RE: Positive RNS16 Feb 2021 17:13
Interesting update today. Saffron 2 and the Suriname appraisal well are all on track in Q1. Only using funds for what they need to limit dilution, rebased at 0.8p, which is a premium at least to the sp. Saffron 2 appraisal well is a big well, targeting thicker Lower Cruz formation, (Saffron 1, 300ft thick). If they drill the Lower Cruz and it confirms the 3D data, and produces, then I expect this to increase the 2p reserves significantly, which will open the door to a larger RBL base, (currently $10m) It's about time the board uses this and did some alternative financing that has non dilution. It is good to see a cash balance of $15m, and nil payments to Lombards. Even more interesting, unsolicited interest from industry counterparties, ie: more than one, so I wonder if together?, sounds like a consortium, less likely a coincidence, why all within a week of the Perseverance result? Couldn't they wait for the evaluation and results of the analysis? Gneiss Energy formally appointed to solicit broader interest and, management admit they were talking to majors right up to the spud of Perseverance and therefore, probably while drilling, to the extent that some heli visits were probably made in the final week of drilling while the logging was run, and the decision to TD at 3900m was possibly a joint decision after looking at what they have ie: a good working petroleum system, with saturated reservoirs and high oil values proven for the next drill. So all to play for, with Saffron 2, Suriname, farm-in process formally started with Gneiss Energy who will be keen to close a deal, and 2500bopd exit in 2021, which I think will be surpassed. Current revenues from production ahead with $60 a barrel oil, which will benefit operations in the work programme and negate any other dilution, potentially. Sp is where it is, but as things progress it will advance to give £100m Mcap or more, by the end of the year. imo.