Farewell to a dream18 Dec 2020 11:13
Dear All
I don't post here and won't again. While I was not that big a shareholder, I was a long-term investor, by which I mean long, 15 years, from the founding of the company. It was always a punt, but I let myself get sucked in too far, perhaps by the paperweight on my desk that contains sweet, light crude from the Lancaster Discovery of August 18th 2009.
I have finally sold out immediately this morning on reading the RNS. I had always said the story needed to be resolved at latest 10 years from that Discovery. If only I had obeyed my own rule! But I still believed in Robert Trice's theory at that time.
Why I am bothering to post here is that I don't want anyone to be under any illusions. There just might be some real upside (not saying the traders of you won't make 20% here and there), but to prove it requires the bondholders to be onside with a new capital raise, and they, as senior debt, are in charge, so ordinary shareholders are more than 50% likely to get wiped out. I won't wait 2 years more, with an unknowable oil price, to see if the new theory, put forward by a BOD , most of whom with less skin in the game than I had, plays out. Certainly they are not believing in FB any more, and the water cut is ominous. Anyway, I will lick my wounds and rebuild in other plays.
While I am not responsible for the company in any way, I am sorry if the public listing of the company loses you money too. Good luck to you all.