Royal Bank of Scotland PMI11 Jan 2021 09:04
Scottish Private Sector sees improved
manufacturing growth as challenging 2020
draws to a close
• Business Activity Index posts 47.3 to signal moderate decline in output
• Further, but slower, reduction in inflows of new work
• Optimism highest since February following vaccine roll out
The Scottish private sector remained in a downturn during the final month of 2020,
according to the latest Royal Bank of Scotland PMI®, with further drop in services
activity outweighing a strong improvement in manufacturing growth. The seasonally
adjusted headline Royal Bank of Scotland Business Activity Index - a measure of
combined manufacturing and service sector output - posted 47.3 in December,
unchanged from November's reading, and signalled a further moderate contraction
in private sector output as ongoing lockdown measures continued to stifle client
demand.
Nonetheless, firms held an optimistic outlook for activity during 2021, with
sentiment hitting a ten-month high. Panellists linked confidence to hopes of a timely
end to the pandemic amid vaccine rollouts, and a swift economic recovery.
December data signalled a further fall in inflows of new work to Scottish private
sector firms, extending the current sequence of reduction to four months. According
to respondents, lockdown measures had continued to stifle client demand. The rate
of decline was the joint-slowest in the aforementioned sequence, but still solid
overall.