Member Info for Peelweight

My money’s on 12th Jan for top line data, so they can say they did whole SPRINTER P3 within a year

Thanks Tornadotony, looking at the chart, the next 7-10 days might be a white knuckle ride in the COVID wards again. Really hope not!

Bun intended

Thursday at the latest, I believe

Hospital numbers in Guateng province (S. Africa) in three full weeks up to this one were: 324, 874 and 2154. The current week figure is not worth considering as it is incomplete data. That is some rise and if infection rates are anything to go by, there will be further rises in inpatients coming. Plan B instigated for a very good reason IMO
SNG with a successful SPRINTER will be needed whether it causes deaths in the same numbers or not. We simply cannot have our hospitals as full or more full than in the second wave.

Younger population. Warmer country and more outdoor living so spreads slower. Summertime. Omicron might kill fewer (we don’t know yet) but it looks like it fills hospitals quickly. Plan B not on a whim. GLA

https://www.nicd.ac.za/diseases-a-z-index/disease-index-covid-19/surveillance-reports/daily-hospital-surveillance-datcov-report/

Entitled daily hospitalisation for COVID

Tick the Guateng box on the right and look at the growth from wk 46 to 48. Don’t Be put off by wk 49 as data not complete

Thanks Alphageddon. Wildstar, I believe a call option is the purchase of the Right by not the Obligation to buy an asset at a "strike price" at a specific time in the future. If the underlying asset is not above the strike price at the option date, the owner of the option usually does nothing and lets the option lapse. In this case, all the purchase price of the option is lost to the purchaser and kept by the seller of the call option. However, if the price goes above the strike price the holder of the call option will use the option to buy. This process has enabled a purchaser of those call options to have access the gains from many more shares than they could otherwise have afforded to hold if they had bought them outright. The call options can be traded up to the moment of the option, so as the asset goes nearer, and hopefully above, the strike price, the value of the call option increases. All IMHO and no form of financial advice whatsoever, just trying to answer your question

Does anyone know of a platform on which sells call options for Synairgen please. Thanks

Sure Ndn, that would be sensible but it appears I am too greedy :)

BeContrarian, I’m with you into the longer term, if positive SPRINTER, I believe the underpinning value would be there in sales. Planning to hold but I admit I would be sweating, as the value held would be large (in my life) in that scenario. I would also be at the End of the Rainbow party in the summer!

Andy, I tend to agree with you for the reasons you have given. I think this share will either rise very significantly on SPRINTER results or drop by 70-80%. Anything close to replicating our hospital P2 data will significantly gap £5 within days. The projected dividend streams will support that, IMHO

CityTTrader, whoever the new buyer is, they like a liquid lunch, then a nap, all done by 12ish!

Thanks ppeye, that’s a bit more believable but 5x more transmissible is still massive. We await scientific analysis over the next couple of weeks to see how relevant. 5x more transmissible and less virulent could still be good even if it has vaccine escape. Sounds like they are worried it could be more virulent also though

OMFG, I really hope that Indian Doc is wrong or this is going to be a **** show v shortly. Thanks for posting Fruits

Thanks Fruits, doesn’t sound like it will take the scientists long to know if Nu is likely to escape vaccines or not

Tornadotony, you’re right. I guess the health secretary announcing blocked flight paths has reignited the buy side with still few sellers. The new variant of concern that may be given the “Nu” name, is under very swift and focussed analysis

Thanks all for the replies. It is weird how low the volumes are at the mo but maybe all a waiting game now. TornadoT, still keen to hear from you. Thanks

TornadoT, what does it mean that we are in a period with very low volumes and price stability. Is it fair to say that Polar are not buying at this level anymore and few want to sell unless the price increases? It is spooky how stable the price is and how little volume. Thanks

Agree Matml, EUA application rather than granting but I do reckon as they have been working with ACTIV/US gov that they apply the same day. I just think if SPRINTER anywhere near P2 that the EUA will be v swift.
And yes may be slower due to another week of waiting to unmask (35 v 28 days) but Parexel may be quicker as you say

Could be just wishful thinking but I reckon they will be very tempted to announce on 12 Jan if they can so they can for ever say they got from 1st patient recruited to results in less than a year, by one day!