RE: It’s tough being on the Pensana board19 Apr 2024 06:34
Given the amount of preparatory work, headworks, etc which has been detailed by the company and there being ample free cash on hand, obviously, the Board is comfortable with the current state of affairs, knowing the ASWF has pledged support in the form of a $15m loan, additional equity and is part of the debt funding syndicate.
I believe those who have spoken to PA have been told that the share price is not where management expects it to be.
Obviously, the Board has every confidence that the ASWF will fund the project's ongoing construction until the debt funding is finalised later this year, when needed, as per the construction timeline.
Those who have questioned management have been told that the debt funding will fall into place when needed and, importantly, it is anticipated that
offtake pricing will be with an ESG premium and done at a time when ndpr prices are trending higher, up 30% on recent lows, which will invariably
move the share price, with better economics to support the debt funding.
With all this war mongering and the need to replenish and build armaments apart from general industry, we all are aware, especially with the Uk Government’s recent upgrading of economic forecasts for the UK, the Government will be very keen to secure the vital ndpr refining at Saltend.
The company is in talks with both the UK & US Governments!
The future for Pensana is assured, in my opinion.
As to the share price, I am expecting the market makers to sell their recently acquire cheap shares into the announcement, so arm up, and buy on the opportunity while the shares are at a 5 year low IMO , knowing the market makers (MM) will be shaking the tree, frustrating the MM’s by buying, will send a clear message and they will likely change strategy and move to accelerate an upward trend when a higher share price will be surely be long overdue!
As far as the construction timeline requirements go, only $5m is said to be needed for May, the larger requirement for June’s construction payment would suggest that May / June for FSDEA equity piece to fall into place to keep abreast of the published timeframe, seems viable to me.
There appears to be no need to take the equity piece until the funds are needed and closer to when, I assume, the debt funding terms sheet becomes binding.