Y JGBs from +25bps to +50bps.

 

Monetary data pointed to slowing but still dynamic bank lending in the Euro area. Credit growth to non-financials corporations remained strong at 8.4% YoY, slightly lower than the 8.9% in the previous two months. Among the major countries, Ireland, Greece, Germany, Austria and Finland all saw double digit growth rates. For households, the growth was little changed at 4.1% from 4.2% in October. Month-on-month, total customer deposits were unchanged (higher term deposits offsetting lower sight deposits) while loan volumes were slightly up.

 

On the regulatory front, the UK is preparing a review of the ring fencing rules as a post-Brexit plan to reduce the burden on smaller lenders. The EBA published the results of its Risk Assessment Report: it noted elevated but declining levels of capital and liquidity, improving profitability and low NPL ratios. It warned against potential IT risks and highlighted the rising level of Stage 2 assets.

 

In bank specific news, HSBC announced that it had agreed to sell its Canadian business to RBC for a cash consideration of CAD 13.5bn (an impressive price of 2.5x P/B). The bank said it expected to distribute most of the surplus generated through exceptional dividends or buybacks but would also consider organic growth and investment opportunities. Moody's upgraded the Co-operative Bank's ratings from B1 to Ba3. The upgrade reflects the improving profitability and the higher capital buffers. UBS announced the redemption of its $2bn 5% 23P AT1 on its first call date. NatWest announced the redemption of legacy NWG 11.5 Perp at the make-whole level. There was £31mn left outstanding and NatWest will take a P&L charge of c.£45mn on the transaction. Standard Chartered consent solicitation for modifying the reference rate from LIBOR to SOFR on its 7.014% and 6.409% preference shares failed to reach the 75% approval threshold.

 

 

2- Investment Objective and Strategy

 

The Company is a closed-ended fund investing in liabilities issued by European financial institutions, predominantly legacy T1s, T2s, and AT1s across five sub-strategies:

· Liquid Relative Value: instruments issued by large and strong quality institutions, with significant liquidity. These can be purchased on either primary or secondary markets.

· Less Liquid Relative Value: instruments issued by large and strong quality institutions, with limited liquidity due to past tenders or complex features (secondary market).

· Restructuring: instruments issued by institutions in preparation or implementation of a restructuring process (secondary market).

· Special Situations: instruments issued by entities in run-off, under a merger process or split between several entities (secondary market).

· Midcap Origination: instruments issued by small institutions or small subsidiaries of larger institutions (primary market).

 

 

3- Company activity

 

January

 

In Midcap Origination, the Company took part in the inaugural RT1 issuance from offshore life insurance specialist Utmost. It also came back into eSure RT1s. The Company took advantage of the sell-off in Metro Bank T2s post the withdrawal of M&A rumours to build a small position. Finally, it increased its exposure to My Money Bank T2s.

 

In Liquid Relative Value, the Company bought some Santander retail legacy bonds, with the expectation that they would be redeemed at par at the next call date.

 

 

February

In Liquid Relative Value, the Company closed its short position on Société Générale long-dated T2s. It bought DPB CMS following the sell-off in discos.

 

In Midcap Origination, the Company participated in Chesnara's inaugural T2. It also bought Quintet's AT1s. The Company took gains on Fidelidade T2s.

 

 

March

 

In Midcap Origination, the Company took part in the new Co-Operative Bank senior HoldCo issue in GBP at a 6% coupon.

 

In Liquid Relative Value, it bought some RBI 2022 T2s in CHF.

In Restructuring, the Company opened a position in a Bank of Cyprus 2031 T2, which offered a yield to call of around 9%.

 

 

April

 

In Liquid Relative Value, the Company took a position in La Banque Postale 3% AT1s as a play on French spreads. It added to its position in BCP both in AT1s and T2s.

 

In Midcap Origination, the Company divested from Leeds' PIBS to reduce its overall exposure to fixed perpetual instruments.

 

 

May

 

In Liquid Relative Value, the Company slightly increased our exposure to BCP and opened a position in La Banque Postale, while we closed our RBI holdings.

 

In Restructuring, the Company added to Piraeus and sold our GamaLife Tier 2s. In MidCap Origination, we reduced our exposure to Coop Bank.

 

 

June

 

In Liquid Relative Value, the Company bought Intesa AT1s at a low cash price and opened a position into Credit Suisse low-trigger AT1s. We participated in the new Credito Emiliano Tier 2 issue. We added to Quintet Private Bank.

 

In MidCap Origination, the Company took part in an inaugural AT1 issue from the commodity broker Marex at a 13.25% coupon.

 

 

July

 

In Liquid Relative Value, we added Athora and RBI to our AT1 positions.

 

In Midcap Origination, we slightly increased our investment in eSure.

 

 

August

 

In Liquid Relative Value, we reduced the Company's exposure to Intesa and Credito Emiliano while we

opened a position in Virgin Money 8.25% AT1s.

 

In Midcap Origination, we sold some Banca di Asti AT1s.

 

September

In Midcap Origination, we bought Sainsbury Bank, Bank of Cyprus and Banco Popolare di Adige Tier 2s.

 

In Restructuring, we sold Piraeus Bank Tier 2s and bought Cajamar senior bonds.

 

In Liquid Relative Value, we opened a position in the National Bank of Greece Tier 2s. We closed our Danske and BNP CDS contracts.

 

In Illiquid Relative Value, we reduced our holdings of RSA and Benefact prefs.

October

In Liquid Relative Value, we purchased low cash price AT1s from issuers such as Sabadell, Unicredit, Deutsche Bank and Deutsche Pfandbriefbank.

 

In Midcap Origination, we took part in the new Permanent TSB 13.25% AT1 issue. We added to Marex 13.25% AT1. We sold Jupiter T2s and Quintet AT1s.

 

In Illiquid Relative Value, we trimmed our holdings of Lloyds, Bank of Ireland, RSA and Santander preference shares.

November

In Midcap origination and Restructuring, we trimmed our positions in a number of names, such as Banca di Asti, International Personal Finance, Co-op bank and Shawbrook.

 

In Illiquid Relative Value, we reduced preference share holdings.

 

In Liquid Relative Value, we bought Banco BPM, Pfandbrief Bank, Credit Suisse and Provident.

December

In Liquid Relative Value, we bought Barclays, Virgin Money, Socgen, Intesa and Volksbank Wien AT1s.

 

In Midcap Origination, we bought Permanent TSB Tier 2s. We reduced Shawbrook, My Money Bank, Piraeus, the Co-Operative Bank, OneSavings, International Personal Finance and NIBC.

 

In Illiquid Relative Value, we sold Lloyds, Bank of Ireland and Newcastle Building Societies.

 

4- Portfolio (as at 31 December 2022)

[chart]

5- Company metrics (as at 31 December 2022)

Share price (mid) (GB pence)

84.00

 

Published NAV per share (daily) (GB pence)

92.43

 

Dividends paid over last 12 months (GB pence)

6.00

 

Shares in issue

91,852,904

 

Market capitalisation (GBP mn)

77.16

 

Total Published Net Assets (GBP mn)

84.90

 

Premium / (Discount)

(9.12)%

 

 

Portfolio information APM

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

Modified duration

3.21

3.08

Sensitivity to credit

6.23

5.56

Positions

83

84

Average price at end of the month 1

91.02

113.62

Running yield (GBP)

9.29%

5.95%

Yield to perpetuity (GBP) 2

12.15%

6.23%

Yield to call (GBP) 3

13.68%

6.70%

Gross assets

102.4%

112.7%

Net gearing

97.5%

108.4%

Investments / Published net assets

95.4%

95.7%

Cash

2.2%

7.3%

Collateral

4.9%

4.2%

Net Repo / Published net assets

0.0%

5.3%

CDS / Published net assets

28.7%

32.9%

 

Net Return4, 7

1 month

3 months6

6 months6

1 year6

3 years5

Since launch5

 

0.60%

3.56%

1.03%

-6.32%

3.97%

5.18%

 

 

[chart]

1Bonds only. 2The yield to perpetuity is the yield of the portfolio converted in GBP with the hypothesis that securities are not reimbursed and kept to perpetuity. 3The yield to call is the yield of the portfolio converted in GBP at the anticipated reimbursement date of the bonds. 4Past performance does not guarantee future results. 5Annualised performance, dividends reinvested. 6Performance with dividends reinvested. 7Data is from Bloomberg so may differ slightly to Company records.

6- NAV evolution1

[chart]

1Based on the Published NAV.

 

7- Outlook

2022 will be remembered as the year when the bond market crashed. The conjunction of global monetary tightening and the war in Ukraine resulted in an exceptionally fast increase in interest rates combined with a significant widening of credit spreads. Bund yields increased from -0.18% to 2.56% while the spread on the Xover index doubled. Axiom European Financial Debt returned -6.32% vs. -12.89% for the Ice Bofa Coco AT1 Index and -12.46% for the Tier 2 Ice Bofa Index.

 

European banks' fundamentals remained strong throughout the year. The average CET1 oscillated around 15% as higher capital generation compensated for the increase in shareholder distributions. The stock of non-performing loans was stable and the average NPL ratio reached a new low of 1.8%. Banks took precautionary provisions and downgraded some assets in light of elevated macro risks. The average LCR ratio stayed around its post-GFC highs i.e. 160%.

 

Banks' profits climbed. The increase in interest rates generally allowed banks to boost commercial deposit margins while the high level of economic activity supported commissions. The estimated next fiscal year ROE on the Stoxx Europe 600 Index jumped above 10% for the first time in more than a decade.

 

In 2023, bank credit investors will have to navigate the many cross-currents induced by monetary tightening. On the one hand, elevated interest rates allow banks to earn sizable margins on their retail and transactional funding; continued fiscal spending and tight labour markets are supporting asset quality. On the other hand, QT is slowly increasing funding costs and pressuring global asset prices, resulting in lower collateral valuations. The Company intends to take advantage of the higher carry available on the bank fixed income market while keeping a prudent duration, credit and liquidity profile.

Gildas Surry

Axiom Alternative Investments SARL

21 March 2023

Antonio Roman

Axiom Alternative Investments SARL

21 March 2023

 

Investment Portfolio as at 31 December 2022

 

£'000

% of NAV

Investments in capital instruments at fair value through profit or loss

Bonds

West Bromwich Building Society 4.500% Perp (Var)

3,266

3.83

Ulster Bank Ireland DAC 11.750% Perp

3,030

3.56

 

Co-Operative Bank Finance PLC 9.500% 04/25/29 (Var)

2,430

2.85

Intesa Sanpaolo SpA 7.75% Perp (Var)

2,147

2.52

 

eSure Group PLC 6.000% Perp (Var)

2,030

2.38

Volksbank Wien AG 7.750% Perp (Var)

2,026

2.38

Barclays PLC 6.375% Perp (VAR)

2,024

2.38

Promontia MMB SASu 8.000% Perp (Var)

1,839

2.16

Shawbrook Group 12.103% 12/08/27 Perp (Var)

1,757

2.06

Novo Banco SA 8.500% 07/06/28 (Var)

1,688

1.98

Nottingham Building Society 7.875% Perp

1,669

1.96

International Personal Finance PLC 9.750% 11/12/25

1,507

1.77

Promontia MMB SASU 5.250% 10/15/41 (Var)

1,479

1.74

AnaCap Financial Europe SA 5.000% 08/01/24 (Var)

1,389

1.63

Lifetri Groep BV 5.250% 06/01/32 (Var)

1,355

1.59

IKB Funding Trust I 1.087% Perp (Var)

1,317

1.55

Cassa di Risparmio di Asti SpA 9.250% Perp (Var)

1,299

1.52

 

OSB Group PLC 6.000% Perp (Var)

1,286

1.51

 

Saxo Bank A/S 8.125% Perp (Var)

1,279

1.50

Coventry Building Society 12.125% Perp

1,176

1.38

Bank of Cyprus Holdings PLC 6.625% 10/23/31 (Var)

1,131

1.33

Brit Insurance Holdings Ltd 3.661% Perp (Var)

1,060

1.24

Oldenburgische Landesbank AG 6.000% Perp (Var)

1,049

1.23

Chesnara PLC 4.750% 08/04/32

1,031

1.21

Bracken MidCo1 PLC 6.750% 11/01/27

1,013

1.19

DDM Debt AB 9.000% 04/19/26

989

1.16

NIBC Bank NV 6.000% Perp (Var)

981

1.15

UnipolSai Assicurazioni SpA 6.375% Perp (Var)

965

1.13

Banco Comercial Portugues SA 9.250% Perp (Var)

934

1.10

Marex Group PLC 13.25% Perp (Var)

927

1.09

Piraeus Financial Holdings SA 8.750% Perp (Var)

920

1.08

Credit Suisse Group AG 6.25% Perpetual Bond

916

1.07

Saxo Bank A/S 5.500% 07/03/29

916

1.07

Banca Pop Alto Adige 9.000% 09/09/2032 (Var)

908

1.07

Investec PLC 6.750% Perp (Var)

907

1.06

Virgin Money UK plc 8.25% Perp 06/17/27

906

1.06

Utmost Group PLC 6.125% Perp (Var)

897

1.05

La Banque Postale SA 3.000% Perp (Var)

891

1.05

Amissima Vita SpA 7.000% 08/16/31 (Var)

890

1.05

Buoni Poliennali del tes 1.600% 11/22/28 (Fixed)

876

1.03

Athora Netherlands NV 7.0% Perp 06/19/25

870

1.02

Piraeus Bank SA 3.875% 11/03/27 (Var)

862

1.01

Skipton Building Society 12.875% Perp

846

0.99

Banco Comercial Portugues SA 3.871% 03/27/30

842

0.99

Societe Generale 8.00% Perp (Var)

834

0.98

Deut Pfandbriefbank AG 5.75% 04/28/23 Perp (Var)

812

0.95

Metro Bank PLC 9.500% 10/08/25 (Var)

797

0.94

National Bank Greece SA 8.25% 07/18/29 (Fix to Var)

793

0.93

Banco BPM SPA 7.000% 04/12/27 (Var)

782

0.92

BNP Paribas SA Perp (Var)

743

0.87

Kommunalkredit Austria AG 6.500% Perp (Var)

739

0.87

Novo Banco SA 3.500% 07/23/24 (Var)

675

0.79

Deutsche Bank AG 4.625% 10/30/27 Perp (Var)

675

0.79

 

TSB Group Holdings PLC 7.875% Perp (Var)

647

0.76

 

Standard Chartered 4.315860% Perp 01/12/2049

641

0.75

Deutsche Postbank Funding Trust I 0.390% Perp (Var)

635

0.74

 

Aareal Bank AG 6.849% Perp (Var)

629

0.74

 

Banco de Credito Social Cooperativo SA 8.000% 09/22/26 (Var)

624

0.73

 

Banco De Sabadell SA 5.75% Perp (Var)

618

0.73

 

Raiffeisen Bank Intl 6.00% Perp 06/15/26

579

0.68

 

Banco Comercial Portugues SA 4.000% 05/17/32 (Var)

563

0.66

 

BNP Paribas SA 0.000% Perp (Var)

549

0.64

 

Caixa Economica Montepio Geral 5.000% Perp (Var)

534

0.63

 

GNB Cia de Securos de Vida SA 3.102% Perp (Var)

532

0.62

 

Abanca Corp Bancaire SA 7.500% Perp (Var)

524

0.62

 

Banco de Credito Social Cooperativo SA 5.250% 11/27/31 (Var)

522

0.61

 

Sainsburys Bank 10.500% 03/12/2033 (Var)

515

0.60

 

National Westminster Bank PLC 11.500% Perp Series BR

482

0.57

 

Louvre Bidco SAS 5.375% 09/30/24 (Var)

480

0.56

 

Provident Financial 8.875% 01/13/32 (Var)

447

0.52

 

BAWAG Group AG 5.125% Perp (Var)

440

0.52

 

Piraeus Bank SA 9.750% 06/26/24 (Var)

433

0.51

 

Unicaja Banco SA 4.875% Perp (Var)

386

0.45

 

Permanent TSB Group 13.25% (Var)

287

0.34

 

Ecology Building Society 9.625% Perp (Var)

258

0.30

 

Mitsubishi UFJ Investor Services & Banking Luxembourg SA 4.013% 12/15/50 (Var)

171

0.20

 

National Westminster Bank PLC 11.500% Perp Series RG

147

0.17

 

Banco Popular Espanol SA 8.000% 07/29/21

-

-

 

Banco Popular Espanol SA 8.250% 10/19/21

-

-

 

Popular Capital SA 6.000% Perp

-

-

 

 

------------

------------

 

77,013

90.39

 

Other capital instruments

 

 

Bank of Ireland 12.625% Perp

722

0.85

 

------------

------------

 

722

0.85

 

 

 

 

------------

------------

 

Total investments in capital instruments at fair value through profit or loss

77,735

91.24

 

 

£'000

% of NAV

 

Derivative financial assets at fair value through profit or loss

 

GBP/USD foreign currency forward

260

0.30

 

------------

------------

Derivative financial assets at fair value through profit or loss

260

0.30

Derivative financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

GBP/EUR foreign currency forward

(461)

(0.54)

Subfin CDSI S35 5Y SW CDS 12/20/22

(427)

(0.50)

Subfin CDSI S38 5Y CDS 12/20/27

(426)

(0.50)

------------

------------

Derivative financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

(1,314)

(1.54)

Related party fund investments

 

Axiom Alternative Liquid Rates Z Cap Scv

1,836

2.16

 

------------

------------

 

Related party fund investments

1,836

2.16

 

 

Other assets and liabilities

 

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss

4,164

4.88

 

Cash and cash equivalents

3,941

4.62

Other receivables and prepayments

1,473

1.73

Bank overdrafts

(2,234)

(2.62)

Other payables and accruals

(661)

(0.78)

------------

------------

Other assets and liabilities

6,683

7.84

 

 

------------

------------

Net assets (as reported in these financial statements (see note 22))

85,200

100.00

------------

------------

 

 

Principal Risks and Uncertainties

Risk is inherent in the Company's activities, but it is managed through an ongoing process of identifying and assessing risks and ensuring that appropriate controls are in place. The Board evaluates the Company's principal risks on an ongoing basis, and continuously assesses for future risks that could have a potential impact. During the year, the Board and the Investment Manager had ongoing discussions and reviews to consider the current, emerging, and potential risks of the Company. The discussions generated insights into a range of emerging and potential risks and has helped to focus attention on additional areas for monitoring by the Board and the Investment Manager. The Company's risk register is reviewed by the Board, including the assessment of future risks that may arise.

 

The Board has carried out a robust assessment of the Company's emerging and principal risks and the key risks faced by the Company, along with controls employed to mitigate those risks. These have not substantially changed in the last year and are set out below.

Proposals for the liquidation of the Company

The Board is putting forward proposals for the liquidation of the Company. If Shareholders vote in favour of the Proposals, the Company will be liquidated.

 

Further details of the Proposals for the implementation of the Scheme will be described in the Circular, which, when finalised, will be made available on the Company's section of the Investment Manager's website

(https://axiom-ai.com/web/en/axiom-european-financial-debt-fund-limited-2/).

Macroeconomic risk

Adverse changes affecting the global financial markets and economy as a whole, and in particular European financial debt markets, may have a material negative impact on the performance of the Company's investments. In addition, the Company's non-Pounds Sterling investments may be affected by fluctuations in currency exchange rates. Prices of financial and derivative instruments in which the Company invests are subject to significant volatility due to market risk.

 

The Company may use derivatives, including options, short market indices, CDS, and others, to mitigate market-related downside risk, but the Company is not committed to maintaining market hedges at any time.

 

The Company has a systematic hedging policy with respect to currency risk. Subject only to the availability of suitable arrangements, the assets denominated in currencies other than Pounds Sterling are hedged by the Company (to a certain extent) by using currency forward agreements to buy or sell a specified amount of Pounds Sterling on a particular date in the future.

 

Historically, FX hedging has undermined many closed-ended investment funds, as a result of sharp movements in the FX rates leaving large hedging losses which could not be met as assets were illiquid and banks were under severe balance sheet strain and could not offer forbearance on facilities in breach.

 

The Company is exposed to FX hedging risks (see note 24) but this risk is mitigated by the following:

- Based on the worst case scenario observed in monthly spot movements in the past 10 years, our worst case expected hedging loss on expiry would be 4.00% of NAV;

- Our portfolio trading liquidity is such that it would take one day, in normal circumstances, to liquidate sufficient assets to meet such an anticipated worst case loss; and

- In "stressed" markets, we estimate it would take one day to raise such liquidity.

 

Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Russia's invasion of Ukraine and resulting international sanctions on Russia are believed to have already caused substantial economic damage to that country, which is likely to worsen the longer the sanctions are in place, and has had a wider global effect on the supply and prices of certain commodities and consequently on inflation and general economic growth of the global economy. The effects will vary from country to country, depending, for example, on their dependence on Russian energy supplies, particularly gas, which cannot be so easily transported and substituted as oil. European and global banks in general were very strongly capitalised as at the end of 2021 and they have limited direct exposure to Russian credit risk and there is no evidence of meaningful stress in the financial markets. The military and political situation will no doubt continue to develop and as a consequence there may well be further price volatility in some instruments, but absent unexpected catastrophic tail risk events, the effects on the Company's portfolio are not expected to be significant.

Investment risk

There are certain risks associated with the Company's investment activities that are largely a result of the Company's investment policy (e.g. a portfolio concentrated on European financial debt) and certain investment techniques which are inherently risky (e.g. short selling).

 

There are numerous risks associated with having a concentrated portfolio and the primary risk management tool used by the Company is the extensive research performed by the Investment Manager prior to investment, along with the ongoing monitoring of a position once held in the Company's portfolio. The Board reviews portfolio concentration and receives a detailed overview of the portfolio positions quarterly, and more frequently if necessary.

 

Counterparty risk

The Company has credit and operational risk exposure to its counterparties which will require it to post collateral to support its obligations in connection with forwards and other derivative instruments. Cash pending investment or held on deposit will also be held with counterparties. The insolvency of a counterparty would result in a loss to the Company which could be material.

 

In order to mitigate this risk the Company seeks to trade only with reputable counterparties that the Investment Manager believes to be creditworthy. The Investment Manager negotiates its ISDA agreements to include bilateral collateral agreements. In addition, cash held is only with financial institutions with short term credit ratings of A-1 (Standard & Poor's) or P-1 (Moody's) or better.

 

Exposure to counterparties is monitored by the Investment Manager and reported to the Board each quarter.

Credit risk

The Company may use leverage to meet its investment objectives. The Company will also use forward contracts to hedge its non-Pounds Sterling assets. In order to do this, it will need to have in place credit lines with one or more financial institutions.

 

Due to market conditions or other factors, credit lines may be withdrawn and it might not be possible to put in place alternative arrangements. As such, the ability to meet the Company's investment objective and/or hedging strategy may not be met.

 

The Investment Manager monitors the use of credit lines and reports to the Board each quarter.

 

Share price risk

The Company is exposed to the risk that its shares may trade at a significant discount to NAV or that the market in the shares will be illiquid. To mitigate this risk the Company increased the frequency of the publication of its NAV to daily and has retained the Broker to maintain regular contact with existing and potential shareholders. The Board monitors the trading activity of the shares on a regular basis and addresses the premium/discount to NAV at its regular quarterly meetings.

From 1 January 2022 to 31 December 2022, the Company's shares traded at an average discount to NAV of 9.19% (2021: 9.14% discount to NAV). At the year end, the shares traded at a 9.12% discount to Published NAV (2021: 9.18% discount). The level of discount had not improved over the year, which is part of the reason for putting forward the Proposals to liquidate the Company - as detailed in the Circular, which, when finalised, will be made available on the Company's section of the Investment Manager's website (https://axiom-ai.com/web/en/axiom-european-financial-debt-fund-limited-2/).

Regulatory risk

Changes in laws or regulations, or a failure to comply with these, could have a detrimental impact on the Company's operations. Prior to initiating a position, the Investment Manager considers any possible legal and regulatory issues that could impact the investment and the Company. The Company's advisers and service providers monitor regulatory changes on an ongoing basis, and the Board is apprised of any regulatory inquiries and material regulatory developments on a quarterly basis.

 

Reputational risk

Reputational damage to the Company or the Investment Manager as a result of negative publicity could adversely affect the Company. To address this risk, the Company has engaged a public relations firm to monitor media coverage and actively engage with media sources as necessary. The Board also receives updates from the Broker and the Investment Manager on a quarterly basis and considers measures to address concerns as they arise.

 

 

Environmental, Employee, Social and Community Issues

As an investment company, the Company does not have any employees or physical property, and most of its activities are performed by other organisations. Therefore, the Company does not combust fuel and does not have any greenhouse gas emissions to report from its operations, nor does it have direct responsibility for any other emission producing sources.

 

ESG Policy

The Board believes that all companies have a duty to consider their impact on the community and the environment. As an investment company, the Company does not have any employees and all of its day-today activities are delegated to third party service providers. The Directors, together with the Company's key service providers, the Administrator, Company Secretary and external auditor are all based in Guernsey and Board meetings are held in Guernsey, thus negating the need for long commutes or flights to/from Board meetings, and thereby minimising the negative environmental impact of travel to/from Board meetings.

 

When making investment decisions, the Investment Manager uses three main mechanisms to integrate ESG criteria:

· Its in-house database and tools dedicated to ESG, as described in its ESG policy which is available on their website https://axiom-ai.com/web/en/responsible-investing/);

· Engagement with management or investor relations teams to get additional information; and

· Information published in annual reports or other regulatory filings (such as TCFD or sustainability reports).

 

Axiom AI's Investment Committee is ultimately responsible for the progress of ESG integration by the investment teams, under the supervision of Axiom AI's Executive Committee.

 

In addition to the ESG policy, Axiom AI maintains an exclusion list. Investments in securities issued by a firm on that exclusion list are prohibited. If a name is added to the exclusion list and the securities are already in the portfolios, the portfolio manager must divest the securities, in a way that is not harmful to holders (no fire sale). The list is mainly based on the lists established by recognised key players, such as the Norwegian government pension fund. The list was introduced in order to formalise the Investment Manager's desire not to invest in any company engaged in activities that do not correspond to our values and our requirements in terms of sustainable development. Companies can be excluded, for example because they produce controversial weapons, such as the ones covered by the Ottawa and Oslo Conventions (anti-personnel mines, cluster munitions). This list is regularly reviewed and amended.

 

 

Gender Diversity

The Board of Directors of the Company currently comprises three male Directors. Further information in relation to the Board's policy on diversity can be found in the Directors' Remuneration Report.

 

 

Key Performance Indicators

The Board uses the following KPIs to help assess the Company's performance against its objectives. Further information regarding the Company's performance is provided in the Chairman's Statement and the Investment Manager's Report.

Dividends per Ordinary Share

As set out in the Prospectus, the Company intends to distribute all of its income from investments, net of expenses, by way of dividends on a quarterly basis. The Company may retain income for distribution in a subsequent quarter to that in which it arises in order to smooth dividend amounts or for the purposes of efficient cash management.

 

The Company announced dividends of £5,511,000 (6.00p per Ordinary Share) for the year ended 31 December 2022 (2021: £5,511,000, 6.00p per Ordinary Share) (see note 6 for further details). The Company has met the 6.00p dividend per share target each year since inception and expects to continue to be able to pay out dividends of this level in the future, until the Liquidation of the Company.

 

NAV and total return

In line with the Prospectus, the Company has been targeting a net total return on invested capital of approximately 10% p.a. over a seven year period.

 

The Company incurred a total loss of -6.39% in the year ended 31 December 2022 (2021: achieved a total return of +16.88%). The total return from inception to 31 December 2022 was 4.35% p.a., which is below the long-term target return of 10% p.a. net of operating expenses. The future rate of return and dividends cannot be guaranteed, especially in light of the impending vote on the liquidation of the Company.

 

The Board regularly monitors the premium/discount of the price of the Ordinary Shares to the NAV per share. Should the discount of share price to NAV become unacceptable to the Board, the Company may buy back some of its shares. However, this is unlikely to occur in the immediate future, given the Proposals for the liquidation of the Company.

 

At 31 December 2022 the share price was 84.00p (2021: 95.50p), a 9.12% discount to the Published NAV (2021: 9.18% discount).

 

Promoting the Success of the Company

The following disclosure outlines how the Directors have had regard to the matters set out in Section 172(1)(a) to (f) of the Companies Act 2006. Although, as a Guernsey company, the Company is not required to directly comply with the Companies Act 2006, Section 172 is considered as a requirement of the AIC Code with which the Company complies (see the Corporate Governance Report (in the Annual Report and Financial Statements) for further details).

The Board considers the needs of a number of stakeholders when considering the long-term future of the Company. The key stakeholders with which the Board liaised during the year ended 31 December 2022 were Shareholders and key service providers.

Shareholders

The Company's significant Shareholders at the year end can be found in the Directors' Report (in the Annual Report and Financial Statements).

 

When making principal decisions it is considered imperative to analyse the views of the Company's investors, to ensure that there may continue to be a supply of capital enabling the Company to continue to expand its shareholder base, realise its potential for growth and achieve its long-term investment objective. Indeed, it was engagement with investors that led the Board to put forward the Proposals for the implementation of the Scheme.

 

The KPIs, detailed above, have been considered on an ongoing basis as part of the Board's decision making process.

 

Details of how the Directors communicate with Shareholders can be found in the Corporate Governance Report (in the Annual Report and Financial Statements).

 

During the year, the Board and its advisers engaged with the investors with respect to determining proposals for the future of the Company, as disclosed in the Chairman's Statement.

 

The only other engagement with investors in the year was routine regarding strategy and performance.

Key service providers

Details of the Company's key service providers can be found in the material contracts section of the Directors' Report (in the Annual Report and Financial Statements).

 

The key service providers, including the Investment Manager, are fundamental to the Company's ability to continue in the same state as any changes could disrupt the expected timeliness of information provided to the markets. In turn this would be likely to have a detrimental impact on the Company's reputation. Reputational risk is discussed further in the Principal Risks and Uncertainties.

 

The Board considers the performance of the Investment Manager to be imperative to the success of the Company and therefore reviews the performance of the Investment Manager at each Board meeting and conducts a more formal review of all service providers on an annual basis. The Investment Manager and Administrator provide the Board with documentation for consideration at the meetings to assist with their review of performance and the Investment Manager also provides a verbal report to the Board. The Directors raise any queries they have at these meetings with the Investment Manager to help to ensure the successful implementation of the investment objective and success of the Company.

 

The Board has continuous access to all of the Company's key service providers and has open two-way communication with them. Key aspects of discussion with these service providers, other than those regarding Company performance and strategy, were in respect of fees payable to these providers.

 

Following these discussions, no fee arrangements were amended in the year ended 31 December 2022. However, protective notice was served on all key service providers due to the Proposals for the implementation of the Scheme. CACEIS refused to accept the protective notice but the Board noted CACEIS's three month notice period and that the fee was immaterial.

William Scott

Chairman

21 March 2023

 

 

Statement of Comprehensive Income

for the year ended 31 December 2022

Note

Year ended

31 December 2022

Year ended 31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Income

 

Capital instrument income

 

6,084

5,180

Credit default swap income

 

713

1,107

Bank interest receivable

 

73

5

 

------------

------------

Total income

 

6,870

6,292

 

------------

------------

Investment gains and losses on investments held at fair value through profit or loss

 

Realised (losses)/gains on disposal of capital instruments and other investments

15

(2,716)

8,269

Movement in unrealised losses on capital instruments and other investments

15

(9,358)

(986)

Realised gains on derivative financial instruments

18

971

5,223

Movement in unrealised losses on derivative financial instruments

18

(579)

(1,294)

 

------------

------------

Total investment gains and losses

 

(11,682)

11,212

 

------------

------------

Expenses

 

Gains/(losses) on foreign currency

 

552

(721)

Other expenses

12

(784)

(296)

Investment management fee

8a

(744)

(866)

Interest payable and similar charges

11

(150)

(52)

Administration fee

8b

(139)

(132)

Directors' fees

8f

(95)

(95)

Performance fee

8a

-

(596)

 

------------

------------

Total expenses

 

(1,360)

(2,758)

 

------------

------------

(Loss)/profit for the year attributable to the Owners of the Company

 

(6,172)

14,746

 

------------

------------

 

 

(Loss)/earnings per Ordinary Share: basic and diluted

14

(6.72)p

16.05p

 

------------

------------

 

 

 

The Company does not have any income or expenses that are not included in profit for the year. Therefore, the loss for the year is also the total comprehensive loss for the year.

The accompanying notes form an integral part of these financial statements.

 

 

Statement of Changes in Equity

for the year ended 31 December 2022

Note

Distributable reserves

Performance fee reserve

Total

 

£'000

£'000

£'000

 

Opening balance at 1 January 2021

 

87,350

-

87,350

 

Profit for the year ended 31 December 2021

 

14,746

-

14,746

 

50% Performance fee payable in Shares

8a

-

298

298

 

Contributions by and distributions to Owners

 

Dividends paid

6

(5,511)

-

(5,511)

 

------------

------------

------------

At 31 December 2021

 

96,585

298

96,883

 

Loss for the year ended 31 December 2022

 

(6,172)

(6,172)

 

Contributions by and distributions to Owners

 

Dividends paid

6

(5,511)

-

(5,511)

 

------------

------------

------------

At 31 December 2022

 

84,902

298

85,200

 

------------

------------

------------

The share capital has not been presented separately in the above Statement of Changes in Equity as the Ordinary Shares have no par value, and hence the share capital is £nil.

The Performance fee reserve is also distributable.

The accompanying notes form an integral part of these financial statements.

 

Statement of Financial Position

as at 31 December 2022

 

Note

As at

31 December 2022

As at

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Current assets

 

Investments in capital instruments at fair value through profit or loss

15, 19

77,735

85,449

Cash and cash equivalents

 

3,356

7,713

Other investments at fair value through profit or loss

15, 19

1,836

4,874

Derivative financial assets at fair value through profit or loss

18

260

4,506

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss

16,18

4,164

4,119

Other receivables and prepayments

17

2,058

2,143

 

------------

------------

Total assets

 

89,409

108,804

 

------------

------------

 

Current liabilities

 

Derivative financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

18

(1,314)

(6,555)

Bank overdrafts

 

(2,234)

(693)

Other payables and accruals

20

(661)

(649)

Short position(s) covered by reverse sale and repurchase agreements

15, 19

-

(3,932)

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss

16,18

-

(92)

 

------------

------------

Total liabilities

 

(4,209)

(11,921)

 

------------

------------

Net assets

 

85,200

96,883

 

------------

------------

 

Share capital and reserves

 

Share capital

21

-

-

Distributable reserves

 

84,902

96,585

Performance fee reserve

 

298

298

 

------------

------------

Total equity holders' funds

 

85,200

96,883

 

------------

------------

 

 

Net asset value per Ordinary Share: basic and diluted

22

92.76p

105.48p

These financial statements were approved by the Board of Directors on 21 March 2023 and were signed on its behalf by:

 

William Scott

Chairman

21 March 2023

 

John Renouf

Director

21 March 2023

The accompanying notes form an integral part of these financial statements.

 

Statement of Cash Flows

for the year ended 31 December 2022

 

Note

Year ended 31 December 2022

Year ended 31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Cash flows from operating activities

 

Net (loss)/profit

 

(6,172)

14,746

Adjustments for:

 

Foreign exchange movements

 

(552)

721

Total investment losses/(gains) at fair value through profit or loss

 

11,682

(11,212)

Capital instrument income

 

(6,084)

(5,180)

CDS income

 

(713)

(1,107)

Interest on sale and repurchase agreements

 

90

(2)

Performance fee reserve

 

-

298

Cash flows relating to financial instruments:

 

Payment (to)/from collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments

16

(137)

1,538

Purchase of investments at fair value through profit or loss

 

(38,911)

(87,768)

Sale of investments at fair value through profit or loss

 

37,537

90,710

Premiums received from selling credit default swap agreements

18

1,584

274

Premiums paid on buying credit default swap agreements

18

-

(83)

Purchase of foreign currency derivatives

18

(197,420)

(185,824)

Close-out of foreign currency derivatives

18

195,378

189,680

Purchase of bond futures

18

(929)

(4,234)

Sale of bond futures

18

2,805

4,977

Proceeds from sale and repurchase agreements

18

18,156

20,821

Payments to open reverse sale and repurchase agreements

18

-

(4,166)

Payments for closure of sale and repurchase agreements

18

(24,350)

(26,437)

Proceeds from closure of reverse sale and repurchase agreements

18

4,175

3,898

Opening of short position(s)

 

-

3,844

Closure of short position(s)

 

(3,418)

(1,932)

Cash paid during the year for interest

 

(1,937)

(1,404)

Cash received during the year for interest

 

7,897

7,751

Cash received during the year for dividends

 

346

363

 

------------

------------

Net cash (outflow)/inflow from operating activities before working capital changes

 

(388)

10,272

Decrease/(increase) in other receivables and prepayments

 

6

(3)

Increase in other payables and accruals

 

28

336

 

------------

------------

Net cash (outflow)/inflow from operating activities

 

(354)

10,605

 

Cash flows from financing activities

 

Dividends paid

6

(5,511)

(5,511)

 

------------

------------

Net cash outflow from financing activities

 

(5,511)

(5,511)

 

------------

------------

 

(Decrease)/increase in cash and cash equivalents

 

(6,450)

5,094

Cash and cash equivalents brought forward

 

7,020

2,647

Effect of foreign exchange on cash and cash equivalents

 

552

(721)

 

------------

------------

Cash and cash equivalents carried forward *

 

1,122

7,020

 

------------

------------

* Cash and cash equivalents, represented by:

Cash and cash equivalents

 

3,356

7,713

Bank overdrafts

 

(2,234)

(693)

 

------------

------------

 

1,122

7,020

 

------------

------------

The accompanying notes form an integral part of these financial statements.

 

 

Notes to the Financial Statements

for the year ended 31 December 2022

 

1. General information 

The Company is domiciled in Guernsey and was incorporated in Guernsey on 7 October 2015 as an authorised closed-ended investment Company, under the Companies (Guernsey) Law, 2008 with registered number 61003. Its Ordinary Shares were admitted to trading on the Premium Segment and to the premium listing segment of the FCA's Official List on 15 October 2018 (prior to this, the Ordinary Shares traded on the SFS).

Proposals for the liquidation of the Company

The Board will shortly put forward proposals for the liquidation of the Company, including the ability for Shareholders to receive shares, in respect of their holdings of the Company's Ordinary Shares, in a new open-ended fund managed by the same management team and with a similar investment mandate to the Company. The Board believes that these proposals will provide continuity for those Shareholders in terms of exposure to a strategy similar to the one currently pursued by the Company and under the same management team. The New Fund, AUFC, which will be a new Compartment of Axiom Lux SICAV, an established Luxembourg SICAV that is registered as a UCITS with the Luxembourg financial regulator, the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier, will be open-ended with daily liquidity. The proposals will also include a mechanism for those Shareholders who do not wish to continue their investment to achieve a cash exit.

 

Further details of the Proposals for the implementation of the Scheme will be described in the Circular, which, when finalised, will be made available on the Company's section of the Investment Manager's website

(https://axiom-ai.com/web/en/axiom-european-financial-debt-fund-limited-2/).

Investment objective

The investment objective of the Company is detailed in the Annual Report and Financial Statements.

Investment policy

The investment policy of the Company is detailed in the Annual Report and Financial Statements.

 

2. Statement of compliance

a) Basis of preparation

These financial statements present the results of the Company for the year ended 31 December 2022. The comparative figures stated were for the year ended 31 December 2021. These financial statements have been prepared in accordance with UK-adopted international accounting standards.

 

These financial statements are presented in Sterling, which is also the Company's functional currency (please see notes 3b and 4 for further details). All amounts are rounded to the nearest thousand.

b) Non-going concern

After undertaking prudent and robust enquiries, and assessing all data relating to the Company's liquidity, the Directors have a reasonable expectation that the Company would have adequate resources to continue in operational existence for the foreseeable future if Shareholders were to vote not to liquidate the Company. However, it is expected that Shareholders will vote in favour of the Proposals and that the Company will be liquidated. For this reason, they have not adopted the going concern basis in preparing the financial statements. The effect of this is explained in note 4 to the financial statements.

c) Basis of measurement

The financial statements have been prepared on a historical cost basis, except for certain financial instruments, which are measured at fair value through profit or loss.

 

 

d) Use of estimates and judgements

The preparation of financial statements in conformity with IFRS requires management to make judgements, estimates and assumptions that affect the application of policies and the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, income and expenses.

 

Judgements made by management in the application of IFRS that have a significant effect on the financial statements and estimates with a significant risk of material adjustment are discussed in note 4.

 

3. Significant accounting policies

a) Income and expenses

Bank interest, capital instrument income and credit default swap income is recognised on an accruals basis.

 

Dividend income is recognised when the right to receive payment is established. Capital instrument income comprises bond interest and dividend income. Revenue from fixed interest securities is recognised on an effective interest rate basis. Accrued interest purchased and sold on interest bearing securities is excluded from the capital cost of these securities and dealt with as part of the revenue of the Company.

 

All expenses are recognised on an accruals basis. All of the Company's expenses (with the exception of share issue costs, which are charged directly to the distributable reserve and the portion of performance fees that are deemed to be a share-based payment) are charged through the Statement of Comprehensive Income in the period in which they are incurred.

b) Foreign currency

Foreign currency transactions are translated into Sterling using the exchange rates prevailing at the dates of the transactions. Foreign exchange gains and losses resulting from the settlement of such transactions and from the translation at period-end exchange rates of monetary assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies are recognised in the Statement of Comprehensive Income.

 

The exchange rates used by the Company as at 31 December 2022 were £1/€1.1287, £1/US$1.2083, £1/DKK8.3945, £1/CA$1.6377 and £1/SGD1.6185 (2021: £1/€1.1895, £1/US$1.3528, £1/DKK8.8479, £1/CA$1.7096 and £1/SGD1.8249).

 

c) Taxation

Investment income is recorded gross of applicable taxes and any tax expenses are recognised through the Statement of Comprehensive Income as incurred.

d) Financial assets and liabilities

The financial assets and liabilities of the Company are investments in capital instruments at fair value through profit or loss, other investments at fair value through profit or loss, collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments, cash and cash equivalents, other receivables, derivative financial instruments and other payables.

 

In accordance with IFRS 9, the Company classifies its financial assets and financial liabilities at initial recognition into the categories of financial assets and financial liabilities as discussed below.

 

In applying that classification, a financial asset or financial liability is considered to be held for trading if:

· It is acquired or incurred principally for the purpose of selling or repurchasing it in the near term; or

· On initial recognition, it is part of a portfolio of identified financial instruments that are managed together and for which, there is evidence of a recent actual pattern of short-term profit-taking; or

· It is a derivative (except for a derivative that is a financial guarantee contract or a designated and effective hedging instrument).

 

Financial assets

The Company classifies its financial assets as subsequently measured at amortised cost or measured at fair value through profit or loss on the basis of both:

· The business model for managing the financial assets; and

· The contractual cash flow characteristics of the financial asset.

 

A financial asset is measured at fair value through profit or loss if:

· Its contractual terms do not give rise to cash flows on specified dates that are solely payments of principal interest ("SPPI") on the principal amount outstanding; or

· It is not held within a business model whose objective is either to collect contractual cash flows, or to both collect contractual cash flows and sell; or

· At initial recognition, it is irrevocably designated as measured at fair value through profit or loss when doing so eliminates or significantly reduces a measurement or recognition inconsistency that would otherwise arise from measuring assets or liabilities or recognising the gains and losses on them on different bases.

 

The Company includes in this category:

· Instruments held for trading. This category includes equity instruments and debt instruments which are acquired principally for the purpose of generating a profit from short-term fluctuations in price. This category also includes derivative financial assets at fair value through profit or loss.

· Debt instruments. These include investments that are held under a business model to manage them on a fair value basis for investment income and fair value gains.

 

Financial liabilities

A financial liability is measured at fair value through profit or loss if it meets the definition of held for trading.

 

The Company includes in this category, other payables, derivative contracts in a liability position and equity and debt instruments sold short since they are classified as held for trading.

 

Derivative financial instruments, including credit default swap agreements, foreign currency forward contracts, bond future contracts and sale and repurchase agreements are recognised initially, and are subsequently measured at, fair value. Sale and repurchase agreements are recognised at fair value through profit or loss as they are generally not held to maturity but incurred principally for the purpose of repurchasing in the near term and on initial recognition are part of a portfolio of identified financial instruments that are managed together and for which there is evidence of a recent actual pattern of short-term profit taking. Derivative financial instruments are classified as assets when their fair value is positive or as liabilities when their fair value is negative. Derivative assets and liabilities arising from different transactions are offset only if the transactions are with the same counterparty, a legal right of offset exists, and the parties intend to settle the cash flows on a net basis.

 

These financial instruments are classified at fair value through profit or loss upon initial recognition on the basis that they are part of a group of financial assets which are managed and have their performance evaluated on a fair value basis, in accordance with investment strategies and risk management of the Company.

 

Recognition

The Company recognises a financial asset or a financial liability when, and only when, it becomes a party to the contractual provisions of the instrument. Purchases and sales of financial assets that require delivery of assets within the time frame generally established by regulation or convention in the marketplace are recognised on the trade date, i.e. the date that the Company commits to purchase or sell the asset.

 

Derecognition

A financial asset (or, where applicable, a part of a financial asset or part of a group of similar assets) is derecognised where:

· The rights to receive cash flows from the asset have expired; or

· The Company has transferred its rights to receive cash flows from the asset or has assumed an obligation to pay the received cash flows in full without material delay to a third party under a "pass-through" arrangement; and

· Either: (a) the Company has transferred substantially all the risks and rewards of the asset; or (b) the Company has neither transferred nor retained substantially all the risks and rewards of the asset, but has transferred control of the asset.

 

When the Company has transferred its rights to receive cash flows from an asset (or has entered into a pass-through arrangement) and has neither transferred nor retained substantially all the risks and rewards of the asset nor transferred control of the asset, the asset is recognised to the extent of the Company's continuing involvement in the asset.

 

The Company derecognises a financial liability when the obligation under the liability is discharged, cancelled or expires.

 

Initial measurement

Financial assets and financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss are recorded in the Statement of Financial Position at fair value. All transaction costs for such instruments are recognised directly in the Statement of Comprehensive Income.

 

Subsequent measurement

After initial measurement, the Company measures financial assets which are classified at fair value through profit or loss, at fair value. Subsequent changes in the fair value of those financial instruments are recorded in net gain or loss on financial assets and liabilities at fair value through profit or loss. Interest and dividends earned or paid on these instruments are recorded separately in interest income or expense and dividend income or expense.

 

Net gain or loss on financial assets and financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

The Company records its transactions in investments and the related revenue and expenses on a trade date basis. Unrealised gains and losses comprise changes in the fair value of financial instruments at the period end. These gains and losses represent the difference between an instrument's initial carrying amount and disposal amount, or cash payment on, or receipts from derivative contracts.

 

Offsetting of financial instruments

Financial assets and financial liabilities are reported net by counterparty in the Statement of Financial Position, provided that a legal right of offset exists, and is not offset by collateral pledged to or received from counterparties.

 

Other receivables

Receivables are non-derivative financial assets with fixed or determinable payments that are not quoted in an active market. The Company includes in this category other short-term receivables. The Company makes use of a simplified approach in accounting for trade and other receivables as well as contract assets and records the loss allowance as lifetime expected credit losses. These are the expected shortfalls in contractual cash flows, considering the potential for default at any point during the life of the financial instrument. In calculating, the Company uses its historical experience to determine the expected credit losses.

 

e) Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss comprise cash balances held at the Company's depositary and the Company's clearing brokers and cash collateral pledged to counterparties related to derivative contracts. Cash that is related to securities sold, not yet purchased, is restricted until the securities are purchased. Financial instruments held within the margin account consist of cash received from brokers to collateralise the Company's derivative contracts and amounts transferred from the Company's bank account.

f) Cash and cash equivalents

Cash in hand and in banks and short-term deposits which are held to maturity are carried at cost. Cash and cash equivalents are defined as cash in hand, demand deposits and short-term, highly liquid investments readily convertible to known amounts of cash and subject to insignificant risk of changes in value.

g) Share capital

Ordinary Shares are classified as equity. Incremental costs directly attributable to the issue of Ordinary Shares are recognised as a deduction from equity.

 

When share capital recognised as equity is repurchased, the amount of the consideration paid, which includes directly attributable costs, is recognised as a deduction from equity. Repurchased shares that are classified as Treasury Shares are presented as a deduction from equity. When Treasury Shares are sold or subsequently reissued, the amount received is recognised as an increase in equity and the resulting surplus or deficit is transferred to/from distributable reserves.

 

Funds received from the issue of Ordinary Shares are allocated to share capital, to the extent that they relate to the nominal value of the Ordinary Shares, with any excess being allocated to distributable reserves.

h) Distributable reserves

All income and expenses, foreign exchange gains and losses and investment gains and losses of the Company are allocated to the distributable reserve.

i) Performance fee reserve

In accordance with IFRS 2, Share-based payments, the portion of the performance fee that is due to be settled in shares is deemed to be an equity-settled share-based payment when the fee is settled. As such, 50% of the performance fee accrual at 31 December 2021 (£298,000) has been allocated to the performance fee reserve until the payment, which will be utilised to purchase the shares, has been made. This accrual remained outstanding for payment at 31 December 2022 and was settled in full on 6 March 2023. There is no vesting period (see note 8 a) for further details).

j) NAV per share and earnings per share

The NAV per share disclosed on the face of the Statement of Financial Position is calculated by dividing the net assets by the number of Ordinary Shares in issue at the year end.

 

Earnings per share is calculated by dividing the earnings for the year by the weighted average number of Ordinary Shares in issue during the year.

k) Changes in accounting policy and disclosures

The accounting policies adopted are consistent with those of the previous financial period. The Company adopted the following new and amended relevant IFRS in the period:

IFRS 9

Financial Instruments (amendments resulting from Annual Improvements to IFRS Standards 2018-2020)

IAS 37

Provisions, Contingent Liabilities and Contingent Assets (amendments regarding the costs to include when assessing whether a contract is onerous)

The adoption of these accounting standards did not have any effect on the Company's Statement of Financial Position or equity.

 

l) Accounting standards issued but not yet effective

The IASB has issued/revised a number of relevant standards with an effective date after the date of these financial statements. Any standards that are not deemed relevant to the operations of the Company have been excluded. The Directors have chosen not to early adopt these standards and interpretations and they do not anticipate that they would have a material impact on the Company's financial statements in the period of initial application.

 

Effective date

IAS 1

Presentation of Financial Statements (amendments regarding the classification of liabilities and the disclosure of accounting policies)

1 January 2023

IAS 1

Presentation of Financial Statements (amendments regarding the classification of debt with covenants)

1 January 2024

IAS 8

Accounting Policies, Changes in Accounting Estimates and Errors (amendments regarding the definition of accounting estimates)

1 January 2023

IAS 12

Income Taxes (amendments regarding deferred tax on leases and decommissioning obligations)

1 January 2023

 

4. Use of judgements and estimates

The preparation of the Company's financial statements requires the Directors to make judgements, estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts recognised in the financial statements and disclosure of contingent liabilities. The estimates and associated assumptions are based on historical experience and various other factors that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis of making judgements about carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. However, uncertainty about these assumptions and estimates could result in outcomes that could require a material adjustment to the carrying amount of the asset or liability in future periods.

 

The estimates and underlying assumptions are reviewed on an ongoing basis. Revisions to accounting estimates are recognised in the period in which the estimate is revised, if the revision affects only that period, or in the period of the revision and future periods, if the revision affects both current and future periods.

 

Judgements

In the process of applying the Company's accounting policies, management has made the following judgement which had a significant effect on the amounts recognised in the financial statements:

 

i) Determination of functional currency

The performance of the Company is measured and reported to investors in Sterling. Although a significant proportion of the Company's underlying assets are held in currencies other than Sterling, because the Company's capital is raised in Sterling, expenses are paid in Sterling and the Company hedges substantially all of its foreign currency risk back to Sterling, the Directors consider Sterling to be the Company's functional currency.

 

The Directors do not consider there to be any other judgements that have had a significant impact on the financial statements.

 

Estimates and assumptions

The Company based its reporting date assumptions and estimates on parameters available when the financial statements were approved. However, existing circumstances and assumptions about future developments may change due to market changes or circumstances arising beyond the control of the Company. Such changes are reflected in the assumptions when they occur.

 

i) Valuation of financial assets and liabilities

The Company uses the expertise of the Investment Manager to assess the prices of investments at the valuation date. The majority of the prices can be independently verified with reference to external data sources, however a minority of investments cannot be verified by reference to an external source and the Investment Manager secures an independent valuation with reference to the latest prices traded within the market place. These independent valuations take the form of quotes from brokers.

 

Credit default swap assets and liabilities are valued by the Investment Manager using market observable inputs. Refer to note 19 for further details.

 

ii) Going concern

The provision for the liquidation costs comprises the costs of the liquidation itself. These estimated expenses of £10,000 are based on an estimate of what future costs will be, in accordance with the expected timeline to wind up, and are included in the restructuring/liquidation fees of £379,000 in note 12.

 

The preparation of the financial statements on a non-going concern basis, instead of a going concern basis, has reduced the net assets at 31 December 2022 by £10,000 (31 December 2021: £nil).

 

For further information on the assumptions and inputs used to fair value the financial instruments, please see note 19.

 

 

 

5. Segmental reporting

In accordance with IFRS 8, Operating Segments, it is mandatory for the Company to present and disclose segmental information based on the internal reports that are regularly reviewed by the Board in order to assess each segment's performance.

 

Management information for the Company as a whole is provided internally for decision making purposes. The Company does compartmentalise different investments in order to monitor compliance with investment restrictions, however the performance of these allocations does not drive the investment decision process. The Directors' decisions are based on a single integrated investment strategy and the Company's performance is evaluated on an overall basis. Therefore, the Directors are of the opinion that the Company is engaged in a single economic segment of business for all decision-making purposes and no segmental reporting is required. The financial results of this segment are equivalent to the results of the Company as a whole.

 

 

6. Dividends

As set out in the Prospectus, the Company intends to distribute all of its income from investments, net of expenses, by way of dividends on a quarterly basis. The Company may retain income for distribution in a subsequent quarter to that in which it arises in order to smooth dividend amounts or for the purposes of efficient cash management.

 

The Company has declared the following dividends during the year ended 31 December 2022:

 

 

 

Total dividend declared in respect of earnings

Amount per Ordinary Share

£'000

Dividends declared and paid in the year

5,511

6.00p

Less, dividend declared in respect of the prior year that was paid in 2022

(1,378)

(1.50)p

Add, dividend declared out of the profits of the year but paid after the year end:

1,378

1.50p

------------

------------

Dividends declared in respect of the year

5,511

6.00p

------------

------------

 

The Company declared the following dividends during the year ended 31 December 2021:

 

 

Total dividend declared in respect of earnings

Amount per Ordinary Share

£'000

Dividends declared and paid in the year

5,511

6.00p

Less, dividend declared in respect of the prior year that was paid in 2021

(1,378)

(1.50)p

Add, dividend declared out of the profits of the year but paid after the year end:

1,378

1.50p

------------

------------

Dividends declared in respect of the year

5,511

6.00p

------------

------------

In accordance with IFRS, dividends are only provided for when they become a present obligation of the Company. Therefore, during the year a total of £5,511,000 (2021: £5,511,000) was incurred in respect of dividends, none of which was outstanding at the reporting date. The fourth dividend declared out of the profits for the year of £1,378,000 had not been provided for at 31 December 2022 (2021: £1,378,000) as, in accordance with IFRS, it was not a liability of the Company at that date.

 

 

7. Related parties

Details of the relationships between the Company and its related parties, being the Investment Manager and the Directors, are disclosed in notes 8a and 8f.

 

Details of the relationships between the Company and its other advisors and service providers (the Administrator, the Broker, the Registrar and the Depositary) are also disclosed in note 8.

 

As at 31 December 2022, the Company had holdings in the following investments, which were managed by the Investment Manager:

 

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

Units held

Cost

Value

Units held

Cost

Value

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Axiom Alternative Liquid Rates Z Cap Scv

2,000

1,705

1,836

2,000

1,705

1,691

Axiom Global CoCo UCIT ETF USD-hedged

-

-

-

35

2,984

3,183

 

During the year, the Company:

· purchased 1,900 units in Axiom Sustainable Financial Bonds Class Z for £2,130,000;

· sold 1,900 units in Axiom Sustainable Financial Bonds Class Z for £2,131,000, realising a gain of £1,000; and

· sold 35 units in Axiom Global CoCo UCIT ETF USD-hedged for £3,120,000, realising a gain of £136,000.

 

During the year ended 31 December 2021, the Company:

· sold 10 units in Axiom Global CoCo UCIT ETF GBP-hedged for £1,106,000, realising a gain of £106,000;

· sold 500 units in Axiom Equity Class Z for £1,035,000, realising a gain of £568,000; and

· purchased 2,000 units in Axiom Alternative Liquid rates Z Cap Scv for £1,705,000.

 

The Directors are not aware of any ultimate controlling party.

 

8. Key contracts

a) Investment Manager

The Company has entered into an Investment Management Agreement with Axiom AI under which the Company receives investment advice and management services. As part of the Proposal process, the Company served protective notice on the Investment Manager on 12 August 2022.

 

Management fee

Under the terms of the Investment Management Agreement, a management fee is paid to the Investment Manager quarterly in arrears. The quarterly fee is calculated by reference to the following sliding scale:

i. where NAV is less than or equal to £250 million, 1% per annum of NAV;

ii. where NAV is greater than £250 million but less than or equal to £500 million, 1% per annum of NAV on the first £250 million and 0.8% per annum of NAV on the balance; and

iii. where NAV is greater than £500 million, 0.8% per annum of NAV, in each case, plus applicable VAT.

 

In respect of the management fee calculation above, any related party holdings are deducted from the NAV.

If in any quarter (other than the final quarter) of any accounting period the aggregate expenses of the Company (excluding performance fees, interest charged on sale and repurchase agreements, bank charges and withholding tax) during such quarter exceed an amount equal to one-quarter of 1.5% of the average NAV of the Company during such quarter (such amount being a "Quarterly Expenses Excess"), then the management fee payable in respect of that quarter shall be reduced by the amount of the Quarterly Expenses Excess, provided that the management fee shall not be reduced to an amount that is less than zero and no sum will be payable by the Investment Manager to the Company in respect of the Quarterly Expenses Excess.

 

If in the final quarter of any accounting period the aggregate expenses of the Company during such accounting period exceed an amount equal to 1.5% of the average NAV of the Company during such accounting period (such amount being an "Annual Expenses Excess"), then the management fee payable in respect of that quarter shall be reduced by the amount of the Annual Expenses Excess. If such reduction would not fully eliminate the Annual Expenses Excess (the amount of any such shortfall being a "Management Fee Deduction Shortfall"), the Investment Manager shall pay to the Company an amount equal to the Management Fee Deduction Shortfall (a "Management Fee Deduction Shortfall Payment") as soon as is reasonably practicable.

 

During the year, a total of £744,000 (2021: £866,000) was incurred in respect of Investment Management fees, of which £182,000 was payable at the reporting date (2021: £213,000).

 

Under the terms of the Investment Management Agreement, if at any time there has been any deduction from the management fee as a result of the Quarterly Expenses Excess or Annual Expenses Excess (a "Management Fee Deduction"), and during any subsequent quarter:

i. all or part of the Management Fee Deduction can be paid; and/or

ii. all or part of the Management Fee Deduction Shortfall payment can be repaid,

by the Company to the Investment Manager without:

iii. in any quarter (other than the final quarter) of any accounting period the aggregate expenses of the Company during such quarter exceeding an amount equal to one-quarter of 1.5% of the average NAV of the Company during such quarter; or

iv. in the final quarter of any accounting period the aggregate expenses of the Company during such accounting period exceeding an amount equal to 1.5% of the average NAV of the Company during such accounting period,

then such payment and/or repayment shall be made by the Company to the Investment Manager as soon as is reasonably practicable.

 

The Quarterly Expenses Excess and Annual Expenses Excess for the year was £103,000 (2021: £40,000), and at 31 December 2022 the Quarterly Expenses Excess and Annual Expenses Excess, which could be payable to the Investment Manager in future periods, was £880,000 (2021: £777,000) (see note 27).

 

Performance fee

The Investment Manager is entitled to receive from the Company a performance fee subject to certain performance benchmarks.

 

The fee is payable as a share of the Total Shareholder Return ("TSR") where TSR for this purpose is defined as:

i. the NAV (on a per share basis) at the end of the relevant accounting period; plus

ii. the total of all dividends and other distributions made to Shareholders since 5 November 2015 (being the date of the Company's original admission to the SFS) divided by the average number of shares in issue during the period from 5 November 2015 to the end of the relevant accounting period.

 

The performance fee, if any, is equal to 15% of the TSR in excess of a weighted average hurdle equal to a 7% per annum return. The performance fee is subject to a high water mark. The fee, if any, is payable annually and calculated on the basis of audited accounts of the Company.

 

50% of the performance fee will be settled in cash. The balance will be satisfied in shares, subject to certain exceptions where settlement in shares would be prohibited by law or would result in the Investment Manager or any person acting in concert with it incurring an obligation to make an offer under Rule 9 of the City Code, in which case the balance will be settled in cash.

 

Assuming no such requirement, the balance of the performance fee will be settled either by the allotment to the Investment Manager of such number of new shares credited as fully paid as is equal to 50% of the performance fee (net of VAT) divided by the most recent practicable NAV per share (rounded down to the nearest whole share) or by the acquisition of shares in the market, as required under the terms of the Investment Management Agreement. All shares allotted to (or acquired for) the Investment Manager in part satisfaction of the performance fee will be subject to a lock-up until the date that is 12 months from the end of the accounting period to which the award of such shares related. A lock-up termination event is a disposal of shares pursuant to a takeover or sale of the Company or where the Investment Manager is required by law to dispose of such shares, or a termination of the Investment Management agreement by the Company.

 

At 31 December 2022, a performance fee of £298,000 (2021: £596,000) was payable by the Company in respect of the year ended 31 December 2021, of which £nil was payable in cash (2021: £298,000). During the year, the Company paid the Investment Manager £298,000, relating to the cash settlement element of the 2021 performance fee.

 

The remaining performance fee payable by the Company as at 31 December 2022 (£298,000) was settled through the purchase of Ordinary Shares in the market by the Investment Manager and the Company reimbursed the Investment Manager in cash on 6 March 2023. As such, the performance fee was allocated to the performance fee reserve until the payment, which was utilised to purchase the shares, was made. This treatment has resulted in an increase to the NAV originally announced to the market on 4 January 2023 of 0.33p per Ordinary Share (see note 22).

 

b) Administrator and Company Secretary

Elysium has been appointed by the Company to provide day to day administration services to the Company, to calculate the NAV per share as at the end of each calendar month and to provide company secretarial functions required under the Law.

 

Under the terms of the Administration Agreement, the Administrator is entitled to receive an annual fee of £126,794 (2021: £121,450), which is subject to an annual increase in line with Guernsey RPI. In addition, the Company pays the Administrator a fee for work undertaken in connection with the daily NAV, subject to a maximum aggregate amount of £10,000 per annum.

 

During the year, a total of £139,000 (2021: £132,000) was incurred in respect of Administration fees of which £34,000 (2021: £33,000) was payable at the reporting date.

 

As part of the Proposal process, the Company served protective notice on the Administrator on 22 August 2022.

c) Broker

Winterflood has been appointed to act as Broker for the Company, in consideration for which the Company pays Winterflood an annual retainer fee of £35,000 per annum.

 

For the year to 31 December 2022, the Company incurred Broker fees of £40,000 (2021: £37,000) of which £7,000 was payable at 31 December 2022 (2021: £6,000).

 

As part of the Proposal process, the Company served protective notice on the Broker on 10 February 2023.

 

d) Registrar

Link Market Services (Guernsey) Limited is Registrar of the Company. Under the terms of the Registrar Agreement, the Registrar is entitled to receive from the Company certain annual maintenance and activity fees, subject to a minimum fee of £5,500 per annum.

 

During the year, a total of £22,000 (2021: £18,000) was incurred in respect of Registrar fees, of which £1,000 was payable at 31 December 2022 (2021: £1,000).

 

As part of the Proposal process, the Company served protective notice on the Registrar on 23 August 2022.

e) Depositary

CACEIS Bank France has been appointed by the Company to provide depositary, settlement and other associated services to the Company.

 

Under the terms of the Depositary Agreement, the Depositary is entitled to receive from the Company:

i. an annual depositary fee of 0.03% of NAV, subject to a minimum annual fee of €25,000;

ii. a safekeeping fee calculated using a basis point fee charge based on the country of settlement and the value of the assets; and

iii. an administration fee on each transaction, together with various other payment/wire charges on outgoing payments.

 

As part of the Proposal process, the Company has served protective notice on the Depositary, however, CACEIS refused to accept the protective notice but the Board noted CACEIS's three month notice period and that the fee was immaterial.

 

During the year, a total of £47,000 (2021: £37,000) was incurred in respect of depositary fees, of which £26,000 was payable at the reporting date (2021: £22,000).

 

CACEIS Bank Luxembourg is entitled to receive a monthly valuation agent fee from the Company in respect of the provision of certain accounting services which will, subject to a minimum monthly fee of €2,500, be calculated by reference to the following tiered sliding scale:

i. where NAV is less than or equal to €50 million, 0.05% per annum of NAV;

ii. where NAV is greater than €50 million but less than or equal to €100 million, 0.04% per annum of NAV; and

iii. where NAV is greater than €100 million, 0.03% per annum of NAV, in each case, plus applicable VAT.

 

During the period, a total of £38,000 (2021: £43,000) was incurred in respect of valuation agent fees paid to CACEIS Bank Luxembourg, of which £7,000 was payable at 31 December 2022 (2021: £11,000).

 

f) Directors' remuneration

William Scott (Chairman) is paid £35,000 per annum (2021: £35,000), John Renouf (Chairman of the Audit Committee) is paid £32,500 per annum (2021: £32,500), and Max Hilton is paid £27,500 per annum (2021: £27,500).

 

The Directors are also entitled to reimbursement of all reasonable travelling and other expenses properly incurred in the performance of their duties.

 

During the year, a total of £95,000 (2021: £95,000) was incurred in respect of Directors' fees, none of which was payable at the reporting date (2021: £nil). No bonus or pension contributions were paid or payable on behalf of the Directors.

 

 

9. Key management and employees

Other than the Non-Executive Directors, the Company has had no employees since its incorporation.

 

 

10. Auditor's remuneration

Grant Thornton was appointed to act as the Company's external auditor with effect from 19 August 2020.

 

For the year ended 31 December 2022, total fees charged by Grant Thornton, together with amounts accrued at 31 December 2022, amounted to £48,000 (2021: £40,850), all of which related to audit services. As at 31 December 2022, £36,000 was due to Grant Thornton (2021: £21,000).

 

11. Interest payable and similar charges

 

Year ended

31 December 2022

Year ended

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Bank interest

 

56

42

Commission

 

4

11

Interest payable on sale and repurchase agreements

 

90

(1)

 

------------

------------

 

150

52

 

------------

------------

 

12. Other expenses

 

Year ended

31 December 2022

Year ended

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Restructuring/liquidation fees

 

379

-

PR expenses

 

68

61

Audit fees (note 10)

 

48

41

Legal fees

 

48

13

Withholding tax on bond interest

 

48

-

Depositary fees (note 8e)

 

47

37

Other expenses

 

46

46

Broker fees (note 8c)

 

40

37

Valuation agent fees (note 8e)

 

38

43

Registrar fees (note 8d)

 

22

18

 

------------

------------

 

784

296

 

------------

------------

 

13. Taxation

The Company is exempt from taxation in Guernsey, and it is the intention to conduct the affairs of the Company to ensure that it continues to qualify for exempt company status for the purposes of Guernsey taxation. The Company pays a fixed fee of £1,200 per annum to maintain exempt company status.

 

 

14. (Loss)/earnings per Ordinary Share

The loss per Ordinary Share of 6.72p (2021: earnings of 16.05p) is based on a loss attributable to owners of the Company of £6,172,000 (2021: profit of £14,746,000) and on a weighted average number of 91,852,904 (2021: 91,852,904) Ordinary Shares in issue since 1 January 2022. There are no dilutive shares and there is no difference between the basic and diluted earnings per share.

 

15. Investments at fair value through profit or loss

Movements in (losses)/gains in the year

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

Unrealised

Realised

Total

Unrealised

Realised

Total

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Investments in capital instruments

(9,392)

(3,279)

(12,671)

(781)

7,659

6,878

Other investments

(53)

137

84

(130)

674

544

Short position covered by reverse sale and repurchase agreements

87

426

513

(75)

(64)

(139)

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

(9,358)

(2,716)

(12,074)

(986)

8,269

7,283

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

Closing valuations

 

 

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

 

 

£'000

£'000

Investments in capital instruments

 

77,735

85,449

Other investments

 

1,836

4,874

Short position(s) covered by reverse sale and repurchase agreements

 

-

(3,932)

 

------------

------------

Investments at fair value through profit or loss

 

79,571

86,391

 

------------

------------

Investments in capital instruments at fair value through profit or loss comprise mainly of investments in bonds, and also preference shares, structured notes and other securities that have a similar income profile to that of bonds. The other investments at fair value through profit or loss consist of investments in open ended funds managed by the Investment Manager (see note 7) to obtain diversified exposure on bank equities.

 

As at 31 December 2022, the Company had no open sale and repurchase agreements (2021: eight open sale and repurchase agreements, one of which was a reverse sale and repurchase agreement) (see note 18). In 2021, the reverse sale and repurchase agreement was open ended and was used to cover the sale of capital instruments (the short position noted above).

 

The fair value of the capital instruments subject to sale and repurchase agreements (excluding any short positions) at 31 December 2022 was nil (2021: £9,349,000). There were no short positions at 31 December 2022. The fair value net of the short position at 31 December 2021 was £5,417,000.

 

16. Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss

 

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

JP Morgan

 

2,689

3,495

Goldman Sachs International

 

1,200

207

CACEIS Bank France

 

275

305

Credit Suisse

 

-

112

 

------------

------------

 

4,164

4,119

CACEIS Bank France - negative balance

 

-

(92)

 

------------

------------

Net balance on collateral accounts held by brokers

 

4,164

4,027

 

------------

------------

 

With respect to derivatives, the Company pledges cash and/or other liquid securities ("Collateral") to third parties as initial margin and as variation margin. Collateral may be transferred either to the third party or to an unaffiliated custodian for the benefit of the third party. In the case where Collateral is transferred to the third party, the third party pursuant to these derivatives arrangements will be permitted to use, reuse, lend, borrow, hypothecate or re-hypothecate such Collateral. The third parties will have no obligation to retain an equivalent amount of similar property in their possession and control, until such time as the Company's obligations to the third party are satisfied. The Company has no right to this Collateral but has the right to receive fungible, equivalent Collateral upon the Company's satisfaction of the Company's obligation under the derivatives.

 

17. Other receivables and prepayments

 

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Accrued capital instrument income receivable

 

1,432

1,064

Due from sale of capital instruments

 

585

1,034

Interest due on credit default swaps

 

23

21

Prepayments

 

9

24

Bank interest receivable

 

9

-

 

------------

------------

 

2,058

2,143

 

------------

------------

 

18. Derivative financial instruments

Credit default swap agreements

A credit default swap agreement represents an agreement that one party, the protection buyer, pays a fixed fee, the premium, in return for a payment by the other party, the protection seller, contingent upon a specified credit event relating to an underlying reference asset. If a specified credit event occurs, there is an exchange of cash flows and/or securities designed so the net payment to the protection buyer reflects the loss incurred by holders of the referenced obligation in the event of its default. The ISDA establishes the nature of the credit event and such events include bankruptcy and failure to meet payment obligations when due.

 

 

Year ended

 31 December 2022

Year ended

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Opening balance

 

(128)

448

Premiums received from selling credit default swap agreements

 

(1,584)

(274)

Premiums paid on buying credit default swap agreements

 

-

83

Movement in unrealised losses in the year

 

(143)

(782)

Realised gains in the year

 

1,001

397

 

------------

------------

Outstanding liability due on credit default swaps

 

(854)

(128)

 

------------

------------

 

Credit default swap assets at fair value through profit or loss

 

-

180

Credit default swap liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

 

(854)

(308)

 

------------

------------

Outstanding liability due on credit default swaps

 

(854)

(128)

 

------------

------------

 

Interest paid or received on the credit default swap agreements has been accounted for in the Statement of Comprehensive Income as it has been incurred or received. At the year end, £23,000 (2021: £21,000) of interest on credit default swap agreements was due to the Company.

 

Collateral totalling £3,890,000 (2021: £3,328,000) was held in respect of the credit default swap agreements.

Foreign currency forwards

Foreign currency forward contracts are used for trading purposes and are used to hedge the Company's exposure to changes in foreign currency exchange rates on its foreign portfolio holdings. A foreign currency forward contract is a commitment to purchase or sell a foreign currency on a future date and at a negotiated forward exchange rate.

 

 

Year ended

31 December 2022

Year ended

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Opening balance

 

7

775

Purchase of foreign currency derivatives

 

197,420

185,824

Closing-out of foreign currency derivatives

 

(195,378)

(189,680)

Movement in unrealised losses in the year

 

(209)

(768)

Realised (losses)/gains in the year

 

(2,042)

3,856

 

------------

------------

Fair value of net (liabilities)/assets on foreign currency forwards

 

(202)

7

 

------------

------------

 

Foreign currency forward assets at fair value through profit or loss

 

259

132

Foreign currency forward liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

 

(461)

(125)

 

------------

------------

Fair value of net (liabilities)/assets on foreign currency forwards

 

(202)

7

 

------------

------------

 

Bond futures

A bond future contract involves a commitment by the Company to purchase or sell bond futures for a predetermined price, with payment and delivery of the bond future at a predetermined future date.

 

 

Year ended

31 December 2022

Year ended

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Opening balance

 

(12)

-

Purchase of bond futures

 

929

4,234

Sale of bond futures

 

(2,805)

(4,977)

Movement in unrealised gains/(losses) in the year

 

-

(66)

Realised gains in the year

 

1,888

797

 

------------

------------

Balance payable on bond futures

 

-

(12)

 

------------

------------

Bond future assets at fair value through profit or loss

 

-

-

Bond future liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

 

-

(12)

 

------------

------------

Balance payable on bond futures

 

-

(12)

 

------------

------------

 

Sale and repurchase agreements

Under the terms of a sale and repurchase agreement one party in the agreement acts as a borrower of cash, using a security held as collateral, and the other party in the agreement acts as a lender of cash. Almost any security may be employed in the sale and repurchase agreement. Interest is paid by the borrower for the benefit of having funds to use until a specified date on which the effective loan needs to be repaid.

 

When a transfer of assets that are not derecognised in their entirety does not result in derecognition, it is viewed as a secured financing transaction, with any consideration received resulting in a corresponding liability. The Company is not entitled to use these financial assets for any other purposes.

 

Under the sale and repurchase agreements, the Company may sell securities subject to a commitment to repurchase them. The securities are retained on the balance sheet as the Company retains substantially all the risks and rewards of ownership. The consideration received is accounted for as a financial liability at fair value through profit or loss.

 

 

Year ended

31 December 2022

Year ended

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Opening balance

 

(1,916)

(8,304)

Opening of sale and repurchase agreements

 

(18,156)

(20,821)

Opening of reverse sale and repurchase agreements

 

-

4,166

Closing-out of sale and repurchase agreements

 

24,350

26,437

Closing-out of reverse sale and repurchase agreements

 

(4,175)

(3,898)

Movement in unrealised (losses)/gains in the year

 

(227)

301

Realised gains in the year

 

124

203

 

------------

------------

Total liabilities on sale and repurchase agreements

 

-

(1,916)

 

------------

------------

 

 

 

 

Year ended

31 December 2022

Year ended

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Sale and repurchase assets at fair value through profit or loss

 

-

4,194

Sale and repurchase liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

 

-

(6,110)

 

------------

------------

Total liabilities on sale and repurchase agreements

 

-

(1,916)

 

------------

------------

 

Interest paid on sale and repurchase agreements has been accounted for in the Statement of Comprehensive Income as it has been incurred. At 31 December 2022 £nil (2021: £nil) interest on sale and repurchase agreements was payable by the Company.

Options

An option offers the buyer the opportunity to buy or sell an underlying asset at a stated price within a specified timeframe.

 

 

Year ended

31 December 2022

Year ended

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Opening balance

 

-

7

Movement in unrealised gains in the year

 

-

22

Realised losses in the year

 

-

(29)

 

------------

------------

Balance receivable on options

 

 

-

 

------------

------------

 

Option assets at fair value through profit or loss

 

-

-

Option liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

 

-

-

 

------------

------------

Balance receivable on options

 

-

-

 

------------

------------

 

Offsetting of derivative financial instruments

The Company presents the fair value of its derivative assets and liabilities on a gross basis, no such assets or liabilities have been offset in the Statement of Financial Position. Certain derivative financial instruments are subject to enforceable master netting arrangements, such as ISDA master netting agreements, or similar agreements that cover similar financial instruments.

 

The similar agreements include derivative clearing agreements, global master repurchase agreements, global master securities lending agreements, and any related rights to financial collateral. The similar financial instruments and transactions include derivatives, sale and repurchase agreements, reverse sale and repurchase agreements, securities borrowing, and securities lending agreements.

 

The Company's agreements allow for offsetting following an event of default, but not in the ordinary course of business, and the Company does not intend to settle these transactions on a net basis or settle the assets and liabilities on a simultaneous basis.

 

The table below sets out the carrying amounts of recognised capital instruments and short position(s) which could be offset under the applicable derivative agreements (as described above) as at 31 December 2022:

 

Gross carrying amount before offsetting

Amounts offset in accordance with offsetting criteria

Net amount presented in Statement of Financial Position

Effect of remaining rights of offset that do not meet the criteria for offsetting in the Statement of Financial Position - Cash held as collateral

Net exposure

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Financial assets

Derivatives

260

-

260

-

260

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments (note 16)

4,164

-

4,164

(1,128)

3,036

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

Total assets

4,424

-

4,424

(1,128)

3,296

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

Financial liabilities

Derivatives

(1,315)

-

(1,315)

-

(1,315)

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments (note 16)

(1)

-

(1)

-

(1)

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

Total liabilities

(1,316)

-

(1,316)

-

(1,316)

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

 

The table below sets out the carrying amounts of recognised capital instruments and short position(s) which could be offset under the applicable derivative agreements (as described above) as at 31 December 2021:

 

Gross carrying amount before offsetting

Amounts offset in accordance with offsetting criteria

Net amount presented in Statement of Financial Position

Effect of remaining rights of offset that do not meet the criteria for offsetting in the Statement of Financial Position - Cash held as collateral

Net exposure

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Financial assets

Derivatives

4,506

-

4,506

(3,932)

574

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments (note 16)

4,119

-

4,119

(320)

3,799

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

Total assets

8,625

-

8,625

(4,252)

4,373

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

Financial liabilities

Derivatives

(6,555)

-

(6,555)

5,727

(828)

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments (note 16)

(92)

-

(92)

-

(92)

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

Total liabilities

(6,647)

-

(6,647)

5,727

(920)

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

 

 

19. Fair value of financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss

The following table shows financial instruments recognised at fair value, analysed between those whose fair value is based on:

· Quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities (Level 1);

· Those involving inputs other than quoted prices included in Level 1 that are observable for the asset or liability, either directly (as prices) or indirectly (derived from prices) (Level 2); and

· Those with inputs for the asset or liability that are not based on observable market data (unobservable inputs) (Level 3).

 

At 31 December 2022, the financial assets and liabilities designated at fair value through profit or loss were as follows:

 

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Total

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Traded/listed capital instruments at fair value through profit or loss

77,735

-

-

77,735

Other investments at fair value through profit or loss (note 7)

1,836

-

-

1,836

Credit default swap liabilities (note 18)

-

(853)

-

(853)

Other derivative financial assets

-

260

-

260

Other derivative financial liabilities

-

(461)

-

(461)

------------

------------

------------

------------

79,571

(1,054)

-

78,517

------------

------------

------------

------------

 

At 31 December 2021, the financial assets and liabilities designated at fair value through profit or loss were as follows:

 

 

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Total

 

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Traded/listed capital instruments at fair value through profit or loss

85,208

241

-

85,449

Other investments at fair value through profit or loss (note 7)

4,874

-

-

4,874

Credit default swap assets (note 18)

-

180

-

180

Credit default swap liabilities (note 18)

-

(308)

-

(308)

Other derivative financial assets

-

4,326

-

4,326

Other derivative financial liabilities

(12)

(6,223)

-

(6,235)

Short position covered by sale and repurchase agreements

-

(3,932)

-

(3,932)

------------

------------

------------

------------

90,070

(5,716)

-

84,354

------------

------------

------------

------------

 

Level 1 financial instruments include listed capital instruments at fair value through profit or loss, unlisted open-ended funds and bond future contracts, which have been valued at fair value by reference to quoted prices in active markets. No unobservable inputs were included in determining the fair value of these investments and, as such, alternative carrying values for ranges of unobservable inputs have not been provided.

 

Level 2 financial instruments include broker quoted bonds, credit default swap agreements, foreign currency forward contracts, sale and repurchase agreements and options. Each of these financial investments are valued by the Investment Manager using market observable inputs. The fair value of the other investments are based on the market price of the underlying securities.

 

The model used by the Company to fair value credit default swap agreements prices a credit default swap as a function of its schedule, deal spread, notional value, credit default swap curve and yield curve. The key assumptions employed in the model include: constant recovery as a fraction of par, piecewise constant risk neutral hazard rates and default events being statistically independent of changes in the default-free yield curve.

 

The Company used a 20% correlation parameter when valuing the credit default swap agreements at 31 December 2022. The Investment Manager believes this to be conservative as the underlying basket on the instrument is made up of only financial companies which would have a higher correlation as they are of the same sector. It is estimated that a 10% increase in the correlation factor for the credit default swap agreement subject to valuation by reference to the underlying basket would increase the Company's valuation by approximately £35,000 to £62,000.

 

The fair values of other derivative financial assets and liabilities are based on the forward foreign exchange rate curve.

 

The sale and repurchase agreements have been valued by reference to the notional amount, expiration dates and rates prevailing at the valuation date.

 

The options were valued using the relevant options prices curve.

 

Transfers between levels

Transfers between levels during the year are determined and deemed to have occurred at each financial reporting date. There were no investments classified as Level 3 during the year, and no transfers between levels in the year. See notes 15, 16 and 18 for movements in instruments held at fair value through profit or loss.

 

 

20. Other payables and accruals

 

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

 

£'000

£'000

Restructuring related fees

 

356

-

Investment management fee (note 8a)

 

182

213

Audit fees (note 10)

 

36

21

Administration fee (note 8b)

 

34

33

Depositary fees (note 8e)

 

26

22

Other accruals

 

12

13

Valuation agent fees (note 8e)

 

7

11

Broker fee (note 8c)

 

7

6

Registrar fees (note 8d)

 

1

1

Performance fee (note 8a)

 

-

298

Accrued interest payable on capital instrument short position(s)

 

-

17

Share issue costs

 

-

14

 

------------

------------

 

661

649

 

------------

------------

 

21. Share capital

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

Number

£'000

Number

£'000

Authorised:

 

 

Ordinary Shares of no par value

Unlimited

-

Unlimited

-

------------

------------

------------

------------

Allotted, called up and fully paid:

 

 

Ordinary Shares of no par value

91,852,904

-

91,852,904

-

------------

------------

------------

------------

 

The Ordinary Shares carry the right to receive all dividends declared by the Company. Shareholders are entitled to all dividends paid by the Company and, on a winding up, provided the Company has satisfied all of its liabilities, the Shareholders are entitled to all of the surplus assets of the Company. Shareholders will be entitled to attend and vote at all general meetings of the Company and, on a poll, will be entitled to one vote for each Ordinary Share held.

 

22. NAV per Ordinary Share

The NAV per Ordinary Share is based on the net assets attributable to owners of the Company of £85,200,000 (2021: £96,883,000), and on 91,852,904 (2021: 91,852,904) Ordinary Shares in issue at the year end.

 

The NAV of 92.76p (2021: 105.48p) per Ordinary Share disclosed in these financial statements is 0.33p (2021: 0.33p) higher than the NAV of 92.43p (2021: 105.15p) per Ordinary Share announced on 4 January 2023 (2021: 5 January 2022) as a result of 50% of the accrued performance fee, which is due to be settled through the purchase of shares in the Company, being allocated to the performance fee reserve (see note 8a for further details of the performance fee).

 

23. Changes in liabilities arising from financing activities

The Company did not raise any capital from the placing of new shares in the year ended 31 December 2022 or 31 December 2021. Therefore, there were no cash flows in relation to share issue costs in 2022 or 2021.

 

 

24. Financial instruments and risk management

The Company invests its assets with the aim of spreading investment risk.

 

Risk is inherent in the Company's activities, but it is managed through a process of ongoing identification, measurement and monitoring. The Company is exposed to market risk (which includes currency risk, interest rate risk and price risk), credit risk and liquidity risk from the financial instruments it holds. Risk management procedures are in place to minimise the Company's exposure to these financial risks, in order to create and protect Shareholder value.

Risk management structure

The Investment Manager is responsible for identifying and controlling risks. The Board of Directors supervises the Investment Manager and is ultimately responsible for the overall risk management approach within the Company.

 

The Company has no employees and is reliant on the performance of third party service providers. Failure by the Investment Manager, Administrator, Depositary, Registrar or any other third party service provider to perform in accordance with the terms of its appointment could have a significant detrimental impact on the operation of the Company.

Risk concentration

Concentration indicates the relative sensitivity of the Company's performance to developments affecting a particular industry or geographical location. Concentrations of risk arise when a number of financial instruments or contracts are entered into with the same counterparty, or where a number of counterparties are engaged in similar business activities, or activities in the same geographic region, or have similar economic features that would cause their ability to meet contractual obligations to be similarly affected by changes in economic, political or other conditions. Concentrations of liquidity risk may arise from the repayment terms of financial liabilities, sources of borrowing facilities or reliance on a particular market in which to realise liquid assets. Concentrations of foreign exchange risk may arise if the Company has a significant net open position in a single foreign currency, or aggregate net open positions in several currencies that tend to move together.

 

Within the aim of maintaining a diversified investment portfolio, and thus mitigating concentration risks, the Company has established the following investment restriction in respect of the general deployment of assets:

 

Concentration

No more than 15% of NAV, calculated at the time of investment, will be exposed to any one financial counterparty. This limit will increase to 20% where, in the Investment Manager's opinion (having informed the Board in writing of such increase) the relevant financial institution investment instrument is expected to amortise such that, within 12 months of the date of the investment, the expected exposure (net of any hedging costs and expenses) will be equal to or less than 15% of NAV, calculated at the time of the investment.

 

Market risk

i) Price risk

Price risk exposure arises from the uncertainty about future prices of financial instruments held. It represents the potential loss that the Company may suffer through holding positions in the face of price movements. The investments in capital instruments, unlisted open-ended funds, and bond futures at fair value through profit or loss (notes 15, 18 and 19) are exposed to price risk and it is not the intention to mitigate the price risk.

 

At 31 December 2022, if the valuation of these investments at fair value through profit or loss had moved by 5% with all other variables remaining constant, the change in net assets would amount to approximately +/- £3,979,000 (2021: +/- £4,319,000). The fair value of financial instruments exposed to price risk at 31 December 2022 was £79,571,000 (2021: £86,384,000).

ii) Foreign currency risk

Foreign currency risk is the risk that the value of a financial instrument will fluctuate because of changes in foreign currency exchange rates. Currency risk arises when future commercial transactions and recognised assets and liabilities are denominated in a currency that is not the Company's functional currency. The Company invests in securities and other investments that are denominated in currencies other than Sterling. Accordingly, the value of the Company's assets may be affected favourably or unfavourably by fluctuations in currency rates and therefore the Company will necessarily be subject to foreign exchange risks.

 

In order to limit the exposure to foreign currency risk, the Company entered into hedging contracts during the year. At the year end, the Company held the following foreign currency forward contracts:

 

31 December 2022

Maturity date

Amount to be sold

Amount to be purchased

9 February 2023

€51,534,000

£45,610,000

9 February 2023

US$6,469,000

£5,366,000

31 December 2021

Maturity date

Amount to be sold

Amount to be purchased

27 January 2022

€47,498,000

£40,124,000

27 January 2022

US$7,887,000

£5,711,000

 

At the year end a proportion of the net financial assets of the Company were denominated in currencies other than Sterling as follows:

 

Investments at fair value through profit or loss

Receivables

Cash and cash equivalents

Exposure

Foreign currency forward contract

Net exposure

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

31 December 2022

Euro

46,979

-

(2,234)

44,745

(45,610)

(865)

US Dollars

4,518

2

931

5,451

(5,366)

85

Swiss Francs

-

-

43

43

-

43

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

51,497

2

(1,260)

50,239

(50,976)

(737)

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 December 2021

Euro

40,361

1,593

(693)

41,261

(39,991)

1,270

US Dollars

4,952

11

371

5,334

(5,835)

(501)

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

45,313

1,604

(322)

46,595

(45,826)

769

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

------------

 

Other future foreign exchange hedging contracts may be employed, such as currency swap agreements, futures contracts and options. There can be no certainty as to the efficacy of any hedging transactions.

 

At 31 December 2022, if the exchange rates had strengthened/weakened by 5% against Sterling with all other variables remaining constant, net assets at 31 December 2022 would have decreased/increased by £37,000 (2021: £38,000).

 

iii) Interest rate risk

Interest rate risk arises from the possibility that changes in interest rates will affect future cash flows or the fair values of financial instruments. The Company is exposed to risks associated with the effects of fluctuations in the prevailing levels of market interest rates on its financial instruments and cash flow. A large number of the capital instruments bear interest at a fixed rate, but capital instruments to the value of £62,650,000 (2021: £54,572,000), cash and cash equivalents, net of overdrafts, of £1,122,000 (2021: £7,020,000) and collateral account balances of £4,164,000 (2021: £4,027,000) were the only interest-bearing financial instruments subject to variable interest rates at 31 December 2022. Therefore, if interest rates had increased/decreased by 50 basis points, with all other variables remaining constant, the change in the value of interest cash flows of these assets in the year would have been +/-£351,000 (2021: +/-£344,000).

 

Fixed interest

Variable interest

Non-interest bearing

Total

31 December 2022

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Financial assets

Investments at fair value through profit or loss

11,754

62,650

5,167

79,571

Cash and cash equivalents

-

3,356

-

3,356

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss

-

4,164

-

4,164

Derivative financial assets at fair value through profit or loss

-

-

260

260

Other receivables

-

-

2,058

2,058

------------

------------

------------

------------

Total financial assets

11,754

70,170

7,485

89,409

------------

------------

------------

------------

Financial liabilities

Bank overdrafts

-

(2,234)

-

(2,234)

Derivative financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

(853)

-

(461)

(1,314)

Other payables and accruals

-

-

(661)

(661)

------------

------------

------------

------------

Total financial liabilities

(853)

(2,234)

(1,122)

(4,209)

------------

------------

------------

------------

Total interest sensitivity gap

10,901

67,936

6,363

85,200

------------

------------

------------

------------

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed interest

Variable interest

Non-interest bearing

Total

31 December 2021

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Financial assets

Investments at fair value through profit or loss

18,363

54,572

17,388

90,323

Cash and cash equivalents

-

7,713

-

7,713

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss

-

4,119

-

4,119

Derivative financial assets at fair value through profit or loss

4,374

-

132

4,506

Other receivables

-

-

2,143

2,143

------------

------------

------------

------------

Total financial assets

22,737

66,404

19,663

108,804

------------

------------

------------

------------

Financial liabilities

Bank overdrafts

-

(693)

-

(693)

Collateral accounts for derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss

-

(92)

-

(92)

Derivative financial liabilities at fair value through profit or loss

(6,418)

-

(137)

(6,555)

Short position covered by sale and repurchase agreements

-

(3,932)

-

(3,932)

Other payables and accruals

-

-

(649)

(649)

------------

------------

------------

------------

Total financial liabilities

(6,418)

(4,717)

(786)

(11,921)

------------

------------

------------

------------

Total interest sensitivity gap

16,319

61,687

18,877

96,883

 

------------

------------

------------

------------

 

It is estimated that the fair value of the fixed interest and non-interest bearing capital instruments of £16,921,000 (2021: £35,751,000) at 31 December 2022 would increase/decrease by +/-£272,000 (0.34%) (2021: +/-£551,000 (0.61%)) if interest rates were to change by 50 basis points.

 

The Investment Manager manages the Company's exposure to interest rate risk, paying heed to prevailing interest rates and economic conditions, market expectations and its own views as to likely movements in interest rates.

 

Although it has not done so to date, the Company may implement hedging and derivative strategies designed to protect investment performance against material movements in interest rates. Such strategies may include (but are not limited to) interest rate swaps and will only be entered into when they are available, in a timely manner, and on terms acceptable to the Company. The Company may also bear risks that could otherwise be hedged where it is considered appropriate. There can be no certainty as to the efficacy of any hedging transactions.

Credit risk

Credit risk is the risk that a counterparty to a financial instrument will fail to discharge an obligation or commitment that it has entered into with the Company, resulting in a financial loss to the Company.

 

At 31 December 2022, credit risk arose principally from investment in capital instruments of £77,735,000 (2021: £85,449,000), cash and cash equivalents of £3,356,000 (2021: £7,713,000), balances held as collateral for derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss of £4,164,000 (2021: £4,119,000), foreign currency forward assets of £260,000 (2021: assets of £132,000) and investments in sale and repurchase assets of £nil (2021: £4,194,000). The Company seeks to trade only with reputable counterparties that the Investment Manager believes to be creditworthy. The credit rating of cash and collateral counterparties is sufficient that no expected credit loss or provision for impairment is considered necessary.

 

The Investment Manager manages the Company's credit risk by investing in a diverse portfolio of capital instruments, in line with the Prospectus. At 31 December 2022, the capital instrument rating profile of the portfolio was as follows:

 

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

Percentage

Percentage

BBB

2.80

7.93

BB

34.54

19.34

B

23.60

16.90

Below B

3.20

9.89

No rating

35.86

45.94

------------

------------

100.00

100.00

------------

------------

 

The investments without a credit rating correspond to issuers that are not rated by an external rating agency. Although no external rating is available, the Investment Manager considers and internally rates the credit risk of these investments, along with all other investments. The internal risk score is based on the Investment Manager's fundamental view (stress test, macro outlook, solvency, liquidity risk, business mix, and other relevant factors) and is determined by the Investment Manager's risk committee. The risk grades are mapped to an external Baseline Credit Assessment, and any discrepancy of more than two notches is monitored closely.

 

The cash pending investment may be held without limit with a financial institution with a credit rating of A-1 (Standard & Poor's) or P-1 (Moody's) or better to protect against counterparty failure.

The Company may implement hedging and derivative strategies designed to protect against credit risk. Such strategies may include (but are not limited to) credit default swaps and will only be entered into when they are available in a timely manner and on terms acceptable to the Company. The Company may also bear risks that could otherwise be hedged where it is considered appropriate. There can be no certainty as to the efficacy of hedging transactions.

 

Due to the Company's investment in credit default swap agreements, the Company is exposed to additional credit risk as a result of possible counterparty failure. The Company has entered into ISDA contracts with Credit Suisse (A-), JP Morgan (A+) and Goldman Sachs (A+) (2021: all rated A+ with Standard & Poor's). At 31 December 2022, the overall net exposure to these counterparties was 4.56% (2021: 3.62%) of NAV. The collateral held at each counterparty is disclosed in note 16.

 

Liquidity risk

Liquidity risk is defined as the risk that the Company will encounter difficulties in realising assets or otherwise raising funds to meet financial commitments. The principal liquidity risk is contained in unmatched liabilities. The liquidity risk at 31 December 2022 was low since the ratio of cash and cash equivalents (net of overdrafts) to unmatched liabilities was 3:1 (2021: 11:1).

In addition, the Company diversifies the liquidity risk through investment in capital instruments with a variety of maturity dates, as follows:

 

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

Percentage

Percentage

Less than 1 year

1.48

15.99

1 to 3 years

33.28

26.88

3 to 5 years

30.82

24.75

5 to 7 years

7.91

1.59

7 to 10 years

9.53

2.92

More than 10 years

16.98

27.87

------------

------------

100.00

100.00

------------

------------

 

As at 31 December 2022, the Company's liquidity profile was such that 74.5% of capital instruments were realisable within one day (2021: 63.6%), 20.1% was realisable between two days and one week (2021: 32.3%) and 5.4% was realisable between eight days and one month (2021: 4.1%).

 

As at the year end, the Company's liabilities fell due as follows:

 

31 December 2022

31 December 2021

Percentage

Percentage

1 to 3 months

60.40

71.52

3 to 6 months

18.04

-

6 to 12 months

-

-

1 to 3 years [1]

-

28.48

3 to 5 years

21.56

-

------------

------------

100.00

100.00

------------

------------

 

[1]

This classification assumes that derivative liabilities are held to maturity. However, they have been included as current liabilities in the Statement of Financial Position as they are not always held to maturity but are incurred principally for the purpose of repurchasing in the near term and, on initial recognition, are part of a portfolio of identified financial instruments that are managed together and for which there is evidence of a recent actual pattern of short-term profit taking.

 

 

25. Capital management policy and procedures

The Company's capital management objectives are:

· to ensure that it will be able to meet its liabilities as they fall due; and

· to maximise its total return primarily through the capital appreciation of its investments.

 

Pursuant to the Company's Articles of Incorporation, the Company may borrow money in any manner. However, the Board has determined that the Company should borrow no more than 20% of direct investments.

The Company uses sale and repurchase agreements to increase the gearing of the Company. As at 31 December 2022 the Company had no open sale and repurchase agreements (2021: eight open sale and repurchase agreements, one of which was a reverse sale and repurchase agreement, committing the Company to make a total repayment of £6,110,000 post the year end). As a result of the reverse sale and repurchase agreement(s) held by the Company as at 31 December 2021, the Company was due to receive £4,194,000 after the year end.

 

The raising of capital through the placing of shares forms part of the capital management policy. See note 21 for details of the Ordinary Shares issued since incorporation.

 

As disclosed in the Statement of Financial Position, at 31 December 2022 the total equity holders' funds were £85,200,000 (2021: £96,883,000).

 

 

25. Capital commitments

The Company holds a number of derivative financial instruments, which, by their very nature, give rise to capital commitments post 31 December 2022. These are as follows:

· At 31 December 2022, the Company had sold two (2021: six) credit default swap agreements for a total of £316,000 (2021: £457,000), each receiving quarterly interest. The exposure of the Company in relation to these agreements at the year end date was £853,000 (2021: £86,000). Collateral of £3,890,000 for these agreements was held at 31 December 2022 (2021: £3,328,000).

· At 31 December 2022, the Company had committed to two foreign currency forward contracts dated 9 February 2023 to buy £50,774,000 (2021: two foreign currency forward contracts dated 27 January 2022 to buy £45,834,000). At 31 December 2022, the Company could have effected the same trades and purchased £50,976,000 (2021: £45,827,000), giving rise to a loss of £202,000 (2021: gain of £7,000).

· At 31 December 2022, the Company held no (2021: six (this excludes the one open reverse sale and repurchase agreement)) open sale and repurchase agreements (2021: committing the Company to make a total repayment of £6,310,000).

 

26. Contingent assets and contingent liabilities

In line with the terms of the Investment Management Agreement, as detailed in note 8a, should the Company's NAV reach a level at which the TER reduced to less than 1.5% of the average NAV in a future accounting period then the Quarterly Expenses Excess and Annual Expenses Excess totalling £880,000 at 31 December 2022 (2021: £777,000) would become payable to the Investment Manager, to the extent that the total expenses including any repayment did not exceed 1.5% of the average NAV for that period.

 

For a significant amount of the £880,000 (2021: £777,000) Expenses Excess to become payable within the foreseeable future, the Company's NAV would have to increase considerably from the 31 December 2022 NAV. The Directors consider that it is possible, but not probable, that an increase in the NAV leading to a significant payment of the Expenses Excess will be achieved in the foreseeable future. Accordingly, the possible payment to the Investment Manager has been treated as a contingent liability in the financial statements.

 

There were no other contingent assets or contingent liabilities in existence at the year end.

 

27. Events after the financial reporting date

On 25 January 2023, the Company declared a dividend of 1.50p per Ordinary Share relating to the period from 1 January 2022 to 31 December 2022, which (in accordance with IFRS) was not provided for at 31 December 2022, out of the retained profits as at 31 December 2022 (note 6). This dividend was paid on 24 February 2023.

The Board will shortly put forward proposals for the liquidation of the Company, including the ability for Shareholders to receive shares, in respect of their holdings of the Company's Ordinary Shares, in a new open-ended fund managed by the same management team and with a similar investment mandate to the Company. The Board believes that these proposals will provide continuity for those Shareholders in terms of exposure to a strategy similar to the one currently pursued by the Company and under the same management team.  The New Fund, AUFC, which will be a new Compartment of Axiom Lux SICAV, an established Luxembourg SICAV that is registered as a UCITS with the Luxembourg financial regulator, the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier, will be open-ended with daily liquidity. The proposals will also include a mechanism for those Shareholders who do not wish to continue their investment to achieve a cash exit.

 

Further details of the Proposals for the implementation of the Scheme will be described in the Circular, which, when finalised, will be made available on the Company's section of the Investment Manager's website

(https://axiom-ai.com/web/en/axiom-european-financial-debt-fund-limited-2/).

 

Glossary

Defined terms

Administrator

Elysium

AGM

Annual General Meeting

AIB

Allied Irish Bank

AIC

Association of Investment Companies

AIC Code

AIC Code of Corporate Governance

AIF

Alternative Investment Fund

AIFM

Alternative Investment Fund Manager

AIFMD

Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive

APM

Alternative Performance Measures

AT1

Additional T1

Axiom AI

Axiom Alternative Investments Sarl

BACA

Bank Austria UniCredit

BBVA

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria

Broker

Corporate Broker

BRRD II

Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive II

CDS

Credit Default Swap

CET1

Common Equity T1

CFO

Chief Financial Officer

CIB

Cash In Bank

CMS

Constant Maturity Swap

Committees

The Company's Audit Committee, Management Engagement Committee and Nomination and Remuneration Committee

Company

Axiom European Financial Debt Fund Limited

COO

Chief Operating Officer

CPI

Consumer Price Index

CRR

Capital Requirements Regulation

CSAM

Credit Suisse Asset Management

CVA

Credit Valuation Adjustment

EBA

European Banking Authority

EC

European Commission

ECB

European Central Bank

Elysium

Elysium Fund Management Limited

ESG

Environmental, Social and Governance

FCA

The Financial Conduct Authority

Fed

Federal Reserve System

FICC

Fixed Income Clearing Corporation

FX

Foreign exchange

GDP

Gross Domestic Product

GFSC

Guernsey Financial Services Commission

Grant Thornton

Grant Thornton Limited

IASB

International Accounting Standards Board

IFRS

UK-adopted international accounting standards

IG

Investment Grade

Investment Manager

Axiom AI

IPO

Initial Public Offering

ISDA

International Swaps and Derivatives Association

KID

Key Information Document

KPIs

Key Performance Indicators

Law

Companies (Guernsey) Law, 2008

LSE

London Stock Exchange

M&A

Mergers and Acquisitions

MIFIR

Markets in Financial Instruments Regulation

MREL

Minimum Requirement for own funds and Eligible Liabilities

NAV

Net asset value

New Fund or AUFC

Axiom Unconstrained Financial Credit, a newly established Compartment of Axiom Lux SICAV

NPL

Non-Performing Loan

P&C

Property and Casualty

PIBS

Permanent Interest Bearing Shares

POI Law

The Protection of Investors (Bailiwick of Guernsey) Law, 2020

PRA

Prudential Regulatory Authority

Premium Segment

The Premium Segment of the Main Market of the LSE

Proposals

Proposals for the implementation of the Scheme as described in the Circular

Published NAV

The NAV published on the LSE on 4 January 2023, prior to the adjustments required for these financial statements under IAS 2 (see note 22)

Published net assets

The net assets used to calculate the Published NAV, prior to the adjustments required for these financial statements under IAS 2 (see note 22)

RT1

Restricted T1

Scheme

The proposed scheme of reconstruction pursuant to which the Company will be placed into voluntary liquidation and the Transfer will be effected

SFDR

Sustainability-related disclosures in the financial services sector

SFS

The Specialist Fund Segment of the LSE

SME

Small and Medium-sized Entities

SPAC

Special Purpose Acquisition Company

SPPI

Solely payments of principal interest

SPV

Special Purpose Vehicle

SREP

Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process

SubFin

Markit iTraxx Europe Subordinated Financial Index

SX7R

STOXX Europe 600 Banks Index

SXXR

STOXX Europe 600 Index

T1

Tier 1

T2

Tier 2

TBV

Total Book Value

TCFD

Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures

TISE

The International Stock Exchange

TLTRO

Targeted Longer-Term Refinancing Operations

TMO

Taux Moyen des Obligations

Transfer

The proposed transfer of substantially all of the assets of the Company to the New Fund in exchange for the issue by the New Fund of the Issue Shares to Shareholders pursuant to the Transfer Agreement, as further described in the Circular

TRIM

Targeted Review of Internal Models

UK-adopted international accounting standards

International Accounting Standards, International Financial Reporting Standards and interpretations issued by the International Financial Reporting Standards Interpretations Committee, as adopted by the UK

UK Code

UK Corporate Governance Code 2018

Winterflood

Winterflood Securities Limited

 

Alternative Performance Measures

Cash (%)

Total cash held, including overdrafts, expressed as a percentage of Published net assets.

Collateral (%)

Total collateral held, including negative balances, expressed as a percentage of Published net assets.

Gross assets (%)

Total assets, expressed as a percentage of Published net assets.

Modified duration

The percentage impact on the fair value of investments of a 100bps increase in risk free rates.

Net gearing

Total assets, less collateral, expressed as a percentage of Published net assets.

Published NAV / Published net assets

Please see the Glossary.

Running yield

Expected annualised coupons, expressed as a percentage of the fair value of investments.

Sensitivity to credit

The percentage impact on the fair value of investments of a 100bps increase in credit spreads.

Share price premium/discount

The amount by which the Ordinary Share price is higher/lower than the Published NAV per Ordinary Share, expressed as a percentage of the Published NAV per Ordinary Share.

Total return per Ordinary Share

Total return per Ordinary Share has been calculated by comparing the NAV or share price, as applicable, at the start of the year with the NAV or share price, as applicable, plus dividends paid, at the year end, assuming that dividends are reinvested.

Yield to call

The yield of the portfolio, converted into GBP at the anticipated reimbursement date of the bonds.

Yield to perpetuity

The yield of the portfolio, converted into GBP, with the hypothesis that securities are not reimbursed and kept to perpetuity.

 

-- ENDS --

 

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FR NKDBNFBKDKNB
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