Excellent prospects24 Nov 2022 14:53
Excellent prospect to 3-4 bag from here IMO:
- China's prices are excellent (China's biz is roughly 1/3 of the overall group's). So pig producers will be back to ordering to protect their pigs from ASF.
- ROW is growing fast.
- Excellent pipeline of R and D - EAH is a serious TO target at these prices. Decra, possibly?
- All time low - surely this should have been factored in already for anyone who has been tracking the pig prices in China.
- pork prices in China have been only dampened partially by Covid restrictions. Government has resorted to releasing stocks of frozen pork to subdue prices. This augurs well for sustained demand for EAH's products in China.
In saying that, there are cons:
- inflationary pressures. However, surely these would be offset by increased demand in China and potential price rises.
- R and D expenses not to be capitalised, which infers higher expenses into P and L.
Overall, with ROW continued to grow, China pork prices now c$30 RMB per kg, thus China biz should gradually return to pre-Covid levels, these should more than offset inflationary pressures. At these levels, IMO, the only way is up. DYOR.