Most undervalued miner on AIM just on iron ore alone28 Aug 2020 10:30
FEX acquired its project from a private group who vended it in late 2018. The project was originally discovered by Atlas and sold off when they were struggling during the lows of the iron ore market in the mid-2010s. FEX has since proved up the resource, approximately doubling it to 10.5mt @64%, and has progressed feasibility and the requisite major approvals to be in a position to mine and ship in January 2021. The project has mining inventory of 8Mt @64% and is aiming to produce 1.25Mtpa over 6 years. At the time of the feasibility, the project was expected to deliver $16.4m in EBITDA per annum at a price of USD78/t ($0.70 FX rate), however, at current levels EBITDA would be $85m+ p.a., in which EBITDA is approximately equal to pre-tax free cashflows. The post-tax NPV8 of the project at spot is ~$252m or ~$0.44/sh. Whilst exploration upside is limited, FEX has flagged they would look to partner or acquire similar deposits in the surrounding area or along its transport route otherwise cash would be returned to shareholders.