RE: SP not rising17 Jan 2019 14:52
scotman
I would have to disagree with a couple of things from your last post.
You say:
"........hasn’t gone much higher today is because the market already knew the project finance was being reviewed by the government."
and
"It’s nice to reassure the PI’s who recently made much noise about the Gov IPA support. But really it offered little else and certainly nothing new."
While I agree that it was known by investors that the project finance was being reviewed by the government, what is certainly something very new is the statement from the prime minister that this is exactly the type of project that should be supported by the government.
The timing and the framing of the question to the PM will have been suggested by Sirius and agreed with the local MP and Theresa May's office well in advance.
This statement, made in front of a packed house of commons and watched by a huge television audience, would not have been made if the Government did not intend to give its support in the form of the "essential" financial guarantee. To later renege on this would be suicidal, politically.
Perhaps the intention was to provide publicly announced and therefore politically irrevocable support for the project.
I am fairly sure that this would provide further reassurance, if any were needed, to the lenders and at the same time, in the event of a change of government, would make it politically very difficult to withdraw support from a project which is providing a huge number of jobs and ticking all the boxes referred to in the PM's speech.
So, rather than " move on, nothing to see here" I see it as something of an understated masterstroke of PR by Sirius.
Ahh, you might say, if all that is the case, why has the share price not risen accordingly ?
Uncertainty over the method/s that Sirius will choose to adopt to make up the shortfall over and above the 3 Billion, I would guess.
P
https://www.gazettelive.co.uk/news/teesside-news/sirius-minerals-pm-theresa-confirms-15690721