GDR PCR 96 - SWOT (#6)21 Sep 2020 13:00
Update to SWOT #5 in early Sept, couple of additions.
Strengths:
- 1-step pre-mixed testing pellet (not reagent kit)
- Less error prone due to above
- High Vol throughout - time efficient
- Quick turnaround - 100mins for all 1 test pack (96 samples)
- 100% Sensitivity / 98.2% Specificity
- Limit of Detection 0.5 copies per micro litre - V.Low (pickup low level infection)
- Multiple Gene targets
- Freeze dried aiding Global transport / storage (room temp stability - unique to GDR/USP)
- Detective control to identify sample swab error
- Deployed on Open Platform
- Software tool to display automated results CE Marked
- Competitively priced - £8-£10 (x96 per tube) / circa 60% GM (testing saturation may reduce price)
- CE Approved
- Manufacturing capability (10k per hour)
- Funded
- GHIF Backing
- Sticky LT shareholder base till circa £2???
- Increasingly solid SP platform to build from
- Distribution further expanded (11 new)
- proprietary format streamlines laboratory workflow, more tests performed in a day
- BCR - Major US strategic scaleable automated throughput partner on SALIVA!
Weakness:
- Late to market (need to oust incumbents)
- Expand distribution network (S.America / Mexico)
- Poor CEO communication (in eyes of some PI’s)
- Competitively priced??? Maybe too high with multiple entrants & targeted regions - £8-£10 (x96 per tube)
Opportunities:
- WHO Approval
- FDA Approval
- Country Specific Approval (eg India / M.East)
- GLOBAL DEMAND across multiple Govts / industries
- Expand distribution network (US / S.America / Mexico)
- Product expansion (POC)
- 1st Wave continuing Global peak (retrigger in UK - reduction in lockdown)
- 2nd Global Wave STARTED
- COVID Stock sentiment back
- NHS discussions ongoing / on newsletter
- Software, only highlighted negative feedback, placated
- CE submitted to expand PCR platform (Roche + Biorad / ABI commercially led)
- £1m approval dependent orders / demand exists
- Bounce of 80p (& lower!) placing (gap filled post placement)
- Truly transformational opportunity to propel GDR decades beyond where it was
- Tunisia??
- Vaccines timescale to achieve successful trials & approvals for mass deployment
- Academic belief testing is here to stay for many years
- BC lab self validation?? No need for FDA EUA??
Threats:
- WHO Approval
- FDA Approval
- Country Specific Approval (eg India / M.East)
- Primary Competition - incumbent In market
- Secondary Competition - new entrants
- Vaccine dev / approval
- Software to display results - are hospitals willing to implement / over complicated offering rather than simplifying
- SP overvalued post COVID Bubble
- PI confidence knocked post Placing + CEO’s ability to execute on unique opportunity
- Lack of sales in EU despite CE approval
- CE approval currently based on 1 open platform supplier
Please add.
PP