Not about Centamin, thankfully!20 Aug 2018 11:36
but a warning from analyst Kees Drekker to consider before buying Atlantic Gold
When I started on the valuation of Atlatic Gold I expected it to be a short and straightforward exercise. Atlantic Gold is a company with a very short history starting off in 2014 picking up projects in Nova Scotia, quickly adding others to get critical mass, upon which it could start mine construction. Commercial production was achieved on 1 March 2018.
It proved not to be. Reviewing the documentation was complex and frustrating. Management has not made much of an effort to present a coherent business plan for its projects. It just cobbled together two feasibility study documents, one completed in 2015 on initial production, another in 2017 on expansion and published the cobbled-together report in 2018. The 2018 report did not even bother to remove aspects forecast for 2016 and 2017, to give information in the same format and breakdown for the 2015 and 2017 study, to give cash flow in annual periods, etc. It took a lot of digging and cross referencing to get to a cash flow model on the overall plan.
It is little wonder than this study identified that the 2018 report overlooked in its Economic Analysis capital expenditure for one of the projects. it is just one of the many issues that are of great concern. For the others, just read the Executive Summary of the appended report.
All the concerns earned the report the title: Expect Many Disappointments.