RE: Txp23 Nov 2021 08:02
Mbarnholdt - when I understood that TXP was going to drill a 4 well “exploration” program, which was actually twinning old wells where they had the well logs because an old geologist gave them to Touchstone and sat down with the team to talk about what was done way back when I got very interested. These logs were not part of the public record. The part about them probably using heavy mud back then was also considered. I did pay attention to the surrounding fields, and you don’t have to be a rocket scientist to see the obvious trends. All this combined with the well costs and pipelines already in place made this a no brainer risk reward scenario from my perspective. With a dismal exploration track record the last 10 years at least in the North Sea and massive costs for drilling wells (can be 100 times more than a legacy well), TXP was my chance to become a little Oil Barron and I went in hard, real hard. Only bad part was I chickened out a bit before Coho thinking what is we get a blowout, and I reduced from 0,5% of TXP to about 0,25%. This was risk reduction instead of YOLO, and the worst investment decision I have ever made. To be honest I did not expect this to be so successful, I don’t think anyone did, not even internally in TXP, but it was a very good risk reward ratio in the category of junior exploration risk.
Paul said once that you are going to hit hydrocarbons wherever you drill in Trinidad, it’s just a question of whether they are commercial or not.
Many people have asked me what the stock price will be if Royston hits, and I have no idea. The market in general has not been able to understand the potential, or at least not pay for it. I can only think that the market will not be able to withstand not pricing the company correctly when the production is flowing and the numbers are looking very big on the quarterly statements. So, the direction is up, even without Royston, even more so with, and that’s all that really matters.
My background over 25 years in oil and gas, in logging, and date management (well data), and exploration / geophysics all contributed to me being able to se this opportunity screaming at me. I’m not a genius, I just had the right background, and stumbled upon TXP at the right time, and managed to put the two things together. Coming off the back of another hit in an oil junior offshore in Africa where the ducks were also quite lined up, this has changed my life.
I don’t know anything about medical studies, or biotech, and never come close to investing in them. This is why I ride people on here sometimes to read more about how oil and gas works, and try to correct statements that are wrong so other people don’t learn things that are wrong, It never hurts to know more, and if you’re already smart enough to be here looking at TXP, you’re smart enough to grasp the basics of oil and gas with a little study.