RE: Change of Company Secretary18 Nov 2023 23:36
Hi Adamsky,
I already put some thoughts down around the end of Sep and nothing has changed yet!
Post 1 – “Indeed bankrupty and, as you suggest, that certainly would matter if they were to dally excessively in lining up the way ahead. However, assuming they have something already in their sights, the consequent RTO would aim to wrap things up within an entirely different, newly-financed wrapper.
With similarities to the way an IPO comes to market, certain assets would be assembled within a proposed company (that is currently PFP) and the SP at relisting would likely be unrelated to the current SP. Instead it would come back from RTO process at an entirely new valuation based on a number of factors, such as asset valuation, shares in issue post-RTO, stage of project development, perceived timeframe to production/asset realisation, confidence in characters involved, level of appetite shown by instis and/or HNWIs etc. etc.”
Post 2 – “I don't think the future valuation will work like that Adamsky. While all the things you mention are important in terms of an attractive platform, I think the future valuation will be based more on the type of things I listed yesterday. In other words, a "step back" revaluation of NewCo on its new assets and prospects, a return to market at that sort of level and thereafter settling down in line with the normal market forces of supply and demand. At the moment, of course, it's a matter of how long's a piece of string and taking a punt, or not, according to how we read the runes.
I read them positively and, like bankrupty, have added substantially at current levels against the backdrop of my own take, again similar to bankrupty's. It's a punt but the way I see it is that once they're ready to go forward with something, the chance to add will be very likely be gone until after the RTO process is completed and the current £2m market cap is less than demanding against what the new "entrepreneurial geologists" are deeming to be an "exciting" future. DYOR.”