RE: brent and asset sale15 Feb 2021 07:53
Tommie,
Highly unlikely that Tullow will cancel unless they have something else on the table to meet shortfall - time is running out. I suspect Mr 13% had some influence in this to sell producing assets.
The sale has a lot of benefits to Tullow from an RBL/liquidity point of view. But looking at the other options:
- Sale/farm down of exploration assets: This would have been best option for Tullow, imo.
- Rights issue: A rights issue isn't necessarily a dilution, you subscribe to new shares by funding the company. For the EG asset, I'd like to say maybe subscribing to one share for every 7 you have would have provided enough liquidity for RBL whilst keeping the asset. At worst case, subscribing to 1 share for every 4 shares you own.
- Sale of other producing assets: similar to the gabon sale, sale of other low producing assets would have been better.
What bothers me is
1. The EG sale isn't even value accretive anymore (at current forward curve oil prices, let alone $60+)
2. Significant loss in growth potential.. I mean even Enquest will soon have more production than Tullow lol