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Moneyman, strangely, i think they have got it the wrong way round!!
Using your figures Kalan 35% is 1400 per tonne. Nearly 50% more!
Im guessing we’ve already had that Seis, without any financial figures though. If that is the case, i would expect the half year financials sooner as well. Maybe later this month.
Absolutely Jonah, i think they are very much concentrating on the rich pickings first. M has test sample grades of 1.5 to 3%! There are so many waste dumps to secure! With limited finances they are correctly prioritising the rich fruit. I would much prefer they secure all the high grade rocks first and then return to the lower grade tailings. Just simple maths.
£9M to buy Sable was a great investment. Probably already returned that in copper production over the last couple of years, in nothing much more than test work. Sable is on the cusp of 12k tonnes per year! Really puts £9M into context! When expanded 16M tonnes! Wish we could get a few more Sables at £9M! https://www.miningweekly.com/article/jubilee-embarks-on-zambia-expansion-strategy-2024-02-08
Ever, i think the plan is radically developing and changing the more confident they are becoming in the process. This is work in progress and clearly has to be grown as fast as possible, but also within financial constraints. The placing may have helped here, plus the capitalisation of 600 tonnes per month finally coming through may have allowed for larger / increasing capacities. The point that really stood out to me was, 4 such projects like M was equivalent to a large mine! Leon stated there was multiple projects like M, near M. I think he said tens of projects like M, near M. Hinting that we can expect lots more M’s and in the relatively near future. The value in Jubilee here is off the scale! It takes a decade to find and develop a large mine. Jubilee could grab a few M’s at circa 1.5M, install a few modules and voila you have the equivalent to a large mine! Potentially in under a year! The earnings will soon allow fairly rapid growth! Whilst growth is limited now, i think we are already seeing upward revisions like M.
How anyone can read that RNS and be negative blows my mind????? That is the most positive read on here for the last 2-3 years. Its the RNS , i was expecting 18-24 months ago!! Its finally here and meaningful copper production is under way. 600 ish tonnes per month now. 1,000 ish tonnes per month next quarter. Shed loads to come after that! The talk of more projects like M. 3 or 4 projects like M are equivalent to a large mine! It costs billions to buy a large mine! Its costing 6.5 M for a module and 1.5M to buy M. Thats circa 8m, 4 such projects equates to 32m. Where on earth can you buy a large mine for 32M?? The biggest concern here and in the next 12 months is a take over before the real value here translates to the share price. I just hope Mark Slater & Leon protect us here. The flip side story and the company continues for years in its present format is clearly going to be a Cinderella story. Of course there is the Bushey & Co theory, that the company is one big lie, who have suckered in some of the top fund managers in the world, annalists far and wide, the Zambian government and the might of Abu Dhabi! I feel a take over by Abu Dhabi is the most plausible future for Jubilee, especially when you look at the numbers of 4 such project M's! I just hope they have to pay through the nose for it.
Edzi, i agree totally that a bid is coming from the Arabs. Very likely to come in the next 12 months in my view. I just hope the share price recovers enough to force a reasonable buy out price. Once they are convinced this is a winning formula, they will buy in an instant. Theres just too much profit to be made from copper! Relying on Slater & Co to hold out for 30-40p. Big shame really as given enough time this is a big play.
Never seen so much rubbish written in all my life Gotreal! Then you get the scenario, im only posting in the interest of balance! If that were true, they would be ramping away on here, because there’s not much written of a positive nature! For me, they are the worst posters! The type of sly person. smiling at you as they twist the knife in your back! Slowly poisoning the water you drink, while explaining the merits of drinking water! The facts here are simple, earnings bottomed some time ago and have been rising for some time. The next set of figures due end of this month/ early next will confirm this trend. Plus copper earnings rising, will accelerate this trend substantially. Sentiment changes very fast. Yes i am very positive, because i believe we have an awful lot to be positive about.
Sumo, its very hard to disagree with anything you said. The only consolation now for shareholders is, the chrome earnings should now show through very soon along with much increased copper numbers.
Thanks Northern. @ Frog, its no surprise the share price is struggling when long holders continually undermine the company! There are enough detractors on here as it is! The chrome and PGM business is an outstanding success and rapidly growing! Soon to be the worlds largest chrome producer. That is no small achievement. Copper is now under starters orders with 600 tonnes per month. With much more to come. Even just the 600 tonnes changes the earnings substantially! @ Edzi, its easy with hindsight, but this may have been ordered quite some time ago, before last summer. Was there a major problem with the ports then? Im also guessing these are very sizeable components and air freight may not be possible? Perhaps im being too lenient here? But itcwould appear the said item is now being manufactured in SA. Another lesson or another work around the challenges of Soth Africa! Fortunately sorted soon and 1,000 tonnes of copper per month inbound. People are crazy to sell now, just when copper is about to become the stand out feature of Jubilee, even though they are set to be the largest producer of chrome!
Frog, its hardly a cluster #### of epic proportions. They have confirmed they are now processing 600 tonnes of copper per month. The required part should now be ready in circa 7 weeks when production can move upto 1,000 tonnes per month. Yes theres been serious delays and problems, but copper is now moving.
I wouldn't think your far out HD. Add in PGM’s and your over $50M! South Africa is a cracking business in its own right. There is so much focus on copper, the growth story in SA is going unnoticed. Especially with all those in dire need of canesten on here, detracting and fibbing beyond belief!
Seis, hopefully the cost per tonne will reduce the more the volume increases. I think Leon did refer to £4k per tonne. So the margin could be better than Q1. When Roan is at full capacity Ever may not be far out.
Indeed Ever, maybe just a bit less depending on cathode and copper in solution split. Can you imagine the numbers of £10k per tonne copper as predicted very shortly. Then theres the partnership to come. Another big increase to chrome on the way! Its all gravy now.
Yes, i would agree with you Jonah. Plus I, believe Leon is starting to be a little more cautious with his time lines. earlier interviews referred to the first module being ready, as early as June. He stated research should be complete by end of this quarter, allowing the manufacture to commence. I'm presuming they have already secured the build time with some of the placing money, ensuring the build is on time. A 6 month completion period, as you say would be ready for October! i feel he is building in a little more flexibility for the first time and saying end of this year. Unexpected problems in the past and the new team around him, probably urging caution on dates.
Pleased to see the copper price up circa 2% today. Never has it been more relevant to Jubilee now production has reached 600 plus tonnes per month. A very welcome plus to the balance sheet.
Gets more depressing here by the day Bushey! Did you say 5.5p? You could be right.
NTD, the more i analyse the update the more bullish i am becoming. Earnings are clearly rising now. As you say the bulk of the expenditure on Roan and Sable is done. Earnings are now going to accelerate. The large rock project will be fully funded by IRH. News on the tailings has slowed down, but understandably so. They have to get Roan underway before taking on the tailings and probably the new rock project too. Leon will be grasping for another refinery by then. With Roan’s capacity smashed. Loads going to Mopani on a tolling basis. Leon will be eyeing up the next refinery now. Copper is staring to unfold right in front of us. Whilst the chrome earnings look to be incredibly solid, especially when the new module is added.
Just call me mental then.
Seis, i dont get the excessive moaning today. Ok, Roan is behind schedule, but ramping up to 600 tonnes per month. Quarterly earnings will start to look quite tasty in the region of $15M. With so much more to come, the market has to recognise this soon!