What an over reaction.25 Jan 2023 13:50
Mm's buying low in morning to sell high to you the same day. They thrive on uncertainty.
Yesterday we were wondering when spud date is, today we know they've drilled to 1200m and only 250m short of Td. Technical issue encountered but that is the drilling crews Job to come up with a solution. They weren't expecting it in morroco as the other Wells that have been drilled didn't encounter it.
"Presence of significant thicknesses of sands in the debris-flow demonstrate the potential sand source area feeding the Moulouya Fan as mapped pre-drill." Pre drill estimated remain the same.
"A gross interval of 28 metres was estimated on the basis of the well site cutting samples and lithological log. 16 metres of potential reservoir was interpreted from drilling breaks" 28m gross and 16m net is higher than the Conservative figures given in the cpr/presentations. It gives us a ratio of 57%, in line with other successful flowing Wells in the area onshore and offshore.
Imo, we have an anomaly that hasn't been seen in the region, we have a seal which can only be a good thing, keeps the gas in place. We're not targeting a small pay areas like sdx and sound.
The drill was always going to be complex, we're not targeting a small reservoir.
Personally I'm haply with the update as know for sure they're progressing.
Mud engineer just needs to tweak thier calculations and then can continue drilling more effectively.
"The prudent and safer option was to suspend the well and leave it in a state to re-enter once a better understanding of the mud programme required to drill this particularly complex interval efficiently and cost-effectively". Can't argue with this.
So far Paul has seen nothing that would change his pedrill estimates of reserves and he is conservetive.