RE: New Presentation6 Aug 2024 14:47
Canaccord Genuity view
Pantheon has raised gross $29m through an equity raise to provide the funding for a high-profile exploration well, Megrez-1, which the company expects to drill in Q4 24, on the company's Ahpun Eastern Topsets (ETS) play. This is a high-impact and relatively low-risk exploration target, and success could open the best route to early development.
Crucially, Pantheon anticipates much better reservoir parameters at ETS than its other discoveries, and that may be the key to flow test rates that support commerciality without the need for long horizontal and multi-stage stimulated wells. If that is the case, then Ahpun ETS could become, in our view, the company's primary near-term focus - shallower and cheaper wells, drilled within easy reach of the Dalton Highway (DH) and the Trans Alaska Pipeline (TAP), with year round operations, and notably higher production flow rates that previous tests have implied.
Ahpun ETS play - what & when
Location: In the company's 100% held Alaska North Slope (ANS) licence, close to the Dalton highway (providing easy access to nearby services) and to the Trans Alaska Pipeline (TAP), which has plenty of spare export capacity.
Scale: Company estimated 600+ mmbbls hydrocarbon liquids recoverable prospective resources, with geological chance of success c.70%. The primary risk is likely to be hydrocarbon mix.
Timing: Vertical well to be drilled from all-weather gravel pad close to Dalton Highway. Pad construction - Sept/Oct; drilling - Nov/Dec; testing - success case, to start before YE24 (all timings to be confirmed).
Ahpun ETS play - what & when
Location: In the company's 100% held Alaska North Slope (ANS) licence, close to the Dalton highway (providing easy access to nearby services) and to the Trans Alaska Pipeline (TAP), which has plenty of spare export capacity.
Scale: Company estimated 600+ mmbbls hydrocarbon liquids recoverable prospective resources, with geological chance of success c.70%. The primary risk is likely to be hydrocarbon mix.
Timing: Vertical well to be drilled from all-weather gravel pad close to Dalton Highway. Pad construction - Sept/Oct; drilling - Nov/Dec; testing - success case, to start before YE24 (all timings to be confirmed).
ETS - key differentiators
Historic tests: Pantheon has tested a number of wells in different reservoirs with mixed results so far. All these tests have been in reservoirs with relatively poor quality (porosity c.10% - OK, permeability 5mD permeability; Fig.3). If so, then the chances of significantly higher test flow rates, without the need for stimulation, should be considerably improved. Pantheon has already drilled the Topset reservoir elsewhere, but outside of a trapping mechanism.
ETS analagous fields, further drilling?
Pantheon'