RE: chart says (but it is not a prediction)16 Feb 2022 14:25
You are falling for the common misconception that charts predict the future. I am specifically saying that the charts do not predict the future. They reflect what the market knows now, and you base analysis on that.
Tell me how do fundamentals warn of an imminent announcement? How do they help you in the same scenario? They don’t, and neither does TA, but sometimes, not always (jeez) price anticipates announcements for reasons I am sure we are all aware of.
Yes, chartists do re-look at the chart to consider how the price has moved, and then re work the analysis it to take account of that. Why would you not look at the latest info rather than using old info? Yes, you have to be big enough to say “I was wrong, I need to relook at that in the light of this” To work otherwise only shows a closed mind, and I find a rigid view isn’t useful in most scenarios.
You may ask if I think it will go down further why am I holding? Because I do not know for certain, but I am happy enough to wait to buy more if it hits my level, if it doesn’t I will buy on a retrace after a move up.
Funnily enough I used to have this discussion with an old poster called Hub who could not get his mistaken assumptions about tech analysis out of his head – he was often wrong btw, couldn’t admit it and poorer for his inflexibility.
I posted my thoughts and as I said you can use them or ignore them- or "wipe your Harris on "them as you crudely put it ,if that is your want
Best of luck