RE: Rising sharply pre-market on the news1 Jun 2020 09:56
Draftkings SP finished at over $40 last Friday, equating to a Market Cap of $12.4 billion. The company went public on 24 April and its opening sp was $9.76, so a 400% increase in less than six weeks. Their full year revenue for 2019 was $432million but in their analyst day presentation they anticipated upto $4.7 billion annual revenue (ie. an increase of over x 10). This is obviously a very optimistic and bullish statement but investors are clearly betting that online gambling will multiply and drive growth for many years. A few gaming related companies like Draftkings and GAN are currently in a very hot sector, where huge market cap values are being achieved, that are unrelated to past earnings, but reflect potential earnings over the next few years. The US Sports Betting Market is estimated to hit $5.7 billion by 2024 (based on 34 states) and $10.4 billion (based on all 50 states).
GAN's market cap at close last Friday was $612 million with an sp of over $22. This reflects an increase of over 100% from the opening sp of $10.6 about three weeks ago. An impressive increase but still well short of Draftkings within a six week period. Some analysts anticipate a possible sp for Draftkings of upto $75 per share. Draftkings has a strong first-mover advantage in online sports betting and is highly recognised among sports fans but GAN is thought to have advantage with their platform software and services solution, together with their leadership experience in the sector. I believe that huge investment will continue in this sector and a market cap of $2 billion for GAN is not unreasonable. The significant current increase in market cap to $612million will make GAN eligible to move into the Russell 2000 and the S&P Small Cap 600 Indexes. This in itself will attract large institutions and funds, which currently would not invest in lower tier companies. All very positive.