RE: Look on the bright side9 May 2021 11:52
Opinions on both the bull and bear case for Infa are greatly welcome. As an ex Infa TR1 holder myself I have been looking back in here of late after having sold most of my holding just over 2yrs ago, thankfully at a profit.
And the reason for this was simple. The draft marine licence. Back then I could see the long drawn out process playing out with delay after delay, in part because of the local 'protesters' annoying as they were but very organised and focused, the prospect of public consultations and knowing how slow the process in N.I moves.
That being said a decision on a possible granting of a full ML is imo very close. Edwin Poots I would hope is a least partially supportive of the project and the benefits economically and environmentally it will bring.
Let's make no mistake however. With 2yrs having passed IF the bod of Infa had not made the bold move to acquire initially H&W and Appledore to branch out with other sources of income we'd currently be facing 2 scenarios.
1. The company's shares would have still been diluted and diluted just to keep the lights and basing the whole future of the company on a ML that may or may not be granted would have been EXTREMELY risky. I think just before the first acquisition of H&W there were around 3.8B shares in issue? (equivalent to 38M shares today)
2. Potential wind down of the company with little or no return to shareholders ( less likely but still possible )
It is very likely by now if Infa were still a one trick pony as a conservative estimate there would probably be at least 60-70M shares in issue with 100-1 consolidation but nothing else to show for it.
H&W was acquired cheaply while in administration. Appledore acquired on the cheap too. Both strategic acquisitions. BUT this was only the beginning. You can't start to win major contracts for shipbuilding before 1, the sites are both fully refurbished, brought up to date with new machinery and 2, have the personnel in place ready to go. No point at all trying to win a large shipbuilding contract at say the beginning of this year and then saying during discussions "well we will be ready in 6 months to begin construction of a vessel but give us the contract now please".
So frustrating as it is, it's taken time to get the yards into shape to deal with the demands of 21st century shipbuilding and fabrication.
So yes we will now have roughly double the shares in issue than if we had just remained as a one trick pony with the gas storage project but at least we have something to show for it and now huge potential for massive revenue growth and actual profit hopefully in a very short time scale now.
If both the H&W take off AND we get the ML as a bonus then we're onto a winner.
There is ONE thing and ONE thing only I am critical of here and it's those bonuses JW and AR have received. They are far too high at a stage where the company is not yet in profit and does smack in the face of the last 2 raises. Having sai