RE: Going Down20 Sep 2020 03:58
dprussky etal-
I have waited awhile to reply to comments following my recent note after speaking with the trustee. My first response with some personal comfort is the idea POQ / FOG might be interested in purchasing those FOG shares. It is hard to imagine POQ presenting this to the board, because he would be shooting himself in the foot, as the funding of such a purchase, would greatly reduce the number of years he can continue enjoying his more or less "free ride". Origin might be an idea, but do not know if that is even contractually possible. Secondly, at some point there apparently was a bid made for all or most of the remaining shares, but nothing came of it.
The shares, as we all know have dropped over the last years to near record lows compared to all-time highs of many years ago. FOG has been victim of falling energy prices, a bankrupt large shareholder having to sell. POQ's roadshows are not the fundamental reason the shares trade where they do. These PR trips gave him something to do, running the share price up in soon cases, and then at the meetings with little to excite continued buying, caused the sellers to sell into a weakening market. That said, POQ continues to collect a generous compensation package, which he apparently has not offered or been asked to reduce.
The common shareholders are as in all companies "holding the bag", good or bad, as the case may be. The positive in the FOG situation is some apparent decent reserves. Now, we can only wait for COVID to get behind us and drilling to resume. As to the remaining block of shares, I believe a bid near the current price would succeed. The question is whether there is any additional interest. So, I am trying to figure out if I want to do anything, or if someone reading this update comes up with a reason to do something. Time will tell. POODS