RE: Invest in management20 Dec 2022 12:36
Did my monthly review on the weekend of all my holdings and spent a bit of time looking at the figures for SQZ - that cash pile, income prospects, chance of a bid. I set up a limit order to double my holdings on Monday. Not what I was expecting to see today!
I can see buying tax offset vouchers cheaply is a significant element of this deal but jeepers it is going to be tough to use them all up, there will be all sorts of hurdles to stop them being used where they were not created.
Complimentary undersea capability - ok if you really can (i) take advantage of it otherwise it is a different business model with a poor balance sheet that means the business is on sale for a very good reason, its management have driven it into a hole and so (ii) you need to upgrade the management or invest in modifications to the model.
The dilution of shares - only a good thing for shareholders if what you are purchasing is under-priced.
So it will take time for this fairly complex deal to play out. SQZ management need to show that they have a real grip of the financials and can use the preserved losses to offset future profits and that what they have bought they can manage to add profit, not reduce it.
Undoubtedly it makes SQZ unattractive to takeover, or at least reduced the value of a bid, so it acts to help preserve the current BOD in employment. And when that is even a partial motive, it is not a good sign.
Today is not the day to liquidate, but this is going to need careful watching. The BOD need to explain exactly how they are going to use those preserved losses and they need to do that before the end of the first week of the New Year.