RE: Cool it4 Oct 2020 01:32
Hi Speedie,
I definitely agree that US assets are massively overvalued due to the Fed helicopter money, tech PEs are silly now.
However the ftse hasn’t partaken in this rally at all and looks quite good value in comparison right now. Shell and BP at prices last seen in 1995, given their assets you can’t say they look overvalued at the minute, quite the opposite.
If the US markets do collapse then of course there will be a knock on effect to all indices around the World, however you will also see the FTSE not so affected and money will move from overvalued tech into stocks like shell and BP that pay half decent dividends still and have value.
I’d say they may actually surprise in that situation.
The recent Nasdaq sell off in the US showed this, energy stocks globally actually went up as this sell off was happening.
I personally bought into gold and silver last year as I felt the markets were becoming toppy anyway even without covid. I still hold this and will do for the coming years as protection.
However i have bought a large stake in BP and Shell the past week, as I feel they are currently undervalued, still offer 6-7% yield at these prices and in the next year or so will do very well.
Good luck with your holdings