Member Info for Warrie

Whitespace / Defence Holdings have been promoting their Collective OS and confirm they’ll be showcasing at DSEI 2025, and they say the platform is already deployed on a UK naval platform.

DSEI’s official visiting-warships list shows the German ship FGS Sachsen attended DSEI 2025, but there are no public reports that the Sachsen (or any German vessel present) was fitted with Whitespace tech during the event.

MammaC

I ran your question through ChatGPT, here's it's take on things.

I estimate ~55% probability that ALRT (LSE) will open higher on Monday (Oct 13, 2025). This is a modest edge — not a certainty — driven by positive U.S. OTC trading and the cross-listing announcement, but counter-balanced by dilution/ATM issuance and normal market risks.

Why I put it at ~55%

Positive U.S. flow: Defence Holdings was approved for a US OTC cross-listing (ticker ALRDF) and the OTC quotes showed small gains in recent sessions (e.g. +1–2% moves on Oct 9–10). That U.S. buying pressure makes a higher U.K. open somewhat more likely.

Company news / sentiment boost: The company’s official notice confirming the OTC listing and the establishment of an At-The-Market (ATM) facility is fresh, and that kind of corporate news often lifts sentiment short-term.

Dilution risk (pulling probability down): The company also disclosed share issuances and the ATM facility (shares issued and warrants exercised), which can create selling/dilution pressure and reduce upside. That’s why the probability is only a modest edge, not a large one.

Empirical context: Academic and market studies show cross-listings tend to improve liquidity and information flow over time, but short-term price moves at the home exchange are mixed and depend on market conditions and any capital-raising. That supports a modest (not decisive) tilt.

Key factors that could move the outcome (watch these before the LSE open)

Overnight/Friday U.S. OTC action: further gains in ALRDF in pre-market / after-hours would raise the odds; weakness would lower them. (Check OTC quotes early Monday London time.)

U.K. / European market tone: a weak FTSE or risk-off headlines Monday morning can outweigh company-specific positive flow.

Any follow-up corporate activity: if the ATM or warrant exercises accelerate into selling, that could create downward pressure. The announce­ment included a share issuance — keep that in mind.

Currency / arbitrage effects: USD↔GBP moves and cross-market arbitrage costs can mute translation of U.S. price moves into the U.K. open.

Volume / liquidity: tighter bid/ask and higher volume (post-cross-listing) increases the chance of spillover; very thin OTC volume makes any U.S. price moves noisy.

Simple scenario outcomes

Bull case (what would likely happen): ALRDF posts continued gains overnight, UK market is neutral/positive → ALRT opens noticeably higher (gains >~3–7%).

Base case (my 55% scenario): Modest positive U.S. cues + neutral UK market → ALRT opens slightly higher (~0–3%).

Bear case: OTC drifts lower or UK markets are weak / selling from ATM starts → ALRT opens flat or lower.

The one thing that stands out with Defence Holdings is the speed and precision in which they have already delivered the message across the market.

Every RNS is building the direction they are heading, followed immediately by media news articles and videos.

The accuracy in every detail of every released article is what you expect from a serious organisation that is charged with developing tech for the future of our nations defense.

How many times have you invested in a company to read a sloppily prepared RNS, riddled with typos and an out of date website?

Not happening here folks, because these people are serious players , organizers with military backgrounds who do not make mistakes.

I checked the OTCMarkets site for the new ticker, ALRDF, clicked the company profile and scrolled to products and services.

Project Ixian is the first in a growing portfolio of sovereign AI-enabled applications under Defence Technologies and targets information operations, one of the most urgent and contested domains in modern defence. Information operations encompass the control, distortion, or denial of information as a means to destabilise societies, undermine institutions, and paralyse adversaries. They span disinformation, cyber activity, narrative manipulation, and digital sabotage, and have been identified in the UK Strategic Defence Review 2025 ("SDR25") as a critical threat vector requiring urgent sovereign capability. Project Ixian marks a commercially significant opportunity with long-term deployment potential in the wider defence, national security, and private sectors. Development of the product has been carried out in collaboration with one of the world's Magnificent 7 technology leaders. Whitespace engineers have worked directly with the partner's engineering team to integrate AI-native cloud infrastructure into Project Ixian, embedding hyperscale capability from inception.

Nothing overlooked , they intend getting the message across the pond, the yanks are going to love this.

Wakokid

Enjoy buddy, I'm chilling with a Moretti atm after a brisk walk through the woods picking chestnuts.

Your spot on with that assessment of Monday's trading. Last week we did 8k trades on Monday after news catchup over the weekend, we may well see the same after this weekend.

Goes to show how corrupt the markets are

We get a positive RNS and the mms pull the share down 7.5%

Yet some shares with nothing to offer but more fund raising enjoy a lift up without news today.

Tells you one thing the mm's know what is coming and they are going to throw every dirty trick and the kitchen sink at this share,

Stay calm and HODL

Beardedlady

I don't reckon anything I printed the trades earlier as they stand, I know your type are only conditioned to spin fud so trying to reason or engage any sensible response to you is pointless.

Ciao

You know damn well what is going on here it's called market manipulation .

Lots of tiny buys being allowed through at decreasing values as they drop the bid and hold back the bigger buys.

Not rocket science and I am not fooled by it

# of Trades 2,031

Vol Sold 7,835,078

Vol Bought 20,910,239

Just a reminder , mm's don't like facts so I keep posting these throughout the day.

Doh, can someone get on the blower to Proactive

WE ARE NOT AIM!!!

We are standard market.

Your fishing trip will end in disappointment

Only a few tiddlers left now , we've trawled up all the big stock and you will need to twiddle that butter knife in that piggy's slot for those few coins you have.

With I.G. there is a fee every quarter if you do not make a trade, but that is easy to avoid.

Pixels

I first used freetrade before changing to I.G.

I found freetrade app to be very laggy in fairness they nay have improved.

But I.G. is super quick plus 4% earned on wallet holdings

Try I.G.

ii and AJBell not selling to Pi's

Not reason given

I'm struggling to understand what caused last Thursday's 30% drop??!! 🤯

A combination of warrants sold, mm's playing the sells to cause a false drop which in turn spooked some investors to sell along with the bedwetting brigade.

# of Trades 1,133

Vol Sold 5,547,802

Vol Bought 14,769,266

Gary

If I may add to your post on the difference in size of population between the U.S. and U.K. you can factor in the latest figures on the percentage of people who invest in the markets.

Here is what ChatGPT came up with.

Roughly speaking, about 60‑65% of U.S. adults are invested in the stock market in some way, while in the UK the figure for direct stock ownership is nearer 25% of adults. If you include indirect exposure (via funds, pensions etc.), the UK number is higher, but still noticeably below U.S. levels.

Badomen

DH focus is Soverign

Shareholders focus is investing and profit they are separate goals.

Good morning everyone

Hope you all happy with that RNS

Let it sink in what is actually happening here.

We have shares in a company that is at the very heart of the U.K. defenses strategy for the future.

In it's short period of time that it listed on the standard market it's growth has been very impressive.

Here's how impressive , they have assembled the most senior professional personnel of the highest calibre from military back grounds , industry and tech.

Most people invested here know what is coming in the form of projects, hyperspace partnerships and our collaboration with whitespace, new investors should read all the previous RNS'S, I promise you won't find them boring or depressing 😀

Now the easy part, sit on what you have invested , mm's will try false drops as is always to be expected.

Those who have been here a while know their games and are not fazed by their pernicious methods.

All you need to do is dig your heels in when they do this , think of it a bit like digging for gold , except this will be less back breaking and more rewarding.

One more message from me to the mm's, you really are a bunch of knobs, a weasel I would give more credit to, not selling a bean to you chimps this side of Christmas!

It is quite obvious that this companies transition from Dukemount to CapAI has not gone well despite the arrival of Prof Nag and his incubated projects,

there was a lot of historical debt to clear and the dilutive nature that led to so many shares in issue has been a large handbrake on any rise in the S.P.

I researched consolidation and it's effect on a shares price, read a few articles not a good read, then dropped the info into ChatGPT and the result was pretty ugly. I will stay out of this until the S.P. bottoms out where ever that may be, not even a good RNS will turn this around unless it mentions revenue.

I am not entirely convinced that fortunes will change in the near future with that level of news , it could take 6-12 months to see any sign of regular revenue being generated and the values in volume will be critical to pull more investors in, such potential but with many question marks on which project will gain Unicorn status, if that is ever likely to happen.

Those grey trades are reduced in value from the 8th to the 9th , noticeably the trades on the 9th do not contain any for 1million in value.

Another indicator that they are struggling for shares they were unable to complete any orders for today.

Tomorrow will be interesting especially if news lands at 7am.

Good luck LTH'S