vice31 Mar 2011 01:41
it certainly is interesting.
IMO (and I know I'm biased here), AZX have used some very selective reasoning there. They dismissed the 40% odd premium, saying that because of recent rises the preminum is now only a few percent. Ignores the fact (?) that the SP rise has been down to the takeover bid.
When talking about the merger, they say that Auzex would have less than half the new, combined group, despite providing more than half the "assets" even though the other assets Auzex hold are relatively minor (at this stage) exploration projects, not development ones. Also, Auzex completely neglects to mention the very strong cash position of GGG, and even if Auzex don't like to admit it, cash is an asset - and a very attractive asset to shareholders who know that an expensive drilling campaign is coming up and (and this is the crucial bit) want to avoid dilution of there share in a fundraising.
Will try and find out about Auzex's cash position when I can, as I feel this could be a key aspect in shareholders decision making.
To say GGG recent hiring of highly experienced engineers & consultants is "disingenous" (meaning false or insincere) smacks of panic and frankly is pretty insulting to those who've just been hired - these people are the "who's who" of mining in Oz (40 years experience, highly regarded) and eads me to suspect that those in the know within the industry are backing GGG. Clearly a company looking to acquire full control of a mine in West Australia will want engineers with experience of Developing mines in west Oz (inc the Coolgardie region).
Obviously I'm hoping that Auzex shareholder see it the same way, and also take into account GGG's statements
Both sides are making very definative, damning statements about the other, with some selective reasoning (on both sides but IMO far more on the Auzex side). This could drag on, but that may not be as bad for shareholders as first appears because.
1.) It's going to bring a hell of alot of attention to the project and it's massive potential.
2) It's a non-cash, scrips offer. As far as I can see, this means that there is no set price that we can reach pre-deal, which will lead investors to say "right thats the offer price, so it's not going to go above that until a deal is announced, I won't buy any more now" and will mean that people are happy to keep piling in.
That no 2 point I'm not entriely sure about, would appreciate a correction or some advice on this.
Overall, I'm not as relaxed about GGG in the ST as I was before these issues, but the potential has risen significantly and at the monet, in the GGG vs AZX tussle, I think GGG are winning......