RE: APPIAN JOIN US HOLDS US$5 billion11 Dec 2025 13:41
Had some work to attend to, yes the price is up but this stock deserves far more attention than it’s getting. The market is currently valuing the company at a fraction of the in-situ metal it controls, and when you break down the numbers asset by asset, the disconnect becomes hard to ignore.
Starting with Paguanta, the updated figures put the in-situ value at around US$871.9 million at today’s metal prices. That is one project, on its own, already dwarfing Ajax’s entire market cap.
Then you have Leon, which comes in at roughly US$708 million based on current spot prices. Again, a standalone figure that would justify a far higher valuation than where the company trades today.
The newly introduced Pereira Velho gold project, backed by Appian, is already sitting on an estimated US$461 million worth of gold in the ground using today’s price deck. That is before any further drilling, expansion, or resource upgrades.
When you total those three assets alone, you are already north of US$2 billion of metal in the ground.
And that’s before assigning any value to Eureka, which remains completely unpriced into the market, and before factoring in any additional acquisitions — which the company has clearly signalled is part of its broader strategy.
For a company at this stage, the scale of these numbers is remarkable. The RNS effectively confirms that Ajax now controls a portfolio with multi-billion-dollar in-situ potential, yet the market cap continues to sit at an early-stage microcap level. The re-rating potential from here is obvious, especially as more technical detail, development planning, and external validation continues to land.
Anyone following the sector will know that markets don’t ignore this kind of asset base for long. I expect after todays news the investor base to rise continuously into the new year.