RE: Takeover bid(s)28 Nov 2022 13:36
Thanks Orthern for your constructuve response.
I can assure you my glasses aren't rose tinted, although you might be forgiven for thinking so with 2.3 million shares...
I totally agree "things may not be as great as we were once told they might have been." and am prepared to believe the growing hype being generated by people in the know, including a M&A specialist appointed to advise both SOLG & CGP.
I also believe that, given the undoubted asset we have here and neither BHP nor NCM walking away, plus Jiangxi buying in and Mitsui saying they want a slice of the action, there are two convergent reasons for shelving PFS2 and Porvenir PEA.
First, energy and other costs have risen sharply and the copper price has fallen to BELOW the $3.60 assumption in PFS1.
So I'm certain that PFS2 would have come out with a worse result and that would further undermine the SP...
And there is absolutely no need for PFS2 if we press on for DFS...so why spend the money...?
Or...given that CGP's SP was falling and they would struggle to raise any cash to develop their prospects other than selling SOLG shares at beaten down prices; and...Mather's dream of being a major miner has been quashed (and he aint getting any younger...), they have been persuaded by Sangha that the sum of the parts is greater than the whole, especially when you amalgamate the 85% and the 15%...and that the best way to monetise the assets at anywhere near decent value is to provoke a bidding war.
And I've never said there are majors circling SOLG...
I just think when the 2nd best new copper project and the 9th best new gold project, let alone Porvenir, Helipuerto, Rio, etc receives its first bid, it will trigger a competition (unless its a knockout bid).
There is no denying a looming massive copper shortage and that the majors' existing resources of copper and gold are being run down at an alarming rate with little imminent replenishment on the horizon.
And while RIO tries to make sense out of the mess that Toyu Olgui is, in remote Mongolia, surely such a rich asset in stable Ecuador, with potnetially untold further riches from the Andean Belt, must look incredibly attractive....?
So who will break ranks first...Jiangxi, BHP, Mitsui or someone else who doesn't even have a stake.
After all, BHP didn't before they waded into the much smaller Noront opportunity...