The latest Investing Matters Podcast episode featuring Jeremy Skillington, CEO of Poolbeg Pharma has just been released. Listen here.
Old and disappointing news that one m8, they said they were going to do this back in February, for something TL have asked for, for 20 years , appears all they accomplished in 9 months, was waiting for an official permission slip 🙄🤦♂️🤦♀️
China, will be willing to take a hit on a project, as they have done in many other BRI countries, if they also get preferential trade deals in return, nice scratch the back here with TL, TL gets what it has long craved, its own industry, China gets the bulk of production.
Only earlier this year, China and the USA agreed a new Gas/LNG trade deal, China commented afterwards, still looking for 20 million tons per annum for the next 20 years, for perspective, the 2008 Shell plan for Sunrise was 26/28 wellheads with an FLNG production profile of 4 mtpa, so China just for their own immediate domestic demand, looking for 5 Sunrises NOW and predicted a sharp future increase in Domestic demand. 🤔
against
only one, the history of horta/gusmao, ******* off the industry, outgoing pm rauk lowered taxes and fees on oil and gas licenses under the bid round, much higher previously under the demon duo, took a turn each to say no to darwin then flng, can they now live up to their 20 year promises to the timorese people, wealth and education for all, by working with the industry, say yes and get things moving now, not after sunrise is resolved, if it ever is?
fiscal cliff v common sense.............. 🤔
For
TL Gov under PM Rauk , committed to converting the Island to Gas, on a wish to save the Island millions per annum over costly and unreliable Diesel deliveries, Northern Project Metinaro , all converted by 2025/26, Ideal partner for that is Sundagas FPSO plan, long before Beaco set to see the light of day , tenders drifting last by 2030. 🤔🤑🤑
TL pushing hard, a lot of air miles for both Horta and Gusmao since being elected, they know, their fiscal cliff is looming, just look at todays news, the Government departments owe the Electricity company 29 Million, some of those departments , have not paid since 2006 ffs 😲
For
UAE , Kuwait, plus China, have all made statements to back up , the normally wish and a prayer comments by Horta/Gusmao, that is a fundamental change, to the regional situation, for two decades TL has said one thing, others something completely different or nothing at all
Japan and Woodside, initiated an MOU for Gas/LNG late last year, Japan's Government bank to fund and promised, all Japanese companies, would be available to assist, new projects (INPEX etc)
Santos/ENI/SK Koreans, have MOU/jv status to not only redevelop Bayu-Undan for Carbon Capture but to also acquire more TIMOR SEA assets and build a new production pipeline HUB into Darwin to their own now idle refinery, 4 year timeline given by the Santos ceo (last year) he also confirmed this would go ahead Barossa or not, with over 400 million offset on the books to pay for the dual pipeline project.😋🤑
For
President Xi Jinping architect of the BRI, promised Gusmao BRI support, a strange comment, given the BRI have been operating on TL for 20 years, building the Presidential Government Palace, roads, ports etc, can only mean they are now prepared to , raise funding and expectations for TL's larger projects, Metinaro Gas/LNG Imports fac and Beaco Gas/LNG Export fac, mou also signed between TL Ministry of planning and Investment and the China overseas development ministry , 3 days before Gusmoa visited Xi in China, both projects fall under that TL Ministry, which has provisional funding forecasts for it alone, 2 - 3 Billion per annum 2024-26 , falling back in 2027, that level of funding (China?) is more than the current total budget for the Island, again cut this year to 1.65 billion for ALL.
As Filthy recently reported, the China Gas man , paid a visit to TL a week or so ago, Metinaro FID expected Nov/EOY, our DoD extended from Summer 2023 to a very specific by 18th December. China funding and good news for us to follow, coming in time for a Santa rally..... 😉🤔😲🤑🤑🤑
Jarv et al
wonder if after recent TL comments on UAE wanting to get involved and show the world what they can do, was TL one of those in this BBC Report today........... on a cop out at COP Conference...... 😉😂
The United Arab Emirates planned to use its role as the host of UN climate talks as an opportunity to strike oil and gas deals, the BBC has learned. Leaked briefing documents reveal plans to discuss fossil fuel deals with 15 nations. The UN body responsible for the COP28 summit told the BBC hosts were expected to act without bias or self-interest. The UAE team did not deny using COP28 meetings for business talks, and said "private meetings are private".😲🤐
Cutting budget again this year and now it appears ,Government departments not been paying the leccy bill, some since 2006 ffs 😂 Come on Gussy Horton do a who and a YES, get that gas and revenues flowing, pay your bills boys!🙄
https://en.tatoli.tl/2023/11/26/almost-all-government-ministries-and-agencies-fail-to-pay-us29-million-in-arrears-of-electricity-bills/13/
Yes, disappointing strange one that CDF, Woodside said going to do this in February, now all these months later, appears have done nothing, awaiting a permission slip , to start something the Island has been asking for for decades, take another look at Island production vice all the alternatives, the rest of the JV would prefer. 🙄
Guess at least they are getting on with it BUT now expect, the other project to advance, hopefully with Chuditch a part of it, long before, they once more, for the hundredth time, try to agree on a concept for Sunrise next summer. 🤔😂
And above all remember it was Chuditch , not Sunrise, that was showcased to launch the bid round, with a NON TENDER award , for services rendered to the Island.
They could do far worse than Showcase Chudich again, as part of the Island future Domestic security by 2025/26.🤔
Said before Sundagas and Andy Butlers relationship since 2016 , long before Boil arrived to join in 2020, is the key factor here, not Boils Yeo ho ho, Sundagas own 75%, Boil now own SG after 3 stages, as original RTO failed, Boil could not raise the funds.
From 2016 Sundagas helped build Timor GAP noc and ANPM and have continued to train their staff ever since, Sundagas also co hosted the first two Oil and Gas conferences alongside CGG (Worldwide seismic co)
If ANYONE, can obtain that first ever YES from Gusmao/Horta, for something other than 21 years of wait for Beaco to be built for production, it is Sundagas, led by Andy B , vice president of SEAPEX, who has the regional contacts and rubs sholders with all the Major/Tier1 companies in that role, at their regional conferences and informal social events, dinners , golfing events etc, ahhhhhhh 18 holes and a JV/Sale 😂🤣😂
Things are moving on, the Chinese Gas man's visit to the Island, the Islands domestic security plan, Metinaro FID, all coming to a head, it can not be Sunrise, the PIT facilities were originally part of the Beaco plan on the South Coast , stripped away to Metinaro near Dili and 2 of the 3 Island power stations UP NORTH. On a much quicker timeframe, brought on by their system and infrastructure being , crushed 2020-2022 by Covid then a series of Tropical storms, hence the 90 day on Island supply at all times feature of the plan. 🤔
Everything they are doing, points to our FPSO being their only local game in town, to provide that cheap local Timor Sea gas as it states in the 2011-2030 Strategic Development Plan SDP. 🤔
Don't know about others but , I am up for a Chinese takeaway, at Yeo ho ho's RIGHT PRICE 1.7-3.7p his Chud value 😜
It's certain Eddie , that change from previous period labels, to a specific 18th December tells a story in itself, rings of waiting for other plans/news to fall into place, then announce, agree that could be anytime from today, until the 18th long stop.🤔
North sea deals have also risen in recent months, so do not rule out some Dunrobin news also, was already known as the biggest undeveloped DISCOVERY left in the North Sea, before its upgrade to over 200mbo , 66mb to Boil, earlier this year.
RNA messages lining up for rns news wire , DoD, Rig, Finance and Dunrobin, on the Islands side, perhaps public support YES to our plan, or even better Metinaro FID and how they plan to supply it (us ?)
Bring it on Yeo ho ho, Santa is ready to rally............GLA 😉😂
Approaching 200m today, could be a first in the sequence of Billion+ days we usually see on Boil , during a run with AQSE moving up in volumes, AQSE running around 11.5% of AIM volumes, vice routine nil to not a lot. GLA😉
When things actually happen here, that rate usually rises to 15-25%, record volume 4.2 billion v 1.05 billion. 5.25b day😲
Plans being made, already gives the answer to the drill or drop, why spend time and money, arranging finance and a rig, if you are not going to move the project forward 🤔😉. Still may prove to be coincidence but our drill or drop was extended from Summer 2023 to a very specific 18th December, strange in itself, this shortly after the Island announce its other major Gas/LNG project Metinaro P.I.T. which includes domestic security supply of Gas/LNG Imports fac and 90 day tank farm.
Metinaro FID by end of 2023 (one article had November)
Chuditch DoD 18th December
Chuditch looking to spud Q4 2024
Metinaro to supply the Islands 3 to be all converted to gas power stations by 2025/26
Metinaro a project under the TL department of planning and infrastructure, who signed off an MOU with China overseas development corp , 3 days before Gusmao met Xi in China (Cabinet meeting pre visit) That same TL Ministry published figures (nice spot by Dougb) for its projected budget, 2024-2026 each higher than the Islands total annual budget, dropping back in 2027 (est costs of Metinaro ?) Where is that many billions coming from? (China MOU ?)
Sunrise set in stone (island view) for Beaco tenders 2030 , much later, what else do they have to supply themselves with Timor Sea Gas (per plan SDP 2011-2030) other than Drill ready Chuditch FPSO. 🤔
Be that by Boil/SG snail paced current planning, or moved aside for China state CNOOC, to do much quicker.😲🤑🤑
Snippets from the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs website 😁
On November 24, 2023, Assistant Foreign Minister Nong Rong met with the newly-appointed Ambassador of Timor-Leste to China Maubere Lorosae da Silva Horta.
Nong Rong welcomed Maubere Lorosae da Silva Horta to China for the assumption of his new post, and said that President Xi Jinping and Prime Minister Kay Rala Xanana Gusmão jointly announced to upgrade the relationship between China and Timor-Leste to a comprehensive strategic partnership in September this year, opening a new chapter of bilateral relations. China is ready to work with Timor-Leste to implement the important common understandings reached by the leaders of the two countries, deepen strategic mutual trust and practical cooperation, and push for constant and solid progress in the comprehensive strategic partnership between the two countries.
Maubere Lorosae da Silva Horta said that China's development brings important opportunities for the world, and the cooperation between Timor-Leste and China has a broad prospect. Timor-Leste attaches great importance to developing relations with China, and stands ready to take the establishment of the comprehensive strategic partnership between the two countries as an opportunity to further expand bilateral exchanges and cooperation in various fields and continuously achieve new progress in bilateral relations.
On November 23, 2023, Director-General of the Protocol Department of the Foreign Ministry Hong Lei accepted respectively the copies of credentials from newly-appointed Ambassador of Sierra Leone to China Abu Bakarr Karim, and newly-appointed Ambassador of Timor-Leste to China Maubere Lorosae da Silva Horta, who arrived in China on November 14 and November 21 respectively.
Chines takeaway coming ??????? 😋
😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣laugh of the year award......
see you also spotted on the vast board today.......
https://media2.giphy.com/media/Bmp7cdFVqxYcXEkSxu/giphy.gif?cid=ecf05e47qknd3nwt5cw5sekx31a0f7a552t00nknsn4t6rty&ep=v1_gifs_search&rid=giphy.gif&ct=g