RE: Tga holders10 Aug 2023 18:31
I’d be nervous about investing in the company. For a start, its product is a pollutant.
Also, Thungella has warned about the poor infrastructure in South Africa. Last year, the country’s railways experienced a 12-day strike. There was also a derailment which took 10 days to clear. This affects the company’s ability to get coal to the port, from where it’s exported.
The country also suffers frequent power cuts.
Both of these factors have adversely impacted production during the second half of 2022. In December, the firm released a trading statement indicating that coal output for 2022 was likely to have been 20% lower than in 2021. Even so, the historically high coal price will compensate for some of the lost production.
Looking forward, the coal price is likely to be closer to 2021 levels. The company’s performance in 2023 is therefore going to be more in line with two years ago, when the dividend was far less generous.
For these reasons, I’m not going to invest at the moment.