OT: Deal or no Deal...25 Mar 2019 10:27
Who knows if the U.K. will leave the EU with or without a deal... I believe there will be a post exit rally
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EC: No-deal Brexit 'increasingly likely'
The European Commission (EC) stated on Monday that a no-deal Brexit scenario is becoming "increasingly likely" in the wake of the most recent withdrawal agreement developments, according to its official press release. The commission noted that the United Kingdom may leave the European Union without a deal on April 12 and that it is now ready for such developments.
"While the European Union continues to hope that it will not be the case, if the Withdrawal Agreement is not ratified by Friday 29 March, a "no-deal" scenario may occur on 12 April," the statement said. The EC added: "As it is increasingly likely that the United Kingdom will leave the European Union without a deal on 12 April, the European Commission has today completed its "no-deal" preparations."
Looking at possible Brexit outcomes, London could leave the EU on April 12 without a deal, ask for another extension before April 12 on the condition of holding elections for the European Parliament and, finally, bring back the deal this week before Parliament to be approved in order for the UK to leave the EU on May 22.
Breaking the News / VK
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No-deal Brexit unlikely - Credit Suisse executive
Managing Director and Global Equity Strategist at Credit Suisse Andrew Garthwaite said on Monday that he doesn't believe the United Kingdom will leave the European Union without a deal as there is no "appetite" for that outcome among the country's populace and Parliament.
Speaking at the Credit Suisse Asian Investment Conference in Hong Kong, Garthwaite said: "The closest we can get to that is the Malthouse compromise on the Northern Irish backstop, which is looking for a technological solution," and added: "It is a deal, with a no-deal Brexit."
The executive expressed confidence that the adoption of the Brexit deal in the House of Commons would lead to a rally in the markets. "In the UK, around three-quarters of earnings come from overseas. So, if sterling goes up, the market will underperform," the banker said.
Breaking the News / NI