Member Info for tomc1

WorldQuant and D.E. Shaw increased their short postion yesterday, with D.E. going from 1% to 1.15%.

WorldQuant and D.E. Shaw increased their short postion yesterday, with D.E. going from 1% to 1.15%.

Closing at the top of the trading channel and then it dumps the following day.

This imo is why travel stocks especially airlines dont trade on 12x to 15x earnings, accidents, faults etc happen.

Absolutely and it should hopefully recover as the wider market recovers. Ita closest peer group the insurers and banks have fully recovered from the tarrif sell off.

Bought some bodycote too as they seem a decent revocery bet too, sharp sell off and a gradual recovery it would appear.

Still within the downward channel, but it's getting tighter.

A few days ago we were on the support, now right the resistance.

Breakout upwards soon is on the cards imo

https://uk.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/TULLOW-OIL-PLC-9590152/

See the chart, support and resistance lines.

If you can't see it, see the link below for further info.

https://www.ig.com/uk/trading-strategies/falling-and-rising-wedge-chart-patterns--a-trader-s-guide-200420

Https://uk.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/TULLOW-OIL-PLC-9590152/

Quite the set up.

Down 0.71%

Lowest for them since Jan 2022

Https://uk.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MOBICO-GROUP-PLC-9590116/graphics/

Hopefully results come in decent and we push through the down trend, economic data doing it's thing of late should assist.

Built up their initial short around £2/2.50.

Don't think I've ever in my limited exposure to shorts positions being as successful as this. 250p to 60p on a average 0.90% position too.

Anyway i'm in about 50% of my pf from 130 to 115p, havnt averaged down as no spare capital, having thought inflation would have rolled over., thought i was getting bargin prices! How I was wrong.

I will continue to hold, fortunately I don't NEED the money only profits from 2020/2021 trading. Economic picture looks but it will turn around always has.

Correct, similar to house prices. When they fall and your mortgage borrowing is the same your ltv/loan to value% would increase.

Time to buy again soon.

Https://m.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/NATIONAL-EXPRESS-GROUP-PL-9590116/financials/

Margin somewhat compressed and debt consistant., in current climate this is to be expected.

The company sure is bearen down, look at the forecasted yield, its through is the roof and is on its valuation on knees!

Didn't the same share price action happen after last results, in that it dumped 10% to 120/130ish then it carried on upto circa 190...

Anyway bought between 120p and 105p this morning. 1st half results always tread water all about the summer results, espcislly given this company almost fully sells European summer holidays...

A tough one to crack, both horizontal and the top of the long term downward channel to battle against.
Don't think we will struggle, no doubt gap up higher on open tomorrow over this resistance.
https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/NATIONAL-EXPRESS-GROUP-PL-9590116/charts/

Taken from recent trading update in October 22', in summary its a buy.

Balance Sheet, currency, and interest rates

We are well positioned to weather the current market volatility. We have Inflation protection from fuel hedges, covering 100% of 2023 volumes, and 50% of 2024 volumes. We have long-term supply agreements on the majority of our remaining non-staff costs, with inflation expected to be in the region of 4% over the next 12 months. Staff cost negotiations are ongoing and are progressing in line with our expectations.



Over 80% of debt is at fixed interest rates with no material exposure to increased interest rates until 2024. Because we manage the currency profile of our debt to match the currency in which EBITDA is generated, our covenant leverage is not impacted by currency volatility. We expect to be in line with covenant leverage guidance of 2.5x to 3.0x net debt to EBITDA at year end.

Yes he sold in Dec 20 and Jan 21 for a prie circa 1050p.
Nice bit of trading the old dogs still got it.

Hopefully this update and increased positive sentiment gets us up and over this downtrend. https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/SAGA-PLC-16546285/charts/

Market is rerating everywhere off the lows. Two other stocks that hadn't moved much of late got their rerare today, boohoo amd asos. Travel sector OTB EZJ WIZZ, resturants I.e. MAB all had there bump.
All aboard the bouncy castle.

Was buying late on to close 500 and 250 lots.

Having accumulated holdings go-ahead and stagecoach only to be taken over this is a strong buy at these prices
If its good enough for private equity firms its good enough for me.
Reminds me of OTB at 100p recently, market forward pricing is at historic lows and you have to take advantages of the bargains on offer.
Inflation is rolling over (90% sure) should help sentiment next year.

On the up