RE: Impact of new Russian legislation13 Aug 2023 10:56
BizTech - thank you for the video. You've put a lot of time and effort in. Some of your conclusions, however, are questionable.
Nobody is concerned about having their shares in the foreign PLC appropriated. I'm sure we will all still own all our shares in Evraz PLC. The concern is which, if any, of Evraz PLC's majority or wholly owned subsidiaries will be classed as ESOs and transferred over to Russian investors thus devaluing Evraz PLC in the process.
Article 1 may well say that the new law is not aimed at the unjust infringement of foreign shareholders. Doesn't mean it won't happen. If you consider that the aim of the "special militarily operation" was the de-natzification of Ukraine (or something like that) and not the killing of Ukrainian citizens or the theft of property, you kind of get the picture. It doesn't need to be an aim in order for it to happen.
Suspension of corporate rights until December 2024 is no comfort. Before then, shares in the ESO will be reallocated. So what if the law is not then extended, the damage can be done in the intervening 16 month period.
Compensation for loss of shares or dividends to non-Russian investors would have to go to Evraz PLC, as it is the non-Russian holder. As all Russian investors get to keep their Evraz PLC shares as well as the new direct holdings in ESOs, they too get a share of any successful claim. Russians get two bites of the cherry. We get to keep a fraction of the fraction that gets given to Evraz PLC as compensation.
In conclusion, if the law wanted to prevent unjustified infringement of foreign holders rights then it would have expressly done so. It hasn't. Evraz PLC may be able to claim compensation but any compensation will be heavily diluted among all Evraz PLC shareholders. The only way to prevent dilution is for Evraz PLC to ensure that compensation is only shared among non-Russian shareholders and, if even possible, that would be a matter for the Evraz Board.
Let's see how this all pans out over the coming weeks and months. Thanks again for all the time and effort you put into the video.