Hargreaves Lansdowne view....15 Jun 2021 09:35
Saga's customer base of older people is a growing and wealthy demographic. Ultimately, this should be an attractive group to serve - if Saga can get the offer right. The outlook remains very uncertain and there's no guarantee Saga will succeed, but we're feeling a shade more positive than we did.
Saga key facts
12m forward Price/Earnings ratio: 13.1
Average 12m forward Price/Earnings ratio since listing: 10.4
Prospective dividend yield: 0.0%
All ratios are sourced from Refinitiv. Please remember yields are variable and not a reliable indicator of future income. Keep in mind key figures shouldn't be looked at on their own - it's important to understand the big picture.
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Full Year Results (07/04/21)
Saga's full year underlying pre-tax profit was £17.1m, down from £109.9m last year. However, including a reduction in the value of Travel assets, that would have been a loss of £61.2m - an improvement on the £300.9m loss recorded last year.
Management's focus remains on cash preservation and debt control, while also making progress in insurance and keeping Travel operations ready to restart. Given the uncertainty, management is not providing more detailed guidance, and there's currently no dividend.
Profit before tax in the Retail Broking division was £75.9m, down from £90.2m last year. The fall was due to Covid-19 disruption, especially in Travel insurance, and the sale of Bennetts - Saga's insurance biking brand. Saga branded policies fell 5.6% to 1.7m and total policies fell 9.4% to 1.9m.
The Insurance Underwriting division saw net earned premiums fall 6.5% to £183.4m. The group's current year combined operating ratio - the percentage of premiums paid out in claims and costs - fell from 103.4% to 91.4%. Once prior year reserve releases are included, the combined ratio fell from 83.0% to 70.8%. Management attributed the improvement to a reduction in driving during the year's lockdowns.
Revenue at the Travel division fell 88.9% to £51.6m and the division made an underlying loss of £78.5m, compared with a profit of £19.8m last year. Saga said it's seen high levels of customer loyalty, with 73% of Cruise advanced receipts being transferred to a future booking and 43% of Tour receipts. Forward bookings are down 52% in Tour Operations and 20% in Cruise.
At year end Saga had £75m in available cash, and access to a further £100m in credit. Excluding the cruise ships, year end net debt stood at £246.9m, down from £361.7m in January 2020. The reduction primarily reflects the group's recent capital raise, cost control efforts and asset sales. Total net debt stood at £760.2m, up £166.9m on last year. Available operating cash flow for the year fell 96.3% to £3.4m.