RE: Investors Chronicle6 Jan 2020 16:51
I can also see significant share price upside to Trinity Exploration & Production (TRIN:12p), an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on Trinidad and Tobago (‘Trinity’s value proposition’, 10 September 2019). The company will be reporting its fourth quarter operational update shortly and analyst James McCormack at house broker Cenkos Securities predicts an exit 2019 production run rate of 3,400 barrels of oil equivalent (bopd), up from 3,017 bopd in October, buoyed by new onshore low-cost wells coming on stream.
But Cenkos is only factoring in an average realised oil price of $57 a barrel in its 2020 revenue estimate of $69m, so with WTI benchmark trading significantly higher and only 41 per cent of Trinity’s third quarter output hedged, then the company has material exposure to the higher spot oil price. Moreover, with Trinity’s net funds backing up a quarter of its market capitalisation of £46m, the shares only trade on a cash-adjusted price/earnings (PE) ratio of 7.5 based on a 2020 net profit of $5.5m even though the risk to 2020 earnings is skewed to the upside. Buy.
Https://www.investorschronicle.co.uk/comment/2020/01/06/profit-from-the-surging-oil-price/