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Outlook

10 Feb 2017 07:00

RNS Number : 5488W
APQ Global Limited
10 February 2017
 

10 February 2017

APQ Global Limited

("APQ Global" or the "Company")

Outlook

 

APQ Global is an emerging markets growth company incorporated in Guernsey (company registration number 62008) which is listed on the Channel Islands Securities Exchange and admitted to trading on AIM.

The Company has issued an Emerging Markets Outlook for 2017 which can be accessed via its website: www.apqglobal.com.

The Chairman's Outlook has been extracted and is set out below.

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Enquiries:

APQ Global LimitedBart Turtelboom - Chairman

020 3478 9708

N+1 Singer - Nominated Adviser and BrokerGillian Martin / Alex Laughton-Scott

020 7496 3000

Carey Group - CISE sponsorMatt Sarl

01481 737 279

 

Buchanan Communication - Financial PRCharles Ryland / Victoria Hayns

020 7466 5000

NEW YEAR, NEW CHALLENGES, NEW OPPORTUNITIES

 

2016 was a defining year for our company. On 11 August 2016, we raised £78 million on the Channel Islands Stock Exchange, and we were admitted to trading on the London Stock Exchange's AIM Market two weeks later. These landmark developments give us the resources to focus on growing dividends and substantial capital growth for our shareholders in the years to come, and we want to thank those involved for their support - not only our distinguished group of institutional and private shareholders, but also our Board of Directors and the management team who worked hard to make this happen.

 

At the end of 2016 our book value per share (after IPO-related expenses) was 99.20 pence. We have generated significant income to support our first dividend of 0.5 pence per share for the fourth quarter of 2016, distributed in February 2017.

 

Rather than focus on our success to date (more on that in the following pages), it is now time to think ahead to the new year. In this inaugural statement, I want to focus on the major global themes that will influence our business in 2017 and beyond, and the abundance of opportunities that exist across emerging markets, despite the ongoing economic and political uncertainty. A stronger US Dollar should give us the chance to pick up emerging market exposure at better valuations. A higher oil price will support our exposure in the energy sectors. Higher nominal growth in the global economy will support export sectors in emerging markets. In short, opportunities abound and we are well positioned to take advantage of them.

 

It is hard not to start with the watershed event of President Trump's election victory in the United States and how this will continue to impact markets across the world. His expansive tax policy and ambitious infrastructure plans will almost certainly increase the United States' fiscal deficit and public debt, the effects of which will be felt globally. His proposed fiscal expansion is happening at a time of full employment, which should fuel growth and higher inflation domestically. As a result, I also expect the Federal Reserve to become more proactive with rate hikes in 2017 and the sell-off in the American bond market to intensify. Higher yields and a stronger US Dollar will be the major risk factor for the global economy in 2017.

 

But how will the global economic system cope with the higher cost of funding in US Dollars after eight years of extraordinarily low interest rates? History does not offer much comfort in this regard, and it would defy logic that higher funding costs will not matter for economic activity. This leads me to remain cautious on the outlook for global equity markets in 2017.

 

Of course, what President Trump is most famed for is his geopolitical sabre-rattling and interventionist industrial policy. While I expect he will quickly run into a wall of foreign retaliation and domestic opposition, his choice of cabinet ministers does suggest a tougher international economic and political agenda, and reiterates his core aims of protecting American jobs and the nation's security. While this is unlikely to lead to a whole scale revision of the international economic and political order, a more inward-looking approach to world affairs in the United States will certainly offer an opportunity for Russia and China to try and increase their external influence - most notably in parts of Asia, the Middle East and Africa. I anticipate a more multi-polar world is in the works, accompanied by more political and economic conflicts, not less.

 

Aside from the resulting impact of the US elections, we expect political tensions to run high in Europe in 2017. After the comprehensive defeat of the referendum for constitutional reform in Italy late last year, the focus is now shifting to the German and French elections and the start of the BREXIT negotiations. Regarding the latter, it is altogether clear that the British government has no firm plans and does not even know what it does not know. I expect a hard BREXIT to fade into the distance and the on-going political and economic muddle to continue.

 

Beyond these political headwinds, I expect macroeconomic developments to remain favourable for emerging markets in 2017. Growth in the world economy is gaining pace, with both developed countries and emerging markets contributing (although emerging markets remain the main drivers of global GDP growth). What is interesting to note is that inflation dynamics are diverging between emerging and developed markets; while inflation is on an upward trend in developed markets, it is tapering off in emerging markets. I expect the latter to continue to put pressure on emerging markets currencies but to open up significant business opportunities in selected emerging economies.

 

In short, we expect 2017 will see the global economy adapt to the tumultuous events of last year and we expect to see tremendous opportunities for emerging markets in the years ahead. We hope that the insights we provide in the coming pages are of interest to you as you face the new year - to help you identify the challenges ahead and leverage the opportunities that we see arising.

 

The 2017 Outlook document (the "2017 Outlook") has been prepared by APQ Global Limited (the "Company") for information purposes only. The 2017 Outlook does not constitute or form any part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation or other solicitation or recommendation to purchase or subscribe for any securities. No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information, representations or opinions contained in the 2017 Outlook, and no liability is accepted for any such information, representations or opinions. The 2017 Outlook does not constitute either advice or a recommendation regarding any securities. Any person who is in any doubt about the subject matter of this document should consult a duly authorised person.

 

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
MSCFKLLBDLFBBBE
Date   Source Headline
8th Apr 20257:00 amRNSCancellation - APQ Global Limited
31st Mar 20252:30 pmRNSResult of EGM & CULS Holder Meeting
6th Mar 20251:30 pmRNSPublication of Circular & Notice of Meetings
6th Mar 202512:15 pmRNSResult of EGM
14th Feb 20254:00 pmRNSPublication of Circular & Notice of EGM
7th Feb 20257:00 amRNSCompany Update
23rd Dec 20243:16 pmRNSBook Value Report
16th Dec 20243:30 pmRNSResult of AGM
4th Dec 20244:30 pmRNSDirector/PDMR Shareholding
4th Dec 202411:16 amRNSHolding(s) in Company
2nd Dec 20247:30 amRNSRestoration - APQ Global Limited
29th Nov 20247:30 amRNSRestoration - APQ Global Limited
29th Nov 20247:25 amRNSRestoration to trading on AIM & ISM
29th Nov 20247:00 amRNSInterim Results
22nd Nov 202412:30 pmRNSNotice of AGM
15th Nov 20245:30 pmRNSFinal results for the year to 31 December 2023
30th Sep 20242:00 pmRNSResult of CULS Meeting
26th Sep 20249:30 amRNSProposed Increased Initial Payment to CULS Holders
24th Sep 20241:00 pmRNSRefinancing Update & Proposed CULS Holder Payment
16th Sep 20244:00 pmRNSUnaudited Final Results
9th Sep 20242:30 pmRNSBook Value Report
6th Sep 20245:15 pmRNSNotice of CULS Holder Meeting & Update
31st Jul 20247:00 amRNSPublication of Annual Report & Accounts
9th Jul 20243:00 pmRNSChange of Registered Office
1st Jul 20247:30 amRNSSuspension - APQ GLOBAL LIMITED
25th Jun 20244:00 pmRNSPublication of Annual Report & Accounts
13th Jun 20244:30 pmRNSChange of Registered Office
24th May 20247:00 amRNSBook Value Report
3rd Apr 20247:00 amRNSTrading Update
22nd Mar 20247:00 amRNSBook Value Report
6th Feb 20245:00 pmRNSBook Value Report
19th Dec 20235:00 pmRNSBook Value Report
20th Nov 20235:06 pmRNSBook Value Report
17th Oct 20235:00 pmRNSBook Value Report
27th Sep 202312:00 pmRNSBook Value Report
21st Sep 20231:00 pmRNSDirectorate Change
17th Aug 20235:00 pmRNSBook Value Report
9th Aug 20235:01 pmRNSResult of AGM
14th Jul 20231:00 pmRNSBook Value Report
10th Jul 202312:00 pmRNSNotice of AGM
22nd Jun 20231:00 pmRNSBook Value Report
6th Jun 20237:00 amRNSFinal results for the year to 31 December 2022
17th May 20231:00 pmRNSBook Value Report
20th Apr 202310:00 amRNSResult of Tender Offer for CULS
18th Apr 20237:00 amRNSBook Value Report
3rd Apr 20237:00 amRNSTender Offer for CULS
17th Mar 20237:00 amRNSBook Value Report
21st Feb 20239:00 amRNSBook Value Report
27th Jan 20237:00 amRNSBook Value Report
16th Dec 20225:00 pmRNSBook Value Report

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