Member Info for wbull123

Volume ticking up . Move to the upside shortly ? Lots of buys coming in.

It's barely being an expert. Look at the last 6 months interest rates go have gone from 2.2% to 4.91% which on a mortgage for a £337,000 property (average TW price) with a 10% LTV . The mortgage is now £500 more expensive for the same property , bills going up. Inflation running rampant and daily products are getting more expensive. I'm open to a different opinion but please present a better argument than "so where is everyone going to live?" . They are already in rental properties such as yours or will have just mortgaged on a fixed rate, will most really be looking for a new property to buy when interest rates will go down at some point in the next 12 month (I hope) . There will be sales but at what discount and what difference will that make to the bottom line. Do you think the property market will be in good shape over the next few months and if so why ?

Dont worry you'll be able to get that price by the afternoon.

Appreciate the tip but I'm already on stockopieda. If you don't think housebuilders aren't overleveraged then you're naïve. Stockopieda does not disclose the nuances of each loan and what the implications are of rising interest rates on their loans. I'm not saying TW are but there will be some who are which will drag down TW. My overarching point is, this is not the bottom but I'm looking to buy sub 39p which it will reach over the next 6 months.

That might be true but housing is not most industries. It is the most expensive purchase most will make in their life, so it's not a necessity for most to move right now . Do you really think many will be thinking about buying a property in this market ? Would you ?

This will fall further and the whole housing sector is in trouble.

1. Interest rates are rising and will continue to rise into at least q2 next year and from who
2. Cost of living is going up
3. Job losses on the horizon

Not only will interest rates make it unfordable for buyers but why would a buyer commit in a falling market . They will wait . Taylor Wimpey will be fine as long as they are not overleveraged on their construction loans. Its about to get very ugly for property but it will come back. Full disclosure I dont hold but I do work within the property sector. GLA

Good evening all,

Just a quick comment on the shorters :

See below
BG master – Sept – 0.71%
Boothbay – July – 0.57%
Capeview- Jan – 2.17%
Citadel – Dec 0.81%
Ennismore- March
Kairos –June – 0.52%
Marble – Feb – 2.15%
Marshall Wace- June 21 – 0.9%
Qube Research – 0.58%

Most of the institutions have been shorting BOO for the majority of the year. With results tomorrow presents an opportunity to exit on a healthy profit. I do not know the results tomorrow but what I do know is the institutions shorting will have an exit strategy and for them to exit there have to be buyers.

The buys and sells that have gone through the book over the past few days have been in favour of the bulls.
The SP action at the end of the day was not conjusive with the book . Someone is accumulating, its clear to see from the book. If positive results this will fly ! However underwhelming results and it will go to circa 26p (demand zone ) and then I expect a recovery. The institutions will not want to be stuck in their short position, I expect there to be a reduction in short positions tomorrow regardless. To any who are overly negative on the board, I would question your motive. Why waste your precious time bashing a stock which you have "no interest in" .... unless there is another agenda at play. GLA

Is AFC on the turn ? Now trending above the T-Line , if it closes above 23p ... Then an uptrend could begin. Watch this space

Not my post but I assume 17 p due to it being a historical resistance area and has risen from there before. High volume between 22p-15 p.

Just a bit of advice Bobbydaz, don't give them air time . They employed the same tactics when shorting Avacta, when it rose from 50p to a £1 they magically disappeared they get paid per post/reaction. Looking at AFC from a chart point of view, if interested. It's in stage 4 of decline, on the monthly chart the stochastic range is 3.44 which means it's massively oversold. All time demand level is at 19p , hopefully for shareholders there will be a bounce here but it's still looking bearish. Price levels to watch to close over the daily are 23.84 and 27.17. GLA and don't feed the trolls.

Good volume today of 3.97 mil compared to the daily average 2.64 mil .

2.3 mil buys vs 1.65 sells.

639k bought after hours/auction.

My prediction is a bounce anywhere from here down to 22p , It's entering the demand zone where institutions will buy IMHO.

Watch this space...

According to who ? Not me , the volume was a lot stronger then circa 3 million a day there was still time to go down . The volume is decreasing now circa 1.3 to 2 mil a day , less sells going through . In my experience when volume decreases it loses momentum in the way that it is going.

Apologies 31 p hahaha

You could be correct maybe down to 26 P but it looks like it is bouncing off 3p. Out of interest what's your target price ? Might give us some indication when Bronte are closing too.

Price keeps bouncing off 31p mark, I've just bought in for the first time . Volume has slowed over the last few sessions which usually means it's about to turn. A daily close over 33.60 and it will continue up to 40 p over the next few weeks. Watch this space....Bronte are notorious with their de rampers on bb's so ignore the ultra negative. But on the same note ignore the extreme rampers both are usually wrong.