RE: should be 3p when dfs comes12 Mar 2019 11:49
For those not on twitter, a question was posed "how much of #kml built into #mtr share price currently ?"
"Zero. Current MC £19m. Approx £5m in cash? Approx £13m in MOD equity? Other equity positions ( #GGP #THR #PAM Chilean gold) £2m? Plus Spain and Thailand.. So is it fair to say the 30% JV with MOD isn’t even valued into current share price??"
I am of the opinion that MOD remains significantly undervalued, the reason for this is the threat of dilution hanging on the share price. That in turn is a lead weight around the MTR share price - we do not need to provide any funds to the the T3 pit, only to the exploration budget for T3 expansion. MOD will soon be releasing their DFS, I fully expect that to be positive and the decision to mine will be a resounding YES shortly afterwards. MOD will re-rate, MTRs equity postion in MOD alone will then dwarf the current market cap. Will we then see further moves by SFR and other parties to take control?? I expect so. MTR could quickly find themselves in a JV with a mid/major OR their stake of the JV will also be acquired as per T3 pit sale contract, leaving MTR with a MASSIVE ;-) cash pile
KML has been completely overlooked. Firstly it is a hedge against the above as MTR will still retain exposure to the KCB in the event of the MOD being fully taken out (should that be the case I expect MTR to fund KML internally and increase the equity stake from the current 50%) But the targets themselves are equally as compelling, in particular KIT-E with its close proximity to the T3 pit - even closer than the A4 dome.
The other equity positions while less major are still worth pointing out. GGP has had some good news today and im sure MTR will take profits as and when they see fit. While THR has been a slow burner the assets are there. PAM could we see a KEMCO tie up? Veta resources, TG very impressed with their rock sampling results.
And then the fact that Rick Rule has personally taken 60m shares in MTR, £1m in anyones book is a considerable vote of confidence in what MTR are building.
The share price is shite, no disagreements there. Maybe MTR is still associated with previous management and PIs are staying clear ,who knows.. But what is going on behind the scenes is very positive IMO and sooner or later things will click. ATB.