Member Info for ramborai

Hey Admin i would like to apply for a position as a poster on the members blog. Im probably not well known to people on this website but i've been here since 07. Now i will be truthful admin, the reason i would like a blog is to aim it towards newbies and spammers, not naming any names and with no malice intended. Since i've been visiting this website i've seen newbies fall in the same trap over and over again, seen many spammers that flood the board, seen people on here that have been offensive and have been banned, and have seen members that have lost alot of money. Therefore things that i would consider in my blog would be past experiences that have happened on this website in order to educate the masses. I would understand however if you were unwilling to allow this due to the blog being seen as malicious or offensive to people or detrimental to the website. It is not aimed at being a hate blog, but a truthful and factual blog. Sometimes you need to be truthful to hit the nail on the head, if you get my drift. Anyway consider it admin. And i would only accept if i was allowed to post honestly and truthfully on the blog. Thanks, Ramborai

hi rodhull, dow is kissing the 8000 levels again which has been the resistance barrier for a while. If i can remember it is inline with with 200 month moving average also. If we see a clear breakdown from these levels we could see dow 7000 quite easily, maybe even a huge capitulation further. We've got the catalyst which is the autos. I read a report somewhere that auto's make 1 in 10 jobs in the US!, if the congress do prop these up to make a product which is not viable in current times i think the market will still capitulate as the cash will be burned through quite quicky! ftse 3000 here we come lol!

For example take this idea. Instead of having a top 10 of people who make the most posts, why dont you do a top 10 of the most recommendations of posts. Therefore quality posters are given an incentive over quantity. Another thing you could do is provide a spam button, where 3 votes of the person locks the person out from posting again for 24 hours. Then people can cut the crap out from the good.

hi buller i agree. Too many new signups are posting rubbish crap on this website. none of it is knowledgable or researched. that's why the majority of the elites never post any more like davius, gervais etc. Im suprised gedw is still here, he is one of few who actually has credible posts, he could possibly leave as his posts are being dwarfed by rubbish posts by others. Even the days when we had fatcontroller and donace, even though they were disrespectful and rampers, atleast they provided some credible information and analysis on shares. I moved off from this site to iii, no disrespect admin, but for the main reason being that this website and chat forum has lost all its integrity when it got taken over by spammers/single sentence posters/clans etc. Its lost its whole community feel, you should seriously start cleaning up or get a mechanism in place because if you dont, all the quality posters may move off somewhere else and you wouldn't want that as they were the ones that helped you get this website up to this level in the first place.

hi guys long time no see! been doing technical research recently, october 22nd seems to be the date. If we make a high on oct 22nd we could be in a bear market till 2011. if we make a low then it is possibly the end of the bear market. so dont get sucked in if there is a rally to 11k on the dow!

numerous articles flying round that henk paulson is begging the banks to take out lehman. This will not be good for the opening on monday. People would think that there would be worth in lehman, even if it is bought at 0p. But it seems many banks do not even want to touch it. Could we see a retest of July lows?, and a large breakout downwards if a deal fails to capitalise by sunday end? Watch the asian markets as that will be the first indicator.

It seems that US may possibly cut rates further 50/50 has been priced in, it is said they may be looking to inflate themselves out of this problem but this will only halt the pain for later on in time. From what i understand, the main reason for dollar rally in the first place was due to the fact that europe and UK economies etc were weaker than expected and was assumed that they would be cutting rates in order to shore up their economies. However since inflation looks to stay a while longer (energy providers may boycott against UK stance on energy), i would be surprised if UK or EU decides to cut rates before inflation indicators show a fall. If US were to cut rates further before the UK and EU then possibly lack of confidence may kick into the majority of people who have parked their cash into US currency and treasuries. Currently that is the area where all the smart money is flocking. Regarding the strong dollar, it may be in US best interests to weaken it on purpose to increase export-led growth since they will perform poor on import-led growth. I am a strong believer of capitulation and believe that a strong dollar may actually be the demise of the Dow. Its actually a catch 22 at the moment, strong dollar = cheaper oil, commodities. benefit to consumer. weak dollar = gdp growth/exports. If GBP falls below 160 against USD and EUR falls below 130 against USD, it may end up as a serious disadvantage for the US. There was a good report on CNBC regarding technicals on S&P 500 which probably tracks the same as most global indices. Bottom support is at 1200, if it was to test and break through this then it is possible it could go to anywhere between 1000 - 1100. Possibly something may spur it on? Such as lehman if it doesnt get taken over and may force nationalisation hand? we'll see

all signals in the mid-term are suggesting down to me however i may be totally wrong. the line of companies expecting a government bail-out is growing further, with lehman now in the queue joining a host of others such as GM. Market is totally underestimating the pain at which the previous F&F bailout will cause, they have taken on an extra 9 trillion dollars of debt. The ball is with the asian economies. although they are also affected by the current economic woes, if they were to pull the plug on the US dollar and trasuries due to lack of confidence or even political means they would send the US into economic collapse. What i am expecting in the next few months is for the dollar to devalue and US treasuries to weaken harshly on lack of confidence (including all fannie & freddie debt). I do not expect to see oil to rally on a weak dollar due to demand destruction. although oil and gas prices have dropped, do not expect the energy providers to reduce the burden to the consumers which is why i believe inflation will be here to stay for a while. articles have suggested that inflation should vastly drop, but they are taking into account spot prices rather than the willingness of energy providers to reduce costs to the consumer. They will play the wholesale cost card for a long while forward. Dont be suprised to see gold 2.0 though, i can see another bull run coming taking up with it any other valuable commodities. This will come at the expense of the DJIA which i can see going to 9000 to 10000 levels. This is just my opinion but im currently feeling like a grizzly bear which has swayed my decision to the negative. Whatever happens there will be a breakout from the trading range we have seen in the djia and ftse since july soon enough, just be equipped for it.

this deflationary recession is causing demand for all goods to fall recently, even oil and gold. Although gold is seen as safe haven, the strengthening dollar has brought it down and it will also be the demise of the djia. US weakened the dollar in the past decades to make people feel artificially rich, this pushed up the djia. If you actually compare the djia in value of gold (inflation proof) or even say the british pound, the djia is hugely down overall. We are seeing a huge correction occur, especially today.

hello guys & girls. I dont think we have seen the end yet. Problems have not been solved yet, but markets have been eased. Ive been confused also, trends are changing too fast. Consensus i can see from all credible articles that i've read is that oppurtunities are showing but capitulation is still yet to arrive. IMO we will not see a large upwards rally to 6000 until fannie & freddie saga has been sorted. It is still a daytraders market at the mo. One thing i have found interesting in the newspapers recently is the changing demographics in UK, too many pensioners will bring us down lol! One to watch for a future uk stagnation in 10 - 20 years time.

if you compare the graphs of aim-all share and the ftse 100 you will be able to see how undervalued the aim market is at the moment. You will see how much it has fallen where the ftse 100 has picked up. Even if you compare aim-all share to the ftse fledgling you will still be able to see a large divergence. People call aim casino-like but the reason it has dropped off more largely than the other index's is because of the run on the small cap funds, it has caused such a large sell off. aim has some good oppurtunities showing, you can find some good gems that operate abroad and are not affected as much from the turmoil in UK. There are quite a few working at cash levels also if you look hard to find them.

yea ive had it too. Especially when i write large messages and they do not send through. then im like arrrgh i have to type it again lol!

Just another question i would like to add on for you admin. Is it possible if you could save all messages written for all shares. For example say if you wanted to locate posts for VAN at Sept 2007, you wouldnt be able to as the message board only holds max 100 pages, is it possible for you to create something such as a 'history' or 'domain' that holds all previous messages that are not locatable. Its not because i would want to hold something against someone by locating these messages, but it is interesting to see what peoples ratings and general consensus was back then and comparing it to how it has changed. It could be used for good analysis, to see the stages of what people go through when tracking the shares on the message board e.g. 1.Happiness 2.Anxiety 3.Denial 4.Anger 5.Bargaining 6.Depression 7.Acceptance. I have seen this happen on some lol! Thanks, Rambo

looks like ECB will increase rates hence oil up, dow down, ftse down. People think ECB is doing the wrong thing but Ben is the stupid one cutting interest rates to save the banks when he should let them fail. He didnt take the example from Japan and now they are in 20 year stagflation. Possible it could happen to US because of debt burden. What my hunch is now is the wider the discrepency is between ECB and FOMC rates, the larger falls in the dow hence the ftse will follow. Until FED plans to raise rates we wont see any strengthening of the dollar which means there will be continued speculation in oil meaning he is putting the DOW in a worser position. So until we see dollar strengthened, oil wont come down. He has a big decision to make, it would be best for him to allow the economy to fail in order to start the next cycle by raising interest rates rather than increasing the debt burden on the economy by throwing more cash at already failed banks causing a long tiring stagflation.

Hi TandH at what level do you think the run on ftse 100 will end. i believe support is at 5350. If it breaks 5350 then anything is possible. We have to remember though shell, bp,hsbc, gsk, rio tinto, anglo american,bg group, bats are 9 of the 10 most capitalized shares in the ftse 100 which have not been affected really by the downturn. which makes me think all the others esp banks & retail and any others that use oil have been seriously killed already and if they are killed even more then then they pose too much of an oppurtunity. We know now that there is a large shift in weighting (capitalization) in stocks e.g bp being worth 108 bill whereas lloy only being worth 16bill. That wealth will need to be distributed back over time, the ftse is too uneven at the moment. BP, shell etc are worth too much whereas others are worth too less! back to the days where we have to light a candle lol.

hi rodhull. oil up 314 now. ftse and dow actually defying oil a little today considering they usually move more on oil sentiment. I just have a hunch feeling that ftse and dow will fall alot further when dow opens after 3pm. whats your feeling?

hi buller. the normal share chat where the newest comes on page 1 is sort of like a chat room so people who look at a share consistently can see the newest messages first. whereas as the general chat area is like a forum where newest posts come after the old ones, so you can read the whole thread without losing track of the main post. i think admins got it right. rambo

hi buller. the normal share chat where the newest comes on page 1 is sort of like a chat room so people who look at a share consistently can see the newest messages first. whereas as the general chat area is like a forum where newest posts come after the old ones, so you can read the whole thread without losing track of the main post. i think admins got it right. rambo